CDDRF
Price
$9.47
Change
+$0.06 (+0.64%)
Updated
May 12 closing price
Capitalization
2.26B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
TPL
Price
$401.34
Change
-$1.29 (-0.32%)
Updated
May 12, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Capitalization
27.69B
84 days until earnings call
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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CDDRF vs TPL

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Which Stock Would AI Choose? Headwater Exploration Inc. (CDDRF) vs. Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) Stock Comparison

Key Takeaways

  • Both CDDRF and TPL operate in the oil and gas exploration and production (E&P) sector, but TPL focuses on land royalties in the Permian Basin while CDDRF emphasizes active exploration in Canada.
  • TPL boasts a significantly larger market capitalization of approximately $30 billion compared to CDDRF's $2.4 billion, reflecting greater scale.
  • Year-to-date (YTD) performance shows TPL ahead at 51% gains versus CDDRF's 44%, though CDDRF has exhibited steadier momentum in recent weeks.
  • TPL demonstrates superior profitability with a 60% profit margin and 37% return on equity (ROE), outpacing CDDRF's 27% margin and 19% ROE.
  • CDDRF offers a higher dividend yield of 3.5% compared to TPL's 0.6%, appealing to income-focused investors.
  • Recent market activity highlights CDDRF's resilience with modest gains, while TPL has faced volatility amid oil price dips.

Introduction

This stock comparison pits CDDRF, a Canadian oil and gas explorer, against TPL, a U.S.-based land royalty company in the Permian Basin. Both firms navigate the volatile energy sector, where oil prices, drilling activity, and geopolitical factors drive performance. Traders seeking momentum plays and investors eyeing dividend stability or royalty income may find value in analyzing their relative positioning. With recent shifts in crude benchmarks and production trends, this head-to-head review highlights key contrasts in business models, financial health, and market sentiment for informed decision-making in today's energy landscape.

CDDRF Overview and Recent Performance

Headwater Exploration Inc. (CDDRF) focuses on the exploration, development, and production of petroleum and natural gas in Western Canada. The company holds interests in key plays, benefiting from steady operational execution and favorable commodity pricing in recent market activity. Shares have climbed approximately 44% YTD, supported by robust fundamentals including a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 23.6 and EPS of $0.42. Recent weeks have seen modest gains around 5%, reflecting positive sentiment from strong cash flows and a 3.5% dividend yield. Influences include sustained oil demand and efficient capital deployment, though exposure to Canadian regulatory and weather risks tempers optimism.

TPL Overview and Recent Performance

Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) owns extensive surface and mineral rights in the Permian Basin, generating revenue primarily through royalties, easements, and water services from oil and gas operations. This asset-light model provides high margins without direct drilling costs. YTD performance stands at 51%, but recent weeks have brought volatility with a roughly 14% pullback amid softer oil prices and reduced basin activity. Key developments include upcoming earnings, expected to show EPS growth, alongside governance shifts following a board member's passing. Financial strength shines with a P/E of 62.1, 60% profit margins, and low beta of 0.68, underscoring resilience despite short-term pressures.

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Head-to-Head Comparison

In business models, CDDRF pursues hands-on exploration and production in Canada, exposing it to operational costs and development risks, while TPL's royalty focus delivers passive income with minimal capex. Growth drivers hinge on oil prices for both, but TPL benefits from Permian productivity. Recent momentum favors CDDRF's steady uptrend versus TPL's swings. Risk profiles differ: CDDRF (beta 1.02) is more volatile than TPL (0.68), with sector exposure concentrated in natural gas for the former and oil royalties for the latter. Market sentiment tilts toward TPL via analyst targets near $450, balancing CDDRF's yield advantage in a stock comparison context.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Tickeron’s AI leans toward TPL in the current environment, citing its dominant Permian positioning, superior ROE and margins, and lower volatility despite recent dips. Observable trend stability and cash reserves position it for higher rebound probability amid energy recovery signals, though CDDRF remains competitive for momentum traders.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations

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CDDRF vs. TPL commentary
May 13, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CDDRF is a Hold and TPL is a Hold.

