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BUD vs PEP
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD) vs. PepsiCo (PEP) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BUD has outperformed PEP YTD with an 18.50% return compared to 14.90%, driven by strong share price momentum in recent weeks.
- PEP offers a higher dividend yield at 3.40% versus BUD's 1.70%, appealing to income-focused investors amid its $10 billion share buyback announcement.
- Trailing P/E ratios show BUD at 22.58 as more attractively valued than PEP at 27.86, with both trading below analyst average targets of $87.90 and $170.81 respectively.
- Recent market activity highlights BUD's uptrend with a golden cross in moving averages, while PEP shows mixed signals but robust revenue growth of 5.6% in Q4.
- BUD exhibits higher beta (0.74) indicating greater volatility than PEP (0.38), reflecting differing risk profiles in the consumer staples sector.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines BUD and PEP, two leading consumer staples giants in beverages—one focused on beer and the other on soft drinks and snacks. Investors and traders analyzing relative performance, valuation, and market positioning in the current environment will find value here, particularly those balancing growth potential against dividend stability. Amid shifting consumer preferences and economic pressures, understanding their recent momentum, risk factors, and AI-driven insights aids informed decision-making in portfolio allocation or sector rotation strategies.
BUD Overview and Recent Performance
Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV (BUD), the world's largest brewer, operates a global portfolio including Budweiser, Corona, and Stella Artois, with segments spanning North America, South America, EMEA, and Asia Pacific. In recent market activity, BUD has shown robust performance, posting an 18.50% YTD return and 30.16% over one year, outpacing benchmarks. Share price momentum built over recent weeks, with a 11.98% gain in the past 30 days and a golden cross where the 50-day moving average crossed above the 200-day average, signaling potential long-term uptrend. Sentiment has been buoyed by beer sector breakouts and analyst upgrades, such as Evercore ISI raising its target to $100, though lingering U.S. volume challenges for core brands temper gains. Trading at a trailing P/E of 22.58 and market cap of $149B, BUD reflects value amid volatility (beta 0.74).
PEP Overview and Recent Performance
PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP) is a diversified food and beverage leader with brands like Pepsi, Gatorade, Lay's, and Quaker, organized into segments including North America beverages and foods, plus international operations. Recent weeks have seen steady performance with a 14.90% YTD return and 9.94% one-year gain, supported by Q4 revenue up 5.6% and strategic moves like up to 15% snack price cuts and a $10 billion share buyback to counter volume pressures. A 10-day moving average crossover above the 50-day signals upward momentum, though MACD turning negative hints at short-term caution. With a market cap of $225B, trailing P/E of 27.86, and superior dividend yield of 3.40%, PEP appeals for stability (beta 0.38), bolstered by analyst targets averaging $170.81.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
BUD and PEP operate in beverages but diverge in models: BUD's beer-centric focus exposes it to premiumization and event-driven demand like sports, while PEP's snacks-beverages blend provides diversification and resilience. Growth drivers favor BUD's emerging market expansion versus PEP's volume stabilization via pricing and buybacks. Recent momentum tilts to BUD with superior YTD/1Y returns, but PEP edges in stability. Risk factors include BUD's higher beta and U.S. brand pressures against PEP's consumer shift challenges. Both in consumer staples, sentiment leans positive for BUD on value (lower P/E) while PEP wins on yield.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors BUD over PEP due to stronger trend consistency, including a recent uptrend and bullish moving average crossover, alongside superior relative performance and attractive valuation positioning. While PEP shows solid momentum signals and stability, BUD's catalysts like sector breakouts suggest higher probability of near-term outperformance, though traders should monitor volatility.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BUD is a Buy and PEP is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BUD’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whilePEP’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- BUD’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- PEP’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BUD’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PEP’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BUD’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- PEP’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
BUD (@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy) experienced а +9.65% price change this week, while PEP (@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic) price change was -3.35% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy industry was -0.68%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.25%, and the average quarterly price growth was +3.44%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Beverages: Non-Alcoholic industry was +0.91%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.73%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1476.04%.
