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CNQ vs NOG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Canadian Natural Resources Limited (CNQ) vs. Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. (NOG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CNQ shows superior year-to-date performance at 39% versus NOG's 25%, reflecting stronger momentum in recent market activity.
- CNQ trades at a lower trailing P/E ratio of 12.4 compared to NOG's elevated 70.67, suggesting better relative valuation.
- NOG offers a higher dividend yield of 6.79% over CNQ's 3.83%, appealing to income-focused investors.
- CNQ reported record quarterly production of 1.66 million barrels of oil equivalent per day (BOE/d) and earnings beats, driving recent gains.
- NOG beat Q1 earnings estimates and pursued acquisitions, supporting its positioning amid U.S. basin opportunities.
- Tickeron's AI signals indicate greater trend consistency for CNQ in the current environment.
Introduction
Canadian Natural Resources Limited (CNQ) and Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. (NOG) operate in the upstream oil and gas sector, with CNQ emphasizing large-scale Canadian operations and NOG focusing on non-operated interests in U.S. basins. This stock comparison highlights their relative performance, valuations, and market positioning amid fluctuating energy prices and geopolitical influences. Energy traders and long-term investors can use these insights to evaluate momentum shifts, risk profiles, and growth potential in a volatile commodity landscape, aiding decisions on sector allocation and relative strength plays.
CNQ Overview and Recent Performance
Canadian Natural Resources Limited (CNQ) is one of Canada's largest independent crude oil and natural gas producers, with operations spanning Western Canada, the U.K. North Sea, and offshore Africa. It specializes in low-decline assets like oil sands mining and thermal production. In recent weeks, CNQ stock has surged approximately 17% over the past 30 days, propelled by a strong Q4 earnings beat—adjusted EPS of $0.59 surpassing estimates—and record production of 1.66 million BOE/d, up 13% year-over-year. A quarterly dividend increase of 6.4% to $0.625 per share, alongside net debt reduction and buybacks, has bolstered sentiment. Analyst upgrades from firms like Goldman Sachs and rising oil prices have further supported upward momentum, though volatility persists with overbought signals.
NOG Overview and Recent Performance
Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. (NOG) is a U.S.-based independent energy firm focused on acquiring and developing non-operated working interests (where it invests in wells operated by others) in crude oil and natural gas across northern U.S. basins. Recent market activity has seen mixed trends for NOG, with shares showing resilience after a Q1 earnings surprise of +4.23% on EPS and +5.57% on revenues, leading to a post-earnings pop. Dividend payments continued at $0.45 per share, yielding 6.79%. Strategic moves like a $1.2 billion joint acquisition in Utica assets have sparked interest, but bearish crosses below key moving averages and Aroon downtrends have tempered gains. Commodity price sensitivity remains a key influence on sentiment.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CNQ and NOG both thrive in upstream oil and gas but differ in scale and model: CNQ as a full operator with diversified global assets versus NOG's non-operated U.S.-centric approach, which offers higher potential returns but execution risks tied to partners. Growth drivers for CNQ include thermal oil sands expansion and record output growth of 15% annually, while NOG leverages acquisitions like Utica for basin exposure. Recent momentum favors CNQ with steadier uptrends and 46% one-year returns over NOG's 5%. Risk factors are comparable—commodity volatility and regulatory shifts—but CNQ's $97B market cap provides stability against NOG's $2.8B. Sector exposure aligns on crude, yet CNQ's lower debt and buybacks enhance resilience. Market sentiment tilts toward CNQ via analyst buys, though NOG's yield attracts income seekers.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently favors CNQ over NOG, citing superior trend consistency, bullish signals like positive MACD and momentum crossovers, lower P/E valuation, and robust production catalysts amid energy demand. NOG shows promise from earnings beats but trails in stability and scale, positioning CNQ with higher probability for near-term outperformance in volatile conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CNQ is a Hold and NOG is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CNQ’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileNOG’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- CNQ’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- NOG’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CNQ’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NOG’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CNQ’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- NOG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
CNQ (@Oil & Gas Production) experienced а +7.75% price change this week, while NOG (@Oil & Gas Production) price change was +4.40% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Production industry was +3.88%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +6.06%, and the average quarterly price growth was +38.31%.
Reported Earning Dates
CNQ is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
NOG is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Production (+3.88% weekly)The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.
| CNQ | NOG | CNQ / NOG | |
| Capitalization | 101B | 2.58B | 3,909% |
| EBITDA | 17.5B | 159M | 11,006% |
| Gain YTD | 41.743 | 15.473 | 270% |
| P/E Ratio | 11.80 | 70.67 | 17% |
| Revenue | 44.5B | 2.06B | 2,161% |
| Total Cash | 113M | 37M | 305% |
| Total Debt | 17.3B | 2.55B | 678% |
CNQ | NOG | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 22 | 85 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 76 Overvalued | 30 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 23 | 59 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 52 | 96 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 41 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 48 | 1 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NOG's Valuation (30) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CNQ (76). This means that NOG’s stock grew somewhat faster than CNQ’s over the last 12 months.
CNQ's Profit vs Risk Rating (23) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NOG (59). This means that CNQ’s stock grew somewhat faster than NOG’s over the last 12 months.
CNQ's SMR Rating (52) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NOG (96). This means that CNQ’s stock grew somewhat faster than NOG’s over the last 12 months.
CNQ's Price Growth Rating (41) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as NOG (58). This means that CNQ’s stock grew similarly to NOG’s over the last 12 months.
NOG's P/E Growth Rating (1) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CNQ (48). This means that NOG’s stock grew somewhat faster than CNQ’s over the last 12 months.
| CNQ | NOG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 76% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 78% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 56% | 3 days ago 71% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 74% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 76% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 61% | 3 days ago 71% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 76% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 70% | 10 days ago 73% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 88% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 67% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| XLRI | 23.06 | -0.33 | -1.41% |
| State Street® RlEsttSelSectSPDR®PrmETF | |||
| BMED | 27.26 | -0.41 | -1.49% |
| iShares Health Innovation Active ETF | |||
| SPMO | 143.48 | -4.04 | -2.74% |
| Invesco S&P 500® Momentum ETF | |||
| GNT | 7.95 | -0.27 | -3.28% |
| GAMCO Natural Resources Gold & Income Trust | |||
| FNGO | 133.69 | -5.08 | -3.66% |
| MicroSectors™ FANG+™ 2X Leveraged ETN | |||
CNQ and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CNQ has been closely correlated with CHRD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CNQ jumps, then CHRD could also see price increases.
NOG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NOG has been closely correlated with OVV. These tickers have moved in lockstep 83% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NOG jumps, then OVV could also see price increases.