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AGI vs GFI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI) vs. Gold Fields Limited (GFI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both AGI and GFI are gold producers benefiting from elevated gold prices, but GFI delivered stronger one-year returns of approximately 95-98% compared to AGI's 51%.
- AGI reported record Q1 2026 revenues of $597 million, up 79% year-over-year, though shares dipped post-earnings.
- GFI trades at a lower trailing P/E ratio of 10.68 versus AGI's 15.71, suggesting relative value.
- Year-to-date, both stocks show modest gains around 0.8%, reflecting recent market consolidation in gold miners.
- Analyst price targets indicate upside potential: $60.50 for AGI and $60.78 for GFI.
- Several AI trading bots targeting gold miners show strong performance, with returns up to 61% annualized.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines AGI and GFI, two prominent gold mining companies navigating a favorable gold market environment. Investors interested in precious metals exposure, particularly those seeking diversified producers amid geopolitical tensions and inflationary pressures, may find value in evaluating their relative performance. With gold prices remaining elevated in recent months, both stocks offer insights into operational efficiency, cost management, and growth prospects. This analysis highlights key metrics, recent developments, and market positioning to aid informed decision-making in the current landscape.
AGI Overview and Recent Performance
Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI) is a mid-tier gold producer focused on operations in Canada and Mexico, emphasizing low-cost, high-quality assets. In recent market activity, AGI shares have traded around $39.42, with a market capitalization of approximately $16.6 billion. Year-to-date performance stands at 0.87%, reflecting consolidation after strong prior gains. The Q1 2026 earnings showcased record revenues of $597 million, up 79% year-over-year, driven by higher gold prices and production, alongside adjusted earnings of $232 million. All-in sustaining costs (AISC, a key metric for miners measuring total production costs including sustaining capital) were $1,862 per ounce, expected to decline. Sentiment has been supported by analyst buy ratings and production outlook, though shares dipped post-earnings amid broader sector rotation.
GFI Overview and Recent Performance
Gold Fields Limited (GFI) is a large-scale gold producer with operations across South Africa, Ghana, Australia, Peru, Canada, and Chile, also exploring copper and silver. Shares recently closed near $42.08, with a market cap of $37.6 billion. Year-to-date returns are around 0.81%, amid recent pullbacks from 52-week highs of $61.64. Strong 2025 results featured revenue of $8.75 billion and net income of $3.57 billion, bolstered by production growth and cost efficiencies. Recent analyst upgrades, including Canaccord's buy rating with a $57.25 target, have lifted sentiment, driven by robust cash flows and shareholder returns like a $1.37 quarterly dividend. Elevated gold prices continue to underpin performance, though emerging market exposures add volatility.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots page curates the top 25 AI Trading Bots from a library of 351 bots that trade thousands of tickers across diverse strategies, timeframes, and asset classes. These bots employ AI/ML for real-time signals, featuring varying styles like signal agents for semiconductors, energy, precious metals, and volatility plays. Standout performers show annualized returns from +23.46% to +162.28%, win rates of 51.30% to 88.33%, profit factors up to 11.70, and profit-to-drawdown ratios to 17.02. Notably, gold miners bots (covering 9-18 tickers including silver and copper) deliver +54% to +61% returns with 6-day average trades. Ideal for current volatile conditions, these bots highlight adaptive strategies. Traders can explore and copy top performers tailored to market dynamics.
Head-to-Head Comparison
AGI and GFI share gold production models but differ in scale and geography: AGI focuses on North American assets for lower jurisdictional risk, while GFI offers global diversification including higher-risk emerging markets. Growth drivers include AGI's pipeline of low-cost projects versus GFI's ramp-ups like Salares Norte. Recent momentum favors GFI with superior one-year gains, though both exhibit YTD stability. Risk factors encompass gold price sensitivity for both, with GFI facing greater operational complexities. Sector exposure is pure-play gold, but GFI's lower P/E signals better value. Market sentiment leans positive for both amid analyst upgrades, balancing trade-offs in size, valuation, and volatility.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward GFI based on stronger trend consistency over the past year, lower valuation multiples, recent analyst upgrades, and larger scale providing stability. Observable catalysts like robust cash generation and production growth position GFI favorably in the gold sector, though AGI offers quality North American exposure. This probabilistic edge reflects relative momentum rather than guarantees.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AGI is a Hold and GFI is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AGI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileGFI’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- AGI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- GFI’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AGI’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while GFI’s TA Score has 2 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AGI’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- GFI’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
AGI (@Precious Metals) experienced а -7.26% price change this week, while GFI (@Precious Metals) price change was -10.23% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was -0.28%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.24%, and the average quarterly price growth was +64.48%.
Reported Earning Dates
AGI is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
GFI is expected to report earnings on Aug 21, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (-0.28% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| AGI | GFI | AGI / GFI | |
| Capitalization | 17B | 39.7B | 43% |
| EBITDA | 1.55B | 6.34B | 25% |
| Gain YTD | 4.361 | -5.078 | -86% |
| P/E Ratio | 16.03 | 10.22 | 157% |
| Revenue | 2.07B | 8.75B | 24% |
| Total Cash | 704M | 1.78B | 40% |
| Total Debt | 220M | 3.22B | 7% |
AGI | GFI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 68 | 53 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 21 Undervalued | 4 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 26 | 33 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 37 | 21 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 47 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 97 | 81 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
GFI's Valuation (4) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AGI (21). This means that GFI’s stock grew similarly to AGI’s over the last 12 months.
AGI's Profit vs Risk Rating (26) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as GFI (33). This means that AGI’s stock grew similarly to GFI’s over the last 12 months.
GFI's SMR Rating (21) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AGI (37). This means that GFI’s stock grew similarly to AGI’s over the last 12 months.
AGI's Price Growth Rating (46) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as GFI (47). This means that AGI’s stock grew similarly to GFI’s over the last 12 months.
GFI's P/E Growth Rating (81) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AGI (97). This means that GFI’s stock grew similarly to AGI’s over the last 12 months.
| AGI | GFI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 84% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 79% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 72% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 74% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 74% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 78% | N/A |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 75% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 66% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| LYFX | 7.92 | N/A | N/A |
| Tradr 2X Long LYFT Daily ETF | |||
| USSH | 50.37 | -0.06 | -0.11% |
| WisdomTree 1-3 Year Laddered Trsy ETF | |||
| EFAX | 52.35 | -0.90 | -1.70% |
| State Street®SPDR®MSCIEAFEFsslFlRsvFrETF | |||
| IAE | 8.23 | -0.17 | -2.02% |
| VOYA ASIA PACIFIC HIGH DIVIDEND EQUITY Income FUND | |||
| CGXU | 32.53 | -0.90 | -2.69% |
| Capital Group International Focus Eq ETF | |||
AGI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AGI has been closely correlated with AEM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 86% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AGI jumps, then AEM could also see price increases.
GFI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GFI has been closely correlated with AU. These tickers have moved in lockstep 90% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GFI jumps, then AU could also see price increases.