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BWXT vs JOBY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? BWX Technologies (BWXT) vs. Joby Aviation (JOBY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BWXT delivered record 2025 revenue of $3.2 billion, up 18% year-over-year, with a $7.3 billion backlog supporting 2026 guidance exceeding consensus estimates.
- JOBY advanced FAA certification with a record 18-point progress in Stage 4, planning first passenger flights in the UAE this year amid strong liquidity of over $2.5 billion.
- BWXT shares have risen over 100% in the past year, driven by nuclear demand in defense and commercial sectors, contrasting JOBY's year-to-date decline amid eVTOL development costs.
- Both stocks operate in advanced technology sectors, but BWXT offers proven revenue stability while JOBY targets high-growth urban air mobility.
- Recent market activity shows BWXT with positive momentum from earnings beats, while JOBY focuses on regulatory milestones despite cash burn.
- Tickeron's AI robots highlight strength in aerospace and defense themes relevant to both tickers' relative performance.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines BWXT and JOBY, two companies at the forefront of innovative technologies in defense nuclear components and electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft, respectively. Investors interested in aerospace, defense, and emerging mobility sectors may find value in analyzing their relative performance, growth drivers, and market positioning. Amid rising demand for clean energy solutions and advanced air mobility, recent market activity provides insights into stability versus speculative potential, aiding traders in assessing risk-reward trade-offs in the current environment.
BWXT Overview and Recent Performance
BWXT, or BWX Technologies, Inc., is a leading supplier of nuclear components, reactors, and fuel, primarily serving U.S. naval propulsion and commercial power applications. The company operates through government and commercial segments, benefiting from long-term defense contracts and growing demand for small modular reactors.
In recent market activity, BWXT reported record full-year 2025 revenue of $3.2 billion, up 18% year-over-year, with Q4 sales reaching $885.8 million, surpassing estimates. Adjusted EPS hit $1.08, beating forecasts by over 20%, driven by strength in naval nuclear and commercial operations. The backlog expanded to $7.3 billion, up 50%, signaling robust future revenue. Shares have gained over 100% in the past year and nearly 18% year-to-date, supported by 2026 guidance for $3.75 billion in revenue and EPS of $4.55–$4.70. Sentiment remains positive amid nuclear energy tailwinds and defense spending, though valuation premiums temper gains.
JOBY Overview and Recent Performance
JOBY, or Joby Aviation, Inc., develops electric air taxis for urban air mobility, focusing on eVTOL aircraft design, certification, and commercial services. Partnerships with Uber and Toyota bolster its path to aerial ridesharing.
Recent weeks have seen JOBY achieve a record 18-point FAA progress in Stage 4 certification, with its first FAA-conforming aircraft ready for flight and Type Inspection Authorization units in production. Q4 revenue reached $30.8 million, beating estimates, primarily from its Blade acquisition, though net losses persist due to R&D scaling. Cash reserves exceed $2.5 billion post-financing, funding manufacturing ramp-up targeting four aircraft monthly by 2027. Shares are up nearly 50% over the past year but down 25% year-to-date, reflecting certification optimism offset by cash burn concerns and pre-revenue status in core eVTOL operations.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
BWXT and JOBY contrast sharply in business models: BWXT's established nuclear manufacturing yields recurring government revenue, while JOBY's eVTOL development emphasizes R&D toward future services. Growth drivers differ—BWXT leverages defense budgets and nuclear revival, JOBY bets on FAA certification and urban mobility adoption.
Recent momentum favors BWXT with consistent earnings beats and backlog growth, versus JOBY's regulatory wins amid losses. Risk profiles highlight BWXT's stability against JOBY's execution hurdles like certification delays. Both expose to aerospace themes, but BWXT offers industrials steadiness, JOBY speculative upside. Market sentiment tilts toward BWXT's proven execution in recent trading.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors BWXT due to superior trend consistency, earnings stability, and a massive backlog positioning it for reliable growth amid nuclear demand. While JOBY shows promise in certification progress, its pre-commercial phase introduces higher volatility. Observable factors like relative momentum and sector tailwinds suggest BWXT holds stronger near-term positioning probabilistically.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BWXT is a Hold and JOBY is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BWXT’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileJOBY’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- BWXT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- JOBY’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BWXT’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while JOBY’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BWXT’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 7 bearish.
- JOBY’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
BWXT (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а -0.30% price change this week, while JOBY (@Air Freight/Couriers) price change was -4.69% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was -2.02%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.16%, and the average quarterly price growth was +45.17%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Air Freight/Couriers industry was -2.88%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.89%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2.21%.
Reported Earning Dates
BWXT is expected to report earnings on Aug 10, 2026.
JOBY is expected to report earnings on Aug 12, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (-2.02% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
@Air Freight/Couriers (-2.88% weekly)The Air Freight/Couriers industry operates air transportation and recurring delivery services. This includes companies offering same-day deliveries, scheduled delivery and logistical services. The proliferation of e-commerce/online retail with a growing emphasis on faster delivery has expanded opportunities for this industry, and induced more competition. United Parcel Service, Inc., FedEx Corporation and Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. are some of the major companies in this industry.
| BWXT | JOBY | BWXT / JOBY | |
| Capitalization | 18.8B | 10.2B | 184% |
| EBITDA | 569M | -747.87M | -76% |
| Gain YTD | 18.608 | -21.515 | -86% |
| P/E Ratio | 54.59 | N/A | - |
| Revenue | 3.38B | 77.7M | 4,345% |
| Total Cash | 512M | 2.47B | 21% |
| Total Debt | 2.02B | 748M | 270% |
BWXT | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 71 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 94 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 12 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 34 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 16 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| BWXT | JOBY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 57% | 3 days ago 69% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 80% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 53% | 3 days ago 85% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 52% | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 54% | 3 days ago 82% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 55% | 3 days ago 81% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 25 days ago 69% | 17 days ago 78% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 55% | 3 days ago 85% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 84% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 87% |
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BWXT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BWXT has been closely correlated with CW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 73% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BWXT jumps, then CW could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BWXT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BWXT | 100% | -2.95% | ||
| CW - BWXT | 73% Closely correlated | -5.08% | ||
| KTOS - BWXT | 51% Loosely correlated | -5.03% | ||
| MRCY - BWXT | 50% Loosely correlated | -2.66% | ||
| AIR - BWXT | 50% Loosely correlated | -3.76% | ||
| HWM - BWXT | 48% Loosely correlated | -4.41% | ||
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JOBY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, JOBY has been loosely correlated with SRTA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 36% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if JOBY jumps, then SRTA could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To JOBY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JOBY | 100% | -2.63% | ||
| SRTA - JOBY | 36% Loosely correlated | -4.57% | ||
| ASLE - JOBY | 27% Poorly correlated | -0.93% | ||
| OMAB - JOBY | 24% Poorly correlated | -1.57% | ||
| CAAP - JOBY | 23% Poorly correlated | -3.32% | ||
| SOAR - JOBY | 22% Poorly correlated | -9.38% | ||
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