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COMPARISON
Comparison
May 13, 2026
Stock price -- (CDDRF: $9.47 vs. TPL: $401.39)
Brand notoriety: CDDRF and TPL are both not notable
Both companies represent the Oil & Gas Production industry
Current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average: CDDRF: 27% vs. TPL: 78%
Market capitalization -- CDDRF: $2.26B vs. TPL: $27.69B
CDDRF [@Oil & Gas Production] is valued at $2.26B. TPL’s [@Oil & Gas Production] market capitalization is $27.69B. The market cap for tickers in the [@Oil & Gas Production] industry ranges from $143.6B to $0. The average market capitalization across the [@Oil & Gas Production] industry is $5.17B.

Long-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).

CDDRF’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileTPL’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).

  • CDDRF’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
  • TPL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
According to our system of comparison, CDDRF is a better buy in the long-term than TPL.

Short-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.

If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.

CDDRF’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TPL’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).

  • CDDRF’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
  • TPL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
According to our system of comparison, TPL is a better buy in the short-term than CDDRF.

Price Growth

CDDRF (@Oil & Gas Production) experienced а -3.45% price change this week, while TPL (@Oil & Gas Production) price change was -6.75% for the same time period.

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Production industry was -2.32%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.10%, and the average quarterly price growth was +35.89%.

Reported Earning Dates

TPL is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.

Industries' Descriptions

@Oil & Gas Production (-2.32% weekly)

The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.

SUMMARIES
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FUNDAMENTALS
Fundamentals
TPL($27.7B) has a higher market cap than CDDRF($2.26B). TPL has higher P/E ratio than CDDRF: TPL (55.06) vs CDDRF (22.35). TPL (39.910) and CDDRF (37.975) have similar YTD gains . TPL has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): 706M vs. CDDRF (308M). TPL has more cash in the bank: 248M vs. CDDRF (63.1M). CDDRF has less debt than TPL: CDDRF (2.05M) vs TPL (15.8M). TPL has higher revenues than CDDRF: TPL (839M) vs CDDRF (625M).
CDDRFTPLCDDRF / TPL
Capitalization2.26B27.7B8%
EBITDA308M706M44%
Gain YTD37.97539.91095%
P/E Ratio22.3555.0641%
Revenue625M839M74%
Total Cash63.1M248M25%
Total Debt2.05M15.8M13%
FUNDAMENTALS RATINGS
CDDRF vs TPL: Fundamental Ratings
CDDRF
TPL
OUTLOOK RATING
1..100
2671
VALUATION
overvalued / fair valued / undervalued
1..100
35
Fair valued
85
Overvalued
PROFIT vs RISK RATING
1..100
1753
SMR RATING
1..100
4726
PRICE GROWTH RATING
1..100
3958
P/E GROWTH RATING
1..100
569
SEASONALITY SCORE
1..100
5050

Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.

CDDRF's Valuation (35) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TPL (85) in the Investment Trusts Or Mutual Funds industry. This means that CDDRF’s stock grew somewhat faster than TPL’s over the last 12 months.

CDDRF's Profit vs Risk Rating (17) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TPL (53) in the Investment Trusts Or Mutual Funds industry. This means that CDDRF’s stock grew somewhat faster than TPL’s over the last 12 months.

TPL's SMR Rating (26) in the Investment Trusts Or Mutual Funds industry is in the same range as CDDRF (47) in the null industry. This means that TPL’s stock grew similarly to CDDRF’s over the last 12 months.

CDDRF's Price Growth Rating (39) in the null industry is in the same range as TPL (58) in the Investment Trusts Or Mutual Funds industry. This means that CDDRF’s stock grew similarly to TPL’s over the last 12 months.

CDDRF's P/E Growth Rating (5) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TPL (69) in the Investment Trusts Or Mutual Funds industry. This means that CDDRF’s stock grew somewhat faster than TPL’s over the last 12 months.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
CDDRFTPL
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
80%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
52%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
70%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
71%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
74%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
78%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
67%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
73%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
73%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
75%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
69%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
77%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
75%
Bullish Trend 13 days ago
72%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 26 days ago
73%
Bearish Trend 5 days ago
75%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
69%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
68%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
N/A
N/A
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CDDRF
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
TPL
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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CDDRF and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CDDRF has been closely correlated with TNEYF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CDDRF jumps, then TNEYF could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To CDDRF
1D Price
Change %
CDDRF100%
+0.66%
TNEYF - CDDRF
74%
Closely correlated
+1.53%
ZPTAF - CDDRF
68%
Closely correlated
+1.75%
BTE - CDDRF
68%
Closely correlated
+2.71%
OBE - CDDRF
66%
Closely correlated
+2.09%
MUR - CDDRF
65%
Loosely correlated
+2.87%
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