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DEO vs WMT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Diageo plc (DEO) vs. Walmart Inc. (WMT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- DEO has faced significant pressure in recent market activity, declining over 25% in the past month amid softening demand for spirits and inventory normalization challenges.
- WMT shows relative stability with year-to-date gains around 8-9%, supported by strong e-commerce growth and advertising revenue expansion.
- Both stocks operate in consumer defensive sectors, but WMT's diversified retail model provides broader resilience compared to DEO's spirits-focused exposure.
- Recent price action indicates WMT trading near $120 with positive analyst targets up to $150, while DEO hovers around $74 with a consensus target of $105.
- Tickeron's AI bots trading consumer staples include both tickers, with varying performance signals highlighting sector momentum differences.
Introduction
This stock comparison between DEO and WMT examines two consumer defensive giants: a leading alcoholic beverage producer and the world's largest retailer. Investors seeking stability in volatile markets may find value in analyzing their relative performance, sector exposure, and growth drivers. Traders focused on short-term momentum or long-term positioning can use this head-to-head to gauge stock comparison insights, particularly amid recent shifts in consumer spending patterns and economic uncertainties. With both offering dividends and defensive qualities, understanding their market positioning aids informed decision-making in today's environment.
DEO Overview and Recent Performance
Diageo plc (DEO), headquartered in London, produces and distributes premium alcoholic beverages including Johnnie Walker, Guinness, Smirnoff, and Don Julio across North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Latin America, and Africa. The company reported fiscal 2025 results in line with guidance, achieving 1.7% organic net sales growth despite industry headwinds, driven by standout performances from brands like Don Julio and Guinness.
In recent weeks, DEO stock has experienced sharp declines, dropping from around $100 in late February to approximately $74 by mid-March, reflecting over 25% loss in the past month. This pressure stems from subdued spirits demand, slow excess inventory normalization, and tariff uncertainties impacting sentiment. Year-to-date, returns vary by exchange but show mixed results, with the ADR underperforming amid cyclical and structural challenges in the beverages sector. Leadership changes, including the appointment of Sir Dave Lewis as CEO, aim to refocus on brand portfolio and profitability.
WMT Overview and Recent Performance
Walmart Inc. (WMT), based in Bentonville, Arkansas, operates as a people-led, tech-powered omnichannel retailer with over 10,750 stores in 19 countries, serving 270 million customers weekly. Its segments include Walmart U.S., International, and Sam's Club, emphasizing groceries, e-commerce, and membership clubs. Fiscal 2026 Q4 earnings highlighted advertising growth of 37% and reaffirmed guidance, underscoring omnichannel strength.
Recent market activity saw WMT fluctuate around $120-$128, with a year-to-date gain of about 8.6% and over 40% one-year return, outperforming broader indices. Short-term pullbacks of 4-5% in recent weeks reflect broader retail pressures, but resilience from e-commerce, supply chain innovations, and analyst upgrades to $150 targets support positive sentiment. Innovations like AI pricing tools and global supply chain enhancements bolster its competitive edge.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots page curates the top 25 performers from over 350 AI trading bots that analyze thousands of tickers across stocks, ETFs, and crypto. These bots employ diverse strategies like swing trading, trend following, hedging, and multi-agent approaches on timeframes from 5 minutes to 60 minutes, with annualized returns ranging from +15% to +125%, win rates of 55-89%, and profit factors up to 6.11. For instance, a Consumer Staples bot trades WMT, DEO, and others like SYY and TGT, posting +25-69% returns with 59-73% win rates. Selected for current market suitability, these bots adapt to volatility, offering real-time copy trading signals. Explore the Trending AI Robots to identify tools matching your trading style.
Head-to-Head Comparison
DEO and WMT both anchor consumer defensive sectors but diverge in business models: Diageo’s premium spirits portfolio faces category-specific demand softness and trade risks, contrasting Walmart’s broad retail diversification across groceries, e-commerce, and ads. Growth drivers differ, with WMT leveraging tech innovations for omnichannel expansion versus DEO’s brand premiumization amid inventory hurdles.
