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EXC vs WEC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Exelon Corporation (EXC) vs. WEC Energy Group (WEC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- WEC has outperformed EXC year-to-date with approximately 12% return compared to EXC's 8%, driven by stronger demand in its service areas.
- EXC offers a higher dividend yield of 3.61% versus WEC's 3.24%, appealing to income-focused investors.
- Both stocks exhibit low volatility with betas around 0.4-0.5, reflecting their defensive utility sector positioning.
- EXC trades at a lower forward P/E ratio of about 17 versus WEC's 21, suggesting relative value.
- Recent regulatory approvals and efficiency programs support stable performance for both amid upcoming Q1 earnings reports.
- Data center expansion provides WEC with notable growth catalysts in recent market activity.
Introduction
Exelon Corporation (EXC) and WEC Energy Group (WEC) are prominent players in the U.S. utilities sector, delivering electricity and natural gas to millions across the Midwest, Northeast, and upper Midwest. This comparison is particularly relevant for dividend-seeking investors and traders eyeing defensive stocks amid market volatility. Both companies benefit from regulated revenue streams and steady demand, but differences in scale, regional exposure, and growth drivers offer distinct trade-offs in the current environment of rising energy needs and interest rate sensitivity.
EXC Overview and Recent Performance
Exelon Corporation (EXC) is one of the largest U.S. utilities by customer base, operating through subsidiaries like ComEd and PECO, focusing on electric transmission and distribution after spinning off its generation business. In recent weeks, EXC shares have traded near $46.50, within a 52-week range of $41.71 to $50.65, reflecting year-to-date gains of about 8%. Sentiment has been bolstered by regulatory developments, including a FERC order extending PJM price collars for cost savings and ComEd's reconciliation filing poised to lower customer bills. The company declared a quarterly dividend of $0.42 per share, maintaining its attractive yield. Efficiency programs have saved customers billions, while shareholders recently reelected the board at the annual meeting. Upcoming Q1 earnings on May 6 are anticipated to show a decline, but analyst targets average $50, signaling moderate upside potential.
WEC Overview and Recent Performance
WEC Energy Group (WEC) provides electric and natural gas services primarily in Wisconsin and Michigan, emphasizing regulated operations with a focus on renewables and infrastructure. Shares recently closed around $117, within a 52-week range of $100.61 to $119.62, posting stronger year-to-date returns of roughly 12%. Recent market activity has been supported by increased capital spending of $1 billion tied to Microsoft data center expansions, enhancing growth prospects. The company announced its Q1 earnings for May 5, with consensus EPS at $2.31, and continues its dividend tradition with a quarterly payout. Analyst sentiment remains steady, with average price targets near $125. Positive demand trends and operational efficiency have driven relative outperformance versus broader utilities.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both EXC and WEC operate in the stable utilities sector, with regulated models ensuring predictable cash flows, but EXC's larger scale ($47B market cap vs. $38B) provides broader transmission exposure across multiple states. Growth drivers differ: WEC benefits from data center demand boosting capex, while EXC emphasizes efficiency and regulatory stability. Recent momentum favors WEC with superior YTD returns, though EXC edges on valuation via a lower P/E and higher yield. Risk profiles are similar, with low betas and high debt-to-equity ratios typical for utilities (around 160-175%). Market sentiment tilts positive for both due to essential services, but WEC shows stronger positioning amid electrification trends.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models would currently lean toward WEC over EXC, based on superior trend consistency, higher YTD momentum, and identifiable catalysts like data center investments. While EXC offers compelling value metrics, WEC's relative stability and growth outlook provide a probabilistic edge in the near term for trend-following strategies.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is EXC is a Hold and WEC is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
EXC’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileWEC’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- EXC’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- WEC’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
EXC’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while WEC’s TA Score has 2 bullish TA indicator(s).
- EXC’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- WEC’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 7 bearish.
Price Growth
EXC (@Electric Utilities) experienced а -2.60% price change this week, while WEC (@Electric Utilities) price change was -2.29% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electric Utilities industry was -1.15%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.59%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.06%.
Reported Earning Dates
EXC is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
WEC is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electric Utilities (-1.15% weekly)Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.
| EXC | WEC | EXC / WEC | |
| Capitalization | 46B | 36.7B | 125% |
| EBITDA | 9.19B | 4.15B | 222% |
| Gain YTD | 4.072 | 7.651 | 53% |
| P/E Ratio | 16.48 | 22.56 | 73% |
| Revenue | 24.8B | 10.1B | 246% |
| Total Cash | 713M | 45.6M | 1,564% |
| Total Debt | 51.2B | 22.3B | 230% |
EXC | WEC | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 51 | 55 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 52 Fair valued | 60 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 37 | 41 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 71 | 64 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 60 | 56 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 38 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
EXC's Valuation (52) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as WEC (60). This means that EXC’s stock grew similarly to WEC’s over the last 12 months.
EXC's Profit vs Risk Rating (37) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as WEC (41). This means that EXC’s stock grew similarly to WEC’s over the last 12 months.
WEC's SMR Rating (64) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as EXC (71). This means that WEC’s stock grew similarly to EXC’s over the last 12 months.
WEC's Price Growth Rating (56) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as EXC (60). This means that WEC’s stock grew similarly to EXC’s over the last 12 months.
WEC's P/E Growth Rating (38) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as EXC (46). This means that WEC’s stock grew similarly to EXC’s over the last 12 months.
| EXC | WEC | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 44% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 60% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 45% | 1 day ago 42% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 45% | 1 day ago 52% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 40% | 1 day ago 42% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 39% | 1 day ago 37% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 16 days ago 47% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 44% | 6 days ago 42% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 40% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 30% | 1 day ago 26% |
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EXC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EXC has been closely correlated with FE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if EXC jumps, then FE could also see price increases.
WEC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WEC has been closely correlated with AEE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if WEC jumps, then AEE could also see price increases.