Compare predictions ARLP vs BTU
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To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ARLP is a Buy and BTU is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ARLP’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileBTU’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ARLP’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- BTU’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ARLP’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while BTU’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ARLP’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- BTU’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
ARLP (@Coal) experienced а +0.88% price change this week, while BTU (@Coal) price change was -2.70% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Coal industry was -0.82%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.33%, and the average quarterly price growth was +12.67%.
Reported Earning Dates
ARLP is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2024.
BTU is expected to report earnings on Jul 25, 2024.
Industries' Descriptions
@Coal (-0.82% weekly)Companies that mine, process and distribute coal and lignite. Coal goes towards around 30% of global energy production, and is heavily relied upon for electricity generation. Alliance Resource Partners, L.P., Peabody Energy Corporation and Arch Coal Inc. are major coal companies in the U.S.
| ARLP | BTU | ARLP / BTU | |
| Capitalization | 2.58B | 3.1B | 83% |
| EBITDA | 949M | 1.51B | 63% |
| Gain YTD | 3.463 | -3.314 | -105% |
| P/E Ratio | 4.19 | 4.83 | 87% |
| Revenue | 2.57B | 4.95B | 52% |
| Total Cash | 59.8M | 969M | 6% |
| Total Debt | 351M | 399M | 88% |
ARLP | BTU | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 24 | 63 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 7 Undervalued | 38 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 40 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 26 | 44 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 59 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 64 | 19 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 5 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ARLP's Valuation (7) in the Coal industry is in the same range as BTU (38). This means that ARLP’s stock grew similarly to BTU’s over the last 12 months.
ARLP's Profit vs Risk Rating (40) in the Coal industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BTU (100). This means that ARLP’s stock grew somewhat faster than BTU’s over the last 12 months.
ARLP's SMR Rating (26) in the Coal industry is in the same range as BTU (44). This means that ARLP’s stock grew similarly to BTU’s over the last 12 months.
ARLP's Price Growth Rating (50) in the Coal industry is in the same range as BTU (59). This means that ARLP’s stock grew similarly to BTU’s over the last 12 months.
BTU's P/E Growth Rating (19) in the Coal industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ARLP (64). This means that BTU’s stock grew somewhat faster than ARLP’s over the last 12 months.
| ARLP | BTU | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 85% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 82% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 85% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 82% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 84% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 15 days ago 81% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 83% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 85% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 81% |
ARLP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ARLP has been loosely correlated with CEIX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 44% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ARLP jumps, then CEIX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ARLP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARLP | 100% | -0.05% | ||
| CEIX - ARLP | 44% Loosely correlated | -0.23% | ||
| BTU - ARLP | 39% Loosely correlated | -1.97% | ||
| ARCH - ARLP | 35% Loosely correlated | -2.88% | ||
| HNRG - ARLP | 33% Poorly correlated | -2.91% | ||
| NRP - ARLP | 32% Poorly correlated | +1.23% | ||
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BTU and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BTU has been closely correlated with ARCH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BTU jumps, then ARCH could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BTU | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTU | 100% | -1.97% | ||
| ARCH - BTU | 72% Closely correlated | -2.88% | ||
| CEIX - BTU | 69% Closely correlated | -0.23% | ||
| HCC - BTU | 60% Loosely correlated | -2.28% | ||
| AMR - BTU | 53% Loosely correlated | -3.39% | ||
| HNRG - BTU | 51% Loosely correlated | -2.91% | ||
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