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May 24, 2023

Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA): A.I.dvisor Forecasts Downtrend Continuation with Bearish Signals

At Tickeron, we believe in unleashing the power of artificial intelligence to enhance trading decisions, and our marketing team plays a pivotal role in sharing this vision with the world.


Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA) as we delve into its current market outlook. According to the analysis conducted by A.I.dvisor, WBA has entered a bearish trend, suggesting a potential downtrend continuation. In this blog post, we will explore the key indicators driving this prediction and examine historical data and statistical probabilities provided by A.I.dvisor, indicating a significant chance of further downward movement in WBA's price.

Before we proceed, let's gain a clear understanding of a bearish trend. A bearish trend refers to a prolonged period of declining prices in a particular stock or market. It is characterized by a series of lower highs and lower lows, indicating a prevailing negative sentiment and potential selling pressure among investors.

Continuation of WBA's Downtrend: Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA) currently finds itself in a projected downtrend, as indicated by A.I.dvisor's analysis. The forecast suggests that WBA may experience a decline of approximately 4%, potentially reaching a price of $29.94 or even lower within the next month. This forecast underscores the prevailing negative sentiment surrounding the stock and indicates a likelihood of the downtrend continuing.

To provide further context and statistical support, A.I.dvisor has examined historical scenarios with similar downtrend patterns in WBA. The analysis reveals that in these past instances, the stock tended to trend downward throughout the month. Based on the identified cases, the odds of a downtrend continuation are calculated to be 73%. This statistical insight lends weight to the probability of WBA's downtrend persisting.

 As Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA) enters a bearish phase, it is crucial for investors to exercise caution. While the analysis by A.I.dvisor and historical probabilities indicate a high chance of a downtrend continuation, it is important to consider other factors that may impact WBA's performance. Market conditions, industry-specific dynamics, and company-specific developments can all influence stock prices. Conducting thorough research and seeking guidance from financial advisors is strongly advised before making any investment decisions.

Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA) is currently positioned in a bearish trend, signaling a projected downtrend continuation. A.I.dvisor's analysis predicts a decline in WBA's price within the next month, with statistical probabilities suggesting a 73% chance of a downtrend continuation. Investors are advised to exercise caution and conduct their own research to evaluate the broader market landscape, industry dynamics, and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions.

Related Ticker: WBA

Momentum Indicator for WBA turns positive, indicating new upward trend

WBA saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 04, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 97 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 97 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

WBA moved above its 50-day moving average on October 28, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for WBA crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 17, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a +2 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where WBA advanced for three days, in of 264 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 107 cases where WBA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for WBA moved out of overbought territory on October 21, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 28 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for WBA turned negative on October 25, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where WBA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

WBA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.250) is normal, around the industry mean (5.704). P/E Ratio (32.848) is within average values for comparable stocks, (172.042). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.170) is also within normal values, averaging (1.915). Dividend Yield (0.086) settles around the average of (0.050) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.117) is also within normal values, averaging (0.765).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. WBA’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. WBA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Walgreens Boots Alliance (null:WBA).

Industry description

The drugstore chains industry includes stores that sell medicines (both prescription and non-prescription), health, beauty and personal care products. Over time, many pharmacy retail chains have launched their own pharmacy benefits management services. Since demand for medical products is typically less sensitive to economic cycles, drugstore retail chains industry could be largely considered as non-cyclical. CVS Health Corporation, Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc. and Rite Aid Corporation are some of the biggest operators in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Drugstore Chains Industry is 3.96B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 3.29K to 18.71B. WBA holds the highest valuation in this group at 18.71B. The lowest valued company is RLLVF at 3.29K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Drugstore Chains Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 19%, and the average quarterly price growth was 6%. CJJD experienced the highest price growth at 33%, while WBA experienced the biggest fall at -10%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Drugstore Chains Industry was -19%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -38% and the average quarterly volume growth was 38%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 58
P/E Growth Rating: 65
Price Growth Rating: 51
SMR Rating: 84
Profit Risk Rating: 93
Seasonality Score: 10 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I.Advisor
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A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a provider of drug store services

Industry DrugstoreChains

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Drugstore Chains
Address
108 Wilmot Road
Phone
+1 847 315-3700
Employees
331000
Web
https://www.walgreensbootsalliance.com
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