Reported Earning Dates
BUD is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
PEP is expected to report earnings on Jul 14, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Food: Meat/Fish/Dairy (-0.68% weekly)The meat, fish, and dairy food industry processes livestock, fish and milk products for consumer consumption. Some companies also process dairy byproducts. Tyson Foods, Inc., Hormel Foods Corporation and Pilgrims Pride Corp. are some of the biggest producers in this industry. Many of these companies are recipients of American farm subsidies. On the other hand, new-age food innovation like plant-based meat substitutes (which are designed to simulate chicken, beef, and pork sausage) could potentially augur disruptions and/or create new competition in this space.
@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic (+0.91% weekly)Non-alcoholic drinks include traces of alcohol or low alcohol content or without alcohol or alcohol removed. Functional Beverages, Carbonated Soft Drinks (CSDs), Sports Drinks, Fruit Beverages, and Bottled Water are some common types of non-alcoholic beverages. The largest segment in this market is soft drinks (think Pepsi and Coke). Many established companies in this space have also been stepping up production of low to zero-calorie varieties in recent years, to cater to a rising number of health-conscious consumers. Coca-Cola Company, Pepsico Inc, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. and Monster Beverage Corporation are some major non-alcoholic beverage makers.
| BUD | PEP | BUD / PEP | |
| Capitalization | 155B | 204B | 76% |
| EBITDA | 15.8B | 16.3B | 97% |
| Gain YTD | 26.554 | 5.034 | 528% |
| P/E Ratio | 22.12 | 23.46 | 94% |
| Revenue | 61B | 95.4B | 64% |
| Total Cash | 5.28B | 10.8B | 49% |
| Total Debt | 73B | 52.7B | 139% |
BUD | PEP | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 17 | 4 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 53 Fair valued | 24 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 64 | 69 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 76 | 21 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 45 | 53 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 35 | 29 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PEP's Valuation (24) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as BUD (53) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that PEP’s stock grew similarly to BUD’s over the last 12 months.
BUD's Profit vs Risk Rating (64) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as PEP (69) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that BUD’s stock grew similarly to PEP’s over the last 12 months.
PEP's SMR Rating (21) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BUD (76) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that PEP’s stock grew somewhat faster than BUD’s over the last 12 months.
BUD's Price Growth Rating (45) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as PEP (53) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that BUD’s stock grew similarly to PEP’s over the last 12 months.
PEP's P/E Growth Rating (29) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as BUD (35) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that PEP’s stock grew similarly to BUD’s over the last 12 months.
| BUD | PEP | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 38% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 60% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 42% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 44% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 41% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 44% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 54% | 6 days ago 40% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 21 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 44% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 60% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 48% | 2 days ago 36% |
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| FID | 22.15 | 0.10 | +0.43% |
| First Trust S&P Int Div Aristocrats ETF | |||
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| Invesco CEF Income Composite ETF | |||
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| Carbon Collective Short Dur Grn Bd ETF | |||
| XLF | 51.18 | -0.06 | -0.12% |
| State Street®FinSelSectSPDR®ETF | |||
| HDMV | 37.72 | -0.14 | -0.38% |
| First Trust Hrzn MgdVolatil Dev Intl ETF | |||
BUD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BUD has been loosely correlated with BUDFF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BUD jumps, then BUDFF could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BUD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUD | 100% | -0.04% | ||
| BUDFF - BUD | 62% Loosely correlated | -1.57% | ||
| ABEV - BUD | 59% Loosely correlated | -0.30% | ||
| DEO - BUD | 56% Loosely correlated | -2.72% | ||
| HKHHY - BUD | 50% Loosely correlated | -1.34% | ||
| HEINY - BUD | 49% Loosely correlated | -1.26% | ||
More | ||||
PEP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PEP has been loosely correlated with KO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 55% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if PEP jumps, then KO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PEP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PEP | 100% | -3.37% | ||
| KO - PEP | 55% Loosely correlated | +0.31% | ||
| KDP - PEP | 47% Loosely correlated | -0.42% | ||
| FIZZ - PEP | 37% Loosely correlated | -1.59% | ||
| CCEP - PEP | 31% Poorly correlated | -1.18% | ||
| MNST - PEP | 30% Poorly correlated | +0.14% | ||
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