Advertisement
AXON vs KTOS
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Axon Enterprise (AXON) vs. Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AXON delivered a 14.2% gain over the past month amid AI-driven public safety demand, contrasting KTOS's recent pullback after a 190% one-year surge.
- KTOS leads year-to-date with 16% gains fueled by defense contracts in drones and unmanned systems, while AXON lags at -13% YTD.
- Both stocks operate in security sectors but AXON ($46B market cap, 39% revenue growth) emphasizes recurring SaaS revenue versus KTOS ($16B cap, 22% growth) in high-growth defense hardware.
- Valuations reflect risks: AXON trades at elevated multiples amid expense pressures, while KTOS shows momentum but volatility from contract reliance.
- Geopolitical tensions boost defense sentiment, enhancing KTOS's relative positioning over AXON's stable public safety focus.
Introduction
Axon Enterprise (AXON) and Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS) represent key players in the security technology landscape, blending public safety innovations with defense systems. This stock comparison examines their business models, recent performance, and market dynamics amid rising demand for advanced tech in law enforcement and national security. Traders seeking momentum in defense amid geopolitical shifts or investors eyeing stable SaaS growth in public safety will find insights into relative performance, growth drivers, and sector exposure valuable for informed decisions in today's volatile environment.
AXON Overview and Recent Performance
Axon Enterprise (AXON), formerly TASER International, develops public safety technologies including conducted energy devices, body cameras, drones, and cloud-based evidence management software. The company operates in connected devices and software & services segments, serving law enforcement globally.
In recent market activity, AXON shares have shown resilience with a 14.2% gain over the past month and 9-28% monthly rises noted in analyses, driven by 39% quarterly revenue growth to $2.78B TTM and over $750M in AI bookings for platforms enhancing law enforcement operations. Sentiment reflects strong demand for AI-integrated solutions and acquisitions in 911 services, though YTD declines around -13% stem from elevated valuations (high P/E), rising operating expenses, and competition pressures. Broader one-year performance trails at -11%, underscoring trade-offs between growth and profitability in recent weeks.
KTOS Overview and Recent Performance
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS) is a technology firm providing products for defense, national security, and commercial markets, including unmanned aerial systems, hypersonic vehicles, propulsion, microwave electronics, and satellite ground systems. It operates via Kratos Government Solutions and Unmanned Systems segments, primarily serving the U.S. Department of Defense and allies.
Recent weeks have seen KTOS experience volatility, with a modest pullback after peaking near $134, yet maintaining YTD gains of 16% and extraordinary 190% one-year returns on defense contract wins like counter-UAS and OpenSpace deployments. Revenue grew 22% quarterly to $1.35B TTM, fueled by geopolitical demand for drones and missiles, though recent monthly dips around -2% reflect profit-taking post-surge. Market sentiment supports momentum from sector tailwinds, balanced against contract dependencies and high beta exposure.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots page showcases over 25 top-performing AI trading bots curated from 351 total bots that trade thousands of tickers across stocks, ETFs, and crypto. These bots, powered by AI/ML models on 5min to 60min timeframes, employ diverse strategies like trend trading, volatility plays, and pattern recognition, delivering annualized returns from +17% to +208%, win rates of 53-95%, and profit factors up to 25.83 over durations of 1-62 days. Examples include aerospace bots on ITA/XAR achieving +30-83% returns with 73-80% win rates, ideal for defense sector plays. Traders can copy signals via Signal, Virtual, or Brokerage Agents suited to current conditions. Explore Trending AI Robots for bots matching your style.
