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ASTS vs JOBY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) vs. Joby Aviation (JOBY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) focuses on space-based cellular broadband, achieving YTD gains of 19% but declining 26% over the past month amid a $1B convertible notes raise.
- Joby Aviation (JOBY) develops eVTOL aircraft for air mobility, with stronger YTD performance at 22% and recent manufacturing expansions backed by Toyota.
- Both stocks exhibit high volatility in emerging tech sectors, with ASTS at a larger market cap of $32B versus JOBY's $10B.
- Recent catalysts include ASTS's BlueBird 6 satellite deployment and JOBY's global certification pushes, influencing short-term sentiment.
- AI trading bots on Tickeron show strong performance in related sectors like aerospace, highlighting momentum opportunities in these tickers.
- Relative performance favors JOBY in stability, while ASTS leads in long-term growth potential from satellite milestones.
Introduction
AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) and Joby Aviation (JOBY) represent cutting-edge innovations in aerospace and mobility, with ASTS pioneering space-based cellular networks directly compatible with smartphones and JOBY advancing electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft for urban air transportation. Traders and investors tracking high-growth, speculative plays in telecom infrastructure and advanced air mobility will find this stock comparison relevant. Both companies operate in nascent markets with significant upside from technological breakthroughs and partnerships, yet face execution risks amid volatile market positioning. This analysis examines their recent performance, business models, and relative strengths in the current environment.
ASTS Overview and Recent Performance
AST SpaceMobile, Inc. designs and deploys BlueBird satellites to create a space-based cellular broadband network accessible by unmodified smartphones, targeting areas beyond terrestrial coverage for commercial and government applications. Headquartered in Midland, Texas, the company has partnerships with major carriers like AT&T and Verizon. In recent market activity, ASTS shares have shown volatility, with a year-to-date gain of approximately 19% but a 26% decline over the past month. This pullback followed a $1 billion convertible senior notes offering due 2036, aimed at funding satellite deployments, alongside the successful unfolding of BlueBird 6—the largest commercial communications array in low Earth orbit at 2,400 square feet. Sentiment reflects funding dilution concerns balanced by technical milestones, with a quarterly update scheduled for March 2. Market cap stands at $32 billion, with trailing revenue of $18.5 million but net losses of $304 million.
JOBY Overview and Recent Performance
Joby Aviation, Inc., based in Santa Cruz, California, is a vertically integrated air mobility firm developing eVTOL aircraft for on-demand air taxi services, supported by an app-based platform. Key backers include Toyota, which recently deployed staff to aid production scaling. Recent weeks have seen JOBY shares post a 22% year-to-date return, outperforming broader indices, amid announcements of manufacturing expansions targeting four aircraft per month by 2027 and global certification efforts. The stock experienced pressure from a $1.2 billion upsized offering of stock and convertible notes, yet benefits from low debt of $46 million and quarterly revenue growth exceeding 80,000% year-over-year to $22.6 million TTM, though net losses reached $1.05 billion. Earnings are due February 25, driving trader focus on commercialization timelines. Market cap is around $10 billion.
Trending AI Robots
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ASTS and JOBY diverge in business models: ASTS emphasizes satellite constellations for global connectivity, contrasting JOBY's urban-focused eVTOL ridesharing. Growth drivers include ASTS's spectrum partnerships and satellite launches versus JOBY's FAA certification progress and Toyota-backed manufacturing. Recent momentum favors JOBY's steadier YTD gains and lower dilution impact, while ASTS contends with sharper monthly declines from capital raises. Risk factors are elevated for both—ASTS faces deployment delays and high debt ($722 million), JOBY grapples with regulatory hurdles—though JOBY's leaner balance sheet offers relative stability. Sector exposure positions ASTS in space telecom and JOBY in advanced aviation, with market sentiment tilting toward JOBY's near-term catalysts amid broader aerospace enthusiasm. Trade-offs highlight ASTS's expansive scale potential against JOBY's focused commercialization path.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors JOBY due to its superior year-to-date trend consistency, lower relative debt burden, and manufacturing catalysts positioning it for nearer-term revenue ramps in air mobility. ASTS shows promise from satellite milestones but trails in recent stability amid funding pressures. Probabilistic edge leans toward JOBY for momentum traders, though ASTS suits long-duration plays on connectivity disruption.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ASTS is a Hold and JOBY is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ASTS’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileJOBY’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- ASTS’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- JOBY’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ASTS’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while JOBY’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ASTS’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- JOBY’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ASTS (@Telecommunications Equipment) experienced а -9.87% price change this week, while JOBY (@Air Freight/Couriers) price change was +10.55% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Telecommunications Equipment industry was +4.99%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +12.79%, and the average quarterly price growth was +46.19%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Air Freight/Couriers industry was +0.72%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.59%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.60%.
Reported Earning Dates
ASTS is expected to report earnings on May 18, 2026.
JOBY is expected to report earnings on May 13, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Telecommunications Equipment (+4.99% weekly)The Telecommunications Equipment industry produces voice and data communications equipment, which includes fiber optic delivery products, digital signal processors, high-speed voice, data and video delivery. Additionally, satellite systems, global positioning systems, wireless data systems, personal communications equipment, telephone handsets and payload equipment for satellites also fall into this category. Apple Inc., QUALCOMM Incorporated and Nokia are major global players in this segment.
@Air Freight/Couriers (+0.72% weekly)The Air Freight/Couriers industry operates air transportation and recurring delivery services. This includes companies offering same-day deliveries, scheduled delivery and logistical services. The proliferation of e-commerce/online retail with a growing emphasis on faster delivery has expanded opportunities for this industry, and induced more competition. United Parcel Service, Inc., FedEx Corporation and Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. are some of the major companies in this industry.
| ASTS | JOBY | ASTS / JOBY | |
| Capitalization | 23.7B | 8.95B | 265% |
| EBITDA | -369.93M | -679.43M | 54% |
| Gain YTD | 17.761 | -30.152 | -59% |
| P/E Ratio | N/A | N/A | - |
| Revenue | 70.9M | 53.4M | 133% |
| Total Cash | 2.34B | 1.41B | 166% |
| Total Debt | 2.24B | 36.8M | 6,087% |
ASTS | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 100 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 35 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 96 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 3 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| ASTS | JOBY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 85% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 89% | 4 days ago 82% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 81% | 4 days ago 79% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 85% | 4 days ago 82% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 87% | 4 days ago 78% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 84% | 4 days ago 84% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 87% | 5 days ago 78% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 84% | 22 days ago 82% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 90% | 4 days ago 87% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 79% | 4 days ago 88% |
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ASTS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ASTS has been loosely correlated with TSAT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 52% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ASTS jumps, then TSAT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ASTS | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASTS | 100% | -5.95% | ||
| TSAT - ASTS | 52% Loosely correlated | +2.17% | ||
| VSAT - ASTS | 45% Loosely correlated | +2.65% | ||
| S - ASTS | 44% Loosely correlated | +0.65% | ||
| ONDS - ASTS | 43% Loosely correlated | -1.96% | ||
| LTRX - ASTS | 40% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
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JOBY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, JOBY has been loosely correlated with SRTA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 36% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if JOBY jumps, then SRTA could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To JOBY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JOBY | 100% | N/A | ||
| SRTA - JOBY | 36% Loosely correlated | +1.56% | ||
| ASLE - JOBY | 27% Poorly correlated | +2.97% | ||
| OMAB - JOBY | 24% Poorly correlated | +1.68% | ||
| CAAP - JOBY | 23% Poorly correlated | +0.73% | ||
| SOAR - JOBY | 23% Poorly correlated | -5.83% | ||
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