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AU vs RGLD
Which Stock Would AI Choose? AngloGold Ashanti (AU) vs. Royal Gold (RGLD) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AU has delivered stronger year-to-date performance of about 10% compared to RGLD's 4%.
- AU trades at a lower P/E ratio of approximately 18 versus RGLD's 34, indicating relatively better valuation metrics.
- RGLD shows lower market volatility with a beta of 0.55 compared to AU's 0.68 (beta measures sensitivity to market movements).
- Both stocks have experienced pullbacks in recent weeks, with AU down around 9% over the past month and RGLD down about 11%.
- AU provides a higher dividend yield of 4.6% versus RGLD's 0.8%.
- RGLD's royalty and streaming model offers more predictable cash flows, contrasting AU's operational mining risks.
Introduction
AU and RGLD are prominent players in the gold sector, representing distinct strategies: AngloGold Ashanti as a global gold producer and Royal Gold as a precious metals royalty and streaming company. This comparison is particularly relevant for investors and traders seeking exposure to gold amid fluctuating commodity prices, geopolitical tensions, and interest rate dynamics. By examining recent performance, valuations, and business models, readers can assess relative strengths in the current market environment, aiding decisions on sector allocation or direct stock picks.
AU Overview and Recent Performance
AngloGold Ashanti plc (AU) is a leading gold mining company with operations across Africa, Australia, and the Americas, producing gold alongside by-products like silver. Its flagship assets include the Geita mine in Tanzania. In recent market activity, AU has traded around $93, with a 52-week range of $39 to $129 and a market cap near $47 billion. The stock has shown year-to-date gains of about 10%, outperforming broader markets at times, driven by strong EPS growth and notable reserves like 4.9 million ounces in Nevada, earning nods from Goldman Sachs. However, sentiment has softened in recent weeks due to a major debt tender offer, insider sales totaling $13 million, and regulatory pressures in Ghana regarding local contractor transitions, contributing to a roughly 9% monthly decline. Volatility reflects gold price swings and operational challenges typical of producers.
RGLD Overview and Recent Performance
Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD) focuses on acquiring precious metal streams and royalties, providing financing to miners in exchange for future production shares without direct operational involvement. Its portfolio spans gold, silver, and other metals across multiple continents. Recently, shares have hovered near $231, within a 52-week range of $151 to $306, with a market cap of about $19.6 billion. Year-to-date returns stand at around 4%, with upcoming Q1 2026 earnings on May 6 anticipated to highlight growth. Positive catalysts include UBS's Buy rating with a $325 target and recognition as a top long-term gold stock. Recent weeks have seen an 11% pullback amid gold sector pressures, though its lower beta underscores relative stability. Analyst optimism persists on integration of new assets and royalty leverage to metal prices.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AU and RGLD differ fundamentally: AU's mining operations expose it to cost inflation, regulatory hurdles (e.g., Ghana shifts), and production risks, while RGLD's royalty model delivers high-margin, predictable revenues less tied to operational execution. Growth drivers for AU include reserve expansions like Nevada, versus RGLD's stream acquisitions boosting long-term ounces. Recent momentum favors AU's superior YTD returns, but RGLD edges in stability (lower beta) and analyst upside potential. Risk factors tilt higher for AU due to mining volatility; sector exposure is pure precious metals for both, with RGLD diversified across metals. Market sentiment reflects gold's safe-haven appeal, tempered by rate hikes, positioning RGLD for trade-offs in consistency over AU's value and yield.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward AU based on its stronger relative year-to-date performance, attractive valuation via lower P/E, and higher dividend yield amid recent gold sector catalysts like reserve highlights. While RGLD offers stability, AU's trend consistency and positioning suggest higher probability of near-term outperformance, though both warrant monitoring gold prices and earnings.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AU is a StrongBuy and RGLD is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AU’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileRGLD’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- AU’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- RGLD’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AU’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while RGLD’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AU’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- RGLD’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
AU (@Precious Metals) experienced а -14.37% price change this week, while RGLD (@Precious Metals) price change was -10.77% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was -6.12%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.15%, and the average quarterly price growth was +62.79%.
Reported Earning Dates
AU is expected to report earnings on Aug 11, 2026.
RGLD is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (-6.12% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| AU | RGLD | AU / RGLD | |
| Capitalization | 45.2B | 18.6B | 243% |
| EBITDA | 5.76B | 1.03B | 558% |
| Gain YTD | 6.521 | -1.123 | -581% |
| P/E Ratio | 13.12 | 26.47 | 50% |
| Revenue | 11.2B | 1.31B | 858% |
| Total Cash | 3.15B | 234M | 1,348% |
| Total Debt | 2.29B | 596M | 384% |
AU | RGLD | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 64 | 57 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 4 Undervalued | 18 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 33 | 41 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 21 | 64 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 45 | 59 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 53 | 58 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AU's Valuation (4) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as RGLD (18). This means that AU’s stock grew similarly to RGLD’s over the last 12 months.
AU's Profit vs Risk Rating (33) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as RGLD (41). This means that AU’s stock grew similarly to RGLD’s over the last 12 months.
AU's SMR Rating (21) in the Precious Metals industry is somewhat better than the same rating for RGLD (64). This means that AU’s stock grew somewhat faster than RGLD’s over the last 12 months.
AU's Price Growth Rating (45) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as RGLD (59). This means that AU’s stock grew similarly to RGLD’s over the last 12 months.
AU's P/E Growth Rating (53) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as RGLD (58). This means that AU’s stock grew similarly to RGLD’s over the last 12 months.
| AU | RGLD | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 82% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 69% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 57% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 63% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 62% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 83% | 9 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 74% | 1 day ago 61% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 63% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 58% |
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AU and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AU has been closely correlated with GFI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 90% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AU jumps, then GFI could also see price increases.