Head-to-Head Comparison
AXON and KTOS both tap security demand but diverge in focus: AXON's SaaS-heavy model (59% gross margins, 125% net retention) drives stable recurring revenue from public safety, versus KTOS's hardware-centric unmanned/drone emphasis amid defense budgets. Growth favors AXON at 39% vs. 22%, with larger $46B cap dwarfing KTOS's $16B, but KTOS boasts superior momentum (190% 1-yr vs. -11%). Risks include AXON's high expenses/valuation and KTOS's contract volatility (beta 1.15). Sector exposure tilts KTOS toward geopolitics, AXON to domestic stability; sentiment favors KTOS in volatile defense upswings.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward KTOS based on superior trend consistency, YTD momentum, and defense catalysts amid geopolitical tensions, with bots in aerospace/defense ETFs showing 30-83% annualized returns. AXON offers stability via SaaS growth but trails on relative performance and valuation stretch. Probabilistic edge to KTOS for traders eyeing near-term upside, though both benefit from security sector tailwinds.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AXON is a Hold and KTOS is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AXON’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileKTOS’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- AXON’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- KTOS’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AXON’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KTOS’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AXON’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- KTOS’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 2 bearish.
Price Growth
AXON (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а +12.27% price change this week, while KTOS (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was +0.92% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +1.71%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +10.37%, and the average quarterly price growth was +29.41%.
Reported Earning Dates
AXON is expected to report earnings on May 12, 2026.
KTOS is expected to report earnings on May 06, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (+1.71% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
| AXON | KTOS | AXON / KTOS | |
| Capitalization | 32.5B | 13.1B | 248% |
| EBITDA | 196M | 103M | 190% |
| Gain YTD | -28.908 | -6.481 | 446% |
| P/E Ratio | 267.38 | 537.15 | 50% |
| Revenue | 2.78B | 1.35B | 206% |
| Total Cash | 1.73B | 561M | 309% |
| Total Debt | 1.91B | 146M | 1,308% |
AXON | KTOS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 7 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 88 Overvalued | 94 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 70 | 61 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 85 | 89 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 65 | 63 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 9 | 14 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AXON's Valuation (88) in the Biotechnology industry is in the same range as KTOS (94) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that AXON’s stock grew similarly to KTOS’s over the last 12 months.
KTOS's Profit vs Risk Rating (61) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as AXON (70) in the Biotechnology industry. This means that KTOS’s stock grew similarly to AXON’s over the last 12 months.
AXON's SMR Rating (85) in the Biotechnology industry is in the same range as KTOS (89) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that AXON’s stock grew similarly to KTOS’s over the last 12 months.
KTOS's Price Growth Rating (63) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as AXON (65) in the Biotechnology industry. This means that KTOS’s stock grew similarly to AXON’s over the last 12 months.
AXON's P/E Growth Rating (9) in the Biotechnology industry is in the same range as KTOS (14) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that AXON’s stock grew similarly to KTOS’s over the last 12 months.
| AXON | KTOS | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 4 days ago 72% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 4 days ago 82% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 78% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 4 days ago 87% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 4 days ago 79% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 4 days ago 73% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 6 days ago 79% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 69% | 4 days ago 72% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 4 days ago 77% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 4 days ago 78% |
Advertisement
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| SPGM | 82.55 | 1.07 | +1.31% |
| State Street® SPDR® Ptf MSCIGlbStkMktETF | |||
| APRT | 44.64 | 0.24 | +0.54% |
| AllianzIM US Equity Buffer10 Apr ETF | |||
| YFFI | 10.16 | 0.05 | +0.49% |
| Indexperts Yield Focused Fxd Inc ETF | |||
| LINT | 75.82 | -0.08 | -0.11% |
| Direxion Daily INTC Bull 2X ETF | |||
| TZA | 5.08 | -0.35 | -6.45% |
| Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X ETF | |||
KTOS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KTOS has been loosely correlated with KRMN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 60% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if KTOS jumps, then KRMN could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To KTOS | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KTOS | 100% | -4.60% | ||
| KRMN - KTOS | 60% Loosely correlated | -4.93% | ||
| AVAV - KTOS | 59% Loosely correlated | -5.23% | ||
| MRCY - KTOS | 56% Loosely correlated | -1.01% | ||
| DRS - KTOS | 55% Loosely correlated | -0.82% | ||
| HII - KTOS | 52% Loosely correlated | -0.34% | ||
More | ||||