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EXPE vs GBTG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Expedia Group (EXPE) vs. Global Business Travel Group (GBTG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both EXPE and GBTG operate in the travel services industry within the consumer cyclical sector, benefiting from post-pandemic recovery trends.
- EXPE, with a market cap of approximately $30 billion, shows year-to-date gains of 10.92% amid partnerships like Uber's hotel bookings integration.
- GBTG, valued at $3.1 billion, has outperformed YTD with 22.48% returns, boosted by strong Q1 2026 results and a $6.3 billion acquisition announcement.
- Recent market activity for EXPE reflects stability around $250, while GBTG trades near $6 with pre-market surges on M&A news.
- AI-driven analysis highlights GBTG's catalysts for potential short-term momentum over EXPE's steadier profile.
Introduction
In the competitive travel services sector, EXPE and GBTG represent distinct approaches to capturing leisure and corporate travel demand. This comparison analyzes their business models, recent performance, and market positioning amid ongoing industry recovery and strategic developments. Traders seeking short-term opportunities and investors eyeing sector growth will find value in understanding relative momentum, risk profiles, and emerging catalysts in the current market environment.
EXPE Overview and Recent Performance
Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE) is a leading online travel company providing booking services for leisure and corporate travelers, including flights, hotels, and vacation packages. Operating in the consumer cyclical sector, it holds a market capitalization of about $30.2 billion, with shares recently trading around $252. In recent weeks, EXPE has shown resilience, with year-to-date returns of 10.92% and a 52-week range from $148.55 to $303.80. Key influences include a partnership with Uber enabling in-app hotel bookings powered by Expedia technology, alongside expectations for robust earnings growth, with EPS projected to rise significantly year-over-year. These factors have supported positive sentiment, though shares have stabilized after earlier peaks amid broader market fluctuations.
GBTG Overview and Recent Performance
Global Business Travel Group, Inc. (GBTG), operating as American Express Global Business Travel, provides software and services for corporate travel management, expense tracking, and events. Also in the travel services industry under consumer cyclical, it has a $3.1 billion market cap and trades near $5.93 recently. Recent market activity reflects upward YTD momentum at 22.48%, with a 52-week range of $4.95 to $8.64. Sentiment has been lifted by strong Q1 2026 financial results, an expanded $600 million share repurchase program, and a major announcement of its acquisition by Long Lake for $6.3 billion—more than double its current valuation—driving pre-market gains. These developments underscore recovery in business travel demand.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
EXPE and GBTG both leverage travel sector tailwinds but differ in scale and focus: EXPE emphasizes broad leisure bookings with greater diversification, while GBTG specializes in B2B corporate solutions. Growth drivers include EXPE's tech partnerships (PE ratio 25.65 TTM) versus GBTG's M&A catalysts (PE 26.95 TTM). Recent momentum favors GBTG's YTD edge, but EXPE offers lower volatility. Risk factors involve cyclical exposure to economic slowdowns, with GBTG more sensitive due to smaller size. Market sentiment tilts toward acquisition-driven upside for GBTG, contrasting EXPE's earnings stability.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors GBTG for its superior YTD performance, recent Q1 strength, buyback expansion, and transformative $6.3 billion acquisition catalyst, positioning it for near-term relative outperformance despite higher volatility. EXPE remains a solid choice for stability via partnerships and scale, but observable trends suggest GBTG holds probabilistic edge in momentum.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is EXPE is a Hold and GBTG is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
EXPE’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileGBTG’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- EXPE’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- GBTG’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
EXPE’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while GBTG’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- EXPE’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- GBTG’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
EXPE (@Consumer Sundries) experienced а -5.33% price change this week, while GBTG (@Consumer Sundries) price change was -1.16% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Consumer Sundries industry was +8.26%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +10.18%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5.19%.
Reported Earning Dates
EXPE is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
GBTG is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Consumer Sundries (+8.26% weekly)Consumer sundries companies make products that usually do not have another classification, such as lawn and garden products, pest-control products, pet food and pet products like leashes, collars, and harnesses. Central Garden & Pet Company and Dogness (International) Corporation are examples of companies operating in this industry.
| EXPE | GBTG | EXPE / GBTG | |
| Capitalization | 26.1B | 4.87B | 536% |
| EBITDA | 3.08B | 349M | 883% |
| Gain YTD | -22.981 | 22.092 | -104% |
| P/E Ratio | 19.23 | 58.38 | 33% |
| Revenue | 15.2B | 2.52B | 604% |
| Total Cash | 5.79B | 427M | 1,357% |
| Total Debt | 4.71B | 1.48B | 319% |
EXPE | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 68 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 62 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 75 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 11 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 60 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| EXPE | GBTG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 90% | 3 days ago 70% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 77% | 3 days ago 62% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 56% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 51% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 68% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 55% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 27 days ago 72% | 10 days ago 63% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 71% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 57% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 58% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| CALI | 50.34 | -0.05 | -0.09% |
| iShares Short-Term CA Muni Act ETF | |||
| HIGH | 21.69 | -0.03 | -0.14% |
| Simplify Enhanced Income ETF | |||
| DMAR | 44.35 | -0.10 | -0.23% |
| FT Vest US Equity Deep Bffr ETF Mar | |||
| IWX | 101.43 | -1.22 | -1.19% |
| iShares Russell Top 200 Value ETF | |||
| MAGY | 47.19 | -0.67 | -1.40% |
| Roundhill Magnificent Seven Covered Call ETF | |||
GBTG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GBTG has been loosely correlated with ABNB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 49% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if GBTG jumps, then ABNB could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To GBTG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBTG | 100% | -0.21% | ||
| ABNB - GBTG | 49% Loosely correlated | -0.61% | ||
| BKNG - GBTG | 44% Loosely correlated | -0.23% | ||
| TNL - GBTG | 43% Loosely correlated | -1.65% | ||
| YOU - GBTG | 42% Loosely correlated | +2.94% | ||
| QLYS - GBTG | 41% Loosely correlated | +3.79% | ||
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