This stock comparison pits COST, the membership-driven warehouse club leader, against MO, a tobacco giant pivoting toward smoke-free alternatives. Both belong to the resilient consumer staples sector, offering stability in uncertain markets. Growth-oriented investors may eye COST's membership model and sales momentum, while income seekers favor MO's generous dividends. Traders analyzing relative performance, sector exposure, and recent catalysts will find value in evaluating their momentum, valuations, and risk profiles amid evolving consumer trends and economic shifts.
COST, or Costco Wholesale Corporation, operates over 900 warehouses globally, emphasizing bulk sales to loyal members. Its business thrives on high renewal rates and fee revenue, which grew 14% recently. In recent market activity, the stock has shown resilience, posting YTD gains of about 13% despite a modest pullback over the past month. Key drivers include Q2 fiscal 2026 results with 9.1% net sales growth to $68.2 billion, 7.4% comparable sales increase, and EPS of $4.58 beating estimates. Digital sales surged 22.6%, bolstering sentiment. Trading around $970-980 lately, with a 52-week range of $844-$1,067, COST benefits from strong member traffic and international expansion, though high valuations temper enthusiasm.
MO, or Altria Group, dominates U.S. cigarettes via Marlboro while advancing oral nicotine pouches like on!. Recent expansions of on! PLUS nationwide underscore its smoke-free shift. The stock delivered YTD returns around 12% and 20% over one year, outperforming COST on a 1-year basis, though it dipped 4-7% in recent weeks. Q4 2025 results reaffirmed 2026 EPS guidance near $5.64, with revenue up despite cigarette volume declines. Trading near $64, within a 52-week range of $53-$71, MO's appeal stems from its 6.5% dividend yield and low beta, attracting yield-focused investors amid regulatory and volume headwinds.
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COST and MO represent distinct consumer staples archetypes: growth via volume and fees versus mature yield generation. COST's membership model drives recurring revenue and traffic resilience, contrasting MO's reliance on pricing power amid declining cigarette volumes offset by nicotine pouch growth. Recent momentum favors COST on YTD basis but MO over one year, with both correcting lately. Risk profiles differ markedly—COST's beta near 1 exposes it to retail cycles and valuations (P/E 50+), while MO's low beta (0.43) and 6.5% yield offer downside protection, though regulatory risks loom. Sentiment tilts positive for both, with analysts favoring growth stability in COST and income in MO.
Tickeron’s AI leans toward COST in the current environment, citing superior trend consistency from sales beats, membership catalysts, and relative YTD outperformance. While MO excels in stability and yield, COST's positioning in resilient consumer spending suggests higher probability of near-term upside, balanced against its premium valuation.
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It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
COST’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileMO’s FA Score has 5 green FA rating(s).
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
COST’s TA Score shows that 7 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MO’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
COST (@Discount Stores) experienced а +1.68% price change this week, while MO (@Tobacco) price change was +2.59% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Discount Stores industry was +0.71%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.87%, and the average quarterly price growth was +11.43%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Tobacco industry was +1.70%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.58%, and the average quarterly price growth was -7.40%.
COST is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
MO is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
Companies in the discount stores industry specialize in offering substantial discounts on a vast array of retail products. Some companies in this industry also operate general merchandise warehouse clubs. Products sold at discount stores are typically similar to those of any department store, but the pricing of the goods is generally much lower (and hence the name “discount”). Think Dollar General Corporation, Dollar Tree, Inc. and Five Below, Inc. Many discount stores target low-income households and/or price-sensitive consumers as their potential market. Discount stores’ profitability could hinge on factors like competitive pricing, sufficient locations, healthy revenue per square foot, and effective advertisement. These store operators could have an edge over other retailers during financial crises or recessions, when many consumers could be looking for less expensive alternatives.
@Tobacco (+1.70% weekly)The industry is engaged in the growth, preparation for sale, advertisement, and distribution of tobacco and tobacco-related products like cigarettes. In 2017, tobacco companies spent an estimated $9.36 billion marketing cigarettes and smokeless tobacco in the U.S. – an amount that translates to more than $25 million each day (according to a CDC report). Philip Morris International Inc., Altria Group Inc., and British American Tobacco plc are some major cigar makers. In recent times, vaping or the use of e-cigarette (does not burn tobacco) is gaining momentum – several established cigarette makers are trying to expand their footprint in this new market.
| COST | MO | COST / MO | |
| Capitalization | 458B | 113B | 405% |
| EBITDA | 13.7B | 10.8B | 127% |
| Gain YTD | 19.841 | 18.957 | 105% |
| P/E Ratio | 53.67 | 16.37 | 328% |
| Revenue | 280B | 20.1B | 1,393% |
| Total Cash | 17.2B | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 8.1B | 25.7B | 32% |
COST | MO | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 21 | 63 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 94 Overvalued | 10 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 9 | 9 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 31 | 9 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 35 | 29 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 66 | 13 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MO's Valuation (10) in the Tobacco industry is significantly better than the same rating for COST (94) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that MO’s stock grew significantly faster than COST’s over the last 12 months.
MO's Profit vs Risk Rating (9) in the Tobacco industry is in the same range as COST (9) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that MO’s stock grew similarly to COST’s over the last 12 months.
MO's SMR Rating (9) in the Tobacco industry is in the same range as COST (31) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that MO’s stock grew similarly to COST’s over the last 12 months.
MO's Price Growth Rating (29) in the Tobacco industry is in the same range as COST (35) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that MO’s stock grew similarly to COST’s over the last 12 months.
MO's P/E Growth Rating (13) in the Tobacco industry is somewhat better than the same rating for COST (66) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that MO’s stock grew somewhat faster than COST’s over the last 12 months.
| COST | MO | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 33% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 37% | 1 day ago 43% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 64% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 54% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 51% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 47% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 53% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 18 days ago 38% | 9 days ago 37% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 33% | 1 day ago 62% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 20% |
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