Advertisement
ASML vs MTSI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? ASML Holding (ASML) vs. MACOM Technology Solutions (MTSI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both ASML and MTSI have delivered strong YTD gains around 30%, reflecting semiconductor sector momentum driven by AI demand.
- ASML, a leader in EUV lithography equipment, benefits from robust backlogs and analyst upgrades amid AI chip production growth.
- MTSI focuses on analog RF semiconductors for data centers and telecom, with recent earnings beats and upbeat guidance fueling share gains.
- ASML faces geopolitical export risks, while MTSI contends with higher volatility in component demand cycles.
- Relative performance shows both stocks outperforming benchmarks, with MTSI's 120% one-year return highlighting momentum in data center applications.
- Tickeron's AI bots trading semiconductor tickers like ASML demonstrate strong annualized returns up to 99% in recent simulations.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines ASML Holding N.V. and MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. (MTSI), two key players in the semiconductor ecosystem. ASML dominates advanced lithography equipment essential for cutting-edge chip manufacturing, while MTSI supplies analog semiconductors for RF, microwave, and data center applications. Traders and investors focused on AI-driven growth, semiconductor supply chains, and relative performance will find value in analyzing their market positioning, recent momentum, and sector exposures. Amid broader market volatility, both stocks offer insights into technology sector trends and trade-offs in growth versus stability.
ASML Overview and Recent Performance
ASML Holding N.V., headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands, is the global leader in photolithography systems, particularly extreme ultraviolet (EUV) technology critical for advanced semiconductor nodes. The company provides lithography, metrology, and inspection solutions to major chipmakers, enabling production of AI accelerators and high-performance computing chips. In recent market activity, ASML's shares have shown resilience, with YTD gains near 30% and a market cap exceeding $540 billion. Sentiment has been bolstered by a robust EUV backlog fueled by AI demand, analyst price target upgrades like Bank of America's lift to $1,886, and strong Q4 2025 results with €9.7 billion in sales. Geopolitical tensions, including U.S.-China export restrictions, have introduced volatility, but optimism persists due to long-term AI upcycle visibility and projected revenue growth through 2028.
MTSI Overview and Recent Performance
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. (MTSI), based in Lowell, Massachusetts, designs and manufactures analog semiconductors for RF, microwave, millimeter wave, and lightwave applications. Its products serve telecom infrastructure, data centers, defense, and industrial markets, including amplifiers, switches, and subsystems for 5G/6G and optical networks. Recent weeks have seen MTSI shares reflect strong momentum, with YTD performance at about 30% and a one-year return over 120%, supported by a $16.7 billion market cap. Key drivers include Q4 2025 earnings beats with $271.6 million in revenue (up 24.5% YoY) and upbeat Q1 2026 guidance exceeding estimates. Positive sentiment stems from data center growth and participation in standards like active copper cables, though short-term pullbacks highlight cyclical risks in end-market demand.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots page features a curated selection of top-performing AI trading bots from its extensive library of hundreds of bots that analyze thousands of tickers using technical and fundamental strategies. These bots employ diverse approaches, including trend following, swing trading, hedging, and leveraged ETF plays across sectors like semiconductors, energy, and communications. Highlighted stats show annualized returns ranging from 17% to over 216%, win rates of 53% to 95%, and profit factors up to 25.8, with some bots trading up to 25 tickers and average durations from 1 day to 62 days. For instance, a semiconductor bot including ASML has achieved 99% annualized returns with a 69% win rate. This section spotlights bots best suited to current conditions, offering real-time signals for copy trading. Explore these high-potential options to enhance your strategy.
Head-to-Head Comparison
ASML and MTSI operate in complementary semiconductor niches: ASML's capital equipment model focuses on high-value EUV systems with near-monopoly status, contrasting MTSI's consumable analog components for immediate deployment in networks. Growth drivers differ—ASML leverages AI fab expansions and EUV layers for sub-3nm nodes, while MTSI capitalizes on data center interconnects and 5G/6G ramps. Recent momentum favors MTSI's post-earnings surge versus ASML's steadier gains amid analyst upgrades. Risk factors include ASML's exposure to export curbs and cyclical capex, versus MTSI's higher P/E (101x) and customer concentration. Sector overlaps in AI amplify synergies, but ASML offers scale stability while MTSI provides agile growth trade-offs.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors MTSI for its superior relative momentum, with 120% one-year returns and strong data center catalysts outpacing ASML's more stable but geopolitically constrained profile. Factors like earnings beats, upbeat guidance, and niche analog demand position MTSI probabilistically higher in short-to-medium term trends, though ASML's EUV dominance suggests catch-up potential on AI fab visibility.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ASML is a Hold and MTSI is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ASML’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileMTSI’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ASML’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- MTSI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ASML’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MTSI’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ASML’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- MTSI’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ASML (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а -1.25% price change this week, while MTSI (@Semiconductors) price change was +7.31% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was +10.31%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +23.36%, and the average quarterly price growth was +116.53%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +11.63%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +20.79%, and the average quarterly price growth was +24.53%.
Reported Earning Dates
ASML is expected to report earnings on Jul 15, 2026.
MTSI is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (+10.31% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
@Semiconductors (+11.63% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| ASML | MTSI | ASML / MTSI | |
| Capitalization | 556B | 20.8B | 2,673% |
| EBITDA | 12.6B | 259M | 4,865% |
| Gain YTD | 36.810 | 61.706 | 60% |
| P/E Ratio | 47.81 | 125.33 | 38% |
| Revenue | 32.7B | 1.02B | 3,203% |
| Total Cash | 13.3B | 768M | 1,732% |
| Total Debt | 4.39B | 531M | 827% |
ASML | MTSI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 14 | 28 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 75 Overvalued | 83 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 27 | 8 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 19 | 59 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 36 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 14 | 44 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ASML's Valuation (75) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as MTSI (83) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that ASML’s stock grew similarly to MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
MTSI's Profit vs Risk Rating (8) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as ASML (27) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that MTSI’s stock grew similarly to ASML’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's SMR Rating (19) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MTSI (59) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that ASML’s stock grew somewhat faster than MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
MTSI's Price Growth Rating (36) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as ASML (40) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that MTSI’s stock grew similarly to ASML’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's P/E Growth Rating (14) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as MTSI (44) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that ASML’s stock grew similarly to MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
| ASML | MTSI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 70% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 76% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 77% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 79% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 20 days ago 70% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 79% |
Advertisement
ASML and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ASML has been closely correlated with ASMLF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ASML jumps, then ASMLF could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ASML | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASML | 100% | +3.47% | ||
| ASMLF - ASML | 85% Closely correlated | +2.42% | ||
| ASMIY - ASML | 80% Closely correlated | +2.09% | ||
| LRCX - ASML | 80% Closely correlated | +2.54% | ||
| KLAC - ASML | 79% Closely correlated | +3.26% | ||
| AMAT - ASML | 77% Closely correlated | +1.81% | ||
More | ||||
MTSI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MTSI has been closely correlated with KLAC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MTSI jumps, then KLAC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MTSI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSI | 100% | +5.95% | ||
| KLAC - MTSI | 70% Closely correlated | +3.26% | ||
| LRCX - MTSI | 70% Closely correlated | +2.54% | ||
| SITM - MTSI | 69% Closely correlated | +7.01% | ||
| VECO - MTSI | 68% Closely correlated | +0.21% | ||
| AMKR - MTSI | 68% Closely correlated | +7.11% | ||
More | ||||