Recent momentum favors WMT’s stability and 40%+ annual gains over DEO’s 25%+ monthly drop. Risk factors include spirits tariffs for DEO and competitive retail pressures for WMT, though Walmart’s scale mitigates volatility. Sector exposure highlights WMT’s essential goods edge, while market sentiment tilts toward Walmart’s analyst optimism versus Diageo’s valuation low but recovery potential.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors WMT due to its trend consistency, operational stability, e-commerce catalysts, and stronger relative positioning in recent market activity. Consumer Staples bots show positive signals for WMT, reflecting higher win rates and resilience. While DEO trades at historically low valuations with leadership refresh potential, observable momentum metrics give Walmart a probabilistic edge in the near term.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DEO is a Hold and WMT is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DEO’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileWMT’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- DEO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- WMT’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DEO’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while WMT’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DEO’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- WMT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
DEO (@Beverages: Alcoholic) experienced а +7.11% price change this week, while WMT (@Discount Stores) price change was +2.66% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Beverages: Alcoholic industry was -1.24%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -8.24%, and the average quarterly price growth was -18.74%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Discount Stores industry was +0.71%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.87%, and the average quarterly price growth was +11.43%.
Reported Earning Dates
DEO is expected to report earnings on May 06, 2026.
WMT is expected to report earnings on May 14, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Beverages: Alcoholic (-1.24% weekly)The alcoholic beverage market includes beer, wine, and spirits. From $230 billion in 2015, the industry has grown to around $250 billion by 2019. In recent years, alcoholic beverage makers have been looking to expand distribution and purchase channels, such as through online stores (e.g. e-commerce platform Drizly) and convenience stores. Anheuser-Busch In Bev and Diageo are major global alcoholic beverage companies, while U.S.-owned companies include Constellation Brands and Brown-Forman Corp. among several others.
@Discount Stores (+0.71% weekly)Companies in the discount stores industry specialize in offering substantial discounts on a vast array of retail products. Some companies in this industry also operate general merchandise warehouse clubs. Products sold at discount stores are typically similar to those of any department store, but the pricing of the goods is generally much lower (and hence the name “discount”). Think Dollar General Corporation, Dollar Tree, Inc. and Five Below, Inc. Many discount stores target low-income households and/or price-sensitive consumers as their potential market. Discount stores’ profitability could hinge on factors like competitive pricing, sufficient locations, healthy revenue per square foot, and effective advertisement. These store operators could have an edge over other retailers during financial crises or recessions, when many consumers could be looking for less expensive alternatives.
| DEO | WMT | DEO / WMT | |
| Capitalization | 42.9B | 1.03T | 4% |
| EBITDA | 6.39B | 46.5B | 14% |
| Gain YTD | -8.972 | 16.143 | -56% |
| P/E Ratio | 18.14 | 47.30 | 38% |
| Revenue | 19.8B | 713B | 3% |
| Total Cash | 2.69B | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 23.5B | 68.4B | 34% |
DEO | WMT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 3 | 22 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 13 Undervalued | 92 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 6 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 97 | 99 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 78 | 20 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 33 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
DEO's Valuation (13) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is significantly better than the same rating for WMT (92) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that DEO’s stock grew significantly faster than WMT’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's Profit vs Risk Rating (6) in the Specialty Stores industry is significantly better than the same rating for DEO (100) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that WMT’s stock grew significantly faster than DEO’s over the last 12 months.
DEO's SMR Rating (97) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry is in the same range as WMT (99) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that DEO’s stock grew similarly to WMT’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's Price Growth Rating (20) in the Specialty Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for DEO (78) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that WMT’s stock grew somewhat faster than DEO’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's P/E Growth Rating (33) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as DEO (50) in the Beverages Alcoholic industry. This means that WMT’s stock grew similarly to DEO’s over the last 12 months.
| DEO | WMT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 28% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 67% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 73% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 46% | 1 day ago 55% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 53% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 42% | 1 day ago 55% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 22 days ago 59% | 22 days ago 33% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 33% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 50% | 1 day ago 30% |
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DEO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DEO has been closely correlated with PRNDY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 69% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DEO jumps, then PRNDY could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To DEO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEO | 100% | +1.87% | ||
| PRNDY - DEO | 69% Closely correlated | +0.07% | ||
| MGPI - DEO | 55% Loosely correlated | +2.44% | ||
| BUD - DEO | 55% Loosely correlated | +1.08% | ||
| STZ - DEO | 54% Loosely correlated | +8.53% | ||
| REMYY - DEO | 44% Loosely correlated | -0.66% | ||
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