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BA vs BWXT
BA vs BWXT Stock Comparison: Earnings Recap – BWXT's Record Year vs Boeing's Recovery
Key Takeaways
- BWXT reported Q4 2025 revenue of $885.8 million, up 19% year-over-year, with non-GAAP EPS of $1.08.
- Boeing posted Q4 2025 revenue of $23.9 billion, up 57% year-over-year, driven by 160 commercial deliveries and a $9.6 billion divestiture gain yielding GAAP EPS of $10.23.
- BWXT's backlog surged 50% to $7.3 billion, fueled by naval nuclear and commercial awards; Boeing's reached a record $682 billion.
- BWXT initiated 2026 guidance: revenue ~$3.75 billion, non-GAAP EPS $4.55-$4.70; Boeing focuses on production stability post-Spirit AeroSystems acquisition.
- BWXT excels in nuclear components for defense; Boeing dominates commercial aviation with defense exposure.
- Both benefit from defense demand, but BWXT shows consistent profitability while Boeing recovers from prior losses.
Earnings Context and Why This Comparison Matters
Boeing (BA) and BWX Technologies (BWXT) operate in the aerospace and defense sector, where earnings performance signals operational health amid geopolitical tensions and nuclear energy resurgence. BWXT specializes in nuclear propulsion for U.S. Navy submarines and aircraft carriers, alongside commercial nuclear and medical isotopes. Boeing spans commercial airplanes, defense systems, and services. Recent earnings highlight BWXT's steady growth in government contracts versus Boeing's rebound from production challenges, offering investors insights into defense stability versus aviation cyclicality.
BWX Technologies Focus
BWXT released Q4 and full-year 2025 earnings on February 23, 2026. Q4 revenue rose 19% to $885.8 million, with Government Operations at $589.1 million (down 1% due to lower naval procurement) offset by Commercial Operations surging 95% to $297.7 million from field services, fuel, and Kinectrics. Adjusted EBITDA climbed 13% to $147.5 million, non-GAAP EPS increased 17% to $1.08, and net income hit $93.7 million (up 32%). Full-year revenue grew 18% to $3.2 billion, non-GAAP EPS to $4.01 (up 20%), with free cash flow at $295 million. Backlog expanded to $7.3 billion on naval reactors, uranium facilities, and steam generators. Guidance for 2026 projects revenue at $3.75 billion, adjusted EBITDA $645-$660 million, and non-GAAP EPS $4.55-$4.70, signaling mid-teens growth.
Boeing Context
Boeing reported Q4 2025 results on January 27, 2026. Revenue jumped 57% to $23.9 billion on 160 commercial deliveries. GAAP EPS reached $10.23 (versus prior-year loss), boosted by a $9.6 billion gain from Digital Aviation Solutions sale; core EPS was $9.92. Net earnings swung to $8.2 billion profit. Commercial Airplanes revenue hit $11.4 billion but posted a $632 million loss; Defense, Space & Security revenue rose to $7.4 billion with a $507 million loss; Global Services contributed $5.2 billion profit. Full-year revenue was $89.5 billion, with positive free cash flow of $0.4 billion in Q4. Backlog stands at $682 billion, including 6,100+ airplanes. Focus remains on integrating Spirit AeroSystems and ramping 737 production.
Head-to-Head Earnings and Market Comparison
BWXT demonstrates earnings consistency with 15% full-year adjusted EBITDA growth and robust backlog from irreplaceable naval nuclear roles, low execution risk, and commercial diversification. Boeing's revenue scale dwarfs BWXT's, but core operations show losses in key segments amid supply chain issues; the Q4 profit was one-off driven. Growth drivers: BWXT leverages nuclear renaissance (SMRs, microreactors); Boeing bets on delivery ramps and defense stability. Risks: BWXT faces naval budget pressures; Boeing grapples with regulatory scrutiny and debt. Sentiment favors BWXT's profitability; Boeing trades on recovery potential.
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Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron AI favors BWXT with 65% probability over the next 12 months, citing superior earnings quality, backlog visibility, stable defense nuclear demand, and growth guidance versus Boeing's volatile commercial exposure and one-time gains.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BA is a Hold and BWXT is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BA’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileBWXT’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- BA’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- BWXT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BA’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while BWXT’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BA’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- BWXT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
BA (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а +4.64% price change this week, while BWXT (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was -3.89% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +1.00%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.15%, and the average quarterly price growth was +46.53%.
Reported Earning Dates
BA is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
BWXT is expected to report earnings on Aug 10, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (+1.00% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
| BA | BWXT | BA / BWXT | |
| Capitalization | 190B | 18.9B | 1,005% |
| EBITDA | 7.32B | 569M | 1,287% |
| Gain YTD | 10.814 | 19.831 | 55% |
| P/E Ratio | 95.10 | 55.15 | 172% |
| Revenue | 92.2B | 3.38B | 2,731% |
| Total Cash | 20.9B | 512M | 4,082% |
| Total Debt | 47.2B | 2.02B | 2,339% |
BA | BWXT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 20 | 68 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 96 Overvalued | 95 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 12 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 11 | 34 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 26 | 45 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 54 | 15 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BWXT's Valuation (95) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as BA (96). This means that BWXT’s stock grew similarly to BA’s over the last 12 months.
BWXT's Profit vs Risk Rating (12) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is significantly better than the same rating for BA (100). This means that BWXT’s stock grew significantly faster than BA’s over the last 12 months.
BA's SMR Rating (11) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as BWXT (34). This means that BA’s stock grew similarly to BWXT’s over the last 12 months.
BA's Price Growth Rating (26) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as BWXT (45). This means that BA’s stock grew similarly to BWXT’s over the last 12 months.
BWXT's P/E Growth Rating (15) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BA (54). This means that BWXT’s stock grew somewhat faster than BA’s over the last 12 months.
| BA | BWXT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 57% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 69% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 51% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 52% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 54% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 55% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 66% | 22 days ago 69% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 75% | 7 days ago 55% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 64% |
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|---|---|---|---|
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| TMSL | 40.91 | 0.04 | +0.10% |
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BA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BA has been loosely correlated with TXT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 51% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BA jumps, then TXT could also see price increases.
BWXT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BWXT has been closely correlated with CW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 73% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BWXT jumps, then CW could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BWXT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BWXT | 100% | N/A | ||
| CW - BWXT | 73% Closely correlated | +2.13% | ||
| KTOS - BWXT | 50% Loosely correlated | -8.44% | ||
| AIR - BWXT | 50% Loosely correlated | -3.62% | ||
| MRCY - BWXT | 50% Loosely correlated | +0.17% | ||
| HWM - BWXT | 48% Loosely correlated | +1.24% | ||
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