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FORM vs MPWR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? FormFactor, Inc. (FORM) vs. Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. (MPWR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both FORM and MPWR have surged on AI-driven semiconductor demand, with FORM delivering 160% YTD returns versus MPWR's 76%.
- FORM reported record Q1 2026 revenue of $226 million (up 32% YoY), fueled by DRAM and HBM testing for AI.
- MPWR posted Q1 revenue of $804 million (up 26% YoY), driven by enterprise data and communications.
- Recent volatility shows FORM gaining 39% over four weeks, outpacing MPWR's strong but steadier momentum.
- MPWR boasts larger scale ($78B market cap) and higher analyst targets, signaling sustained growth potential.
- Tickeron's AI favors MPWR for trend consistency amid broader end-market exposure.
Introduction
FormFactor, Inc. (FORM) and Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. (MPWR) operate in the semiconductor ecosystem, benefiting from surging AI infrastructure demand. FORM focuses on testing solutions, while MPWR specializes in power management chips. This stock comparison analyzes their recent performance, growth drivers, and relative positioning in a market where AI-related catalysts have propelled both higher. Traders seeking momentum plays and investors eyeing semiconductor relative performance will find insights into trade-offs in volatility, scale, and sector exposure.
FORM Overview and Recent Performance
FormFactor, Inc. (FORM) designs and sells probe cards, analytical probes, and systems for semiconductor testing across the product lifecycle. In recent market activity, FORM shares have exhibited strong upward momentum, with YTD gains near 160% and 1-year returns exceeding 380%. Q1 2026 marked record revenue of $226.1 million, up 32% year-over-year and 5% sequentially, driven by robust DRAM demand—particularly high-bandwidth memory (HBM) for AI applications—and growth in foundry and logic probe cards for networking. Non-GAAP gross margins hit 49%, beating guidance, with Q2 outlook at $240 million. Sentiment has shifted positively on AI chip testing tailwinds, though shares saw weekly pullbacks amid broader sector rotation. Analyst targets average $138, with recent upgrades to $155.
MPWR Overview and Recent Performance
Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. (MPWR) is a fabless semiconductor firm providing power management solutions for computing, automotive, and industrial markets. Recent weeks have seen MPWR advance steadily, posting 76% YTD and 155% 1-year returns, underpinned by enterprise data center expansion. Q1 2026 revenue reached $804 million, a 26% year-over-year increase, with EPS of $5.10 topping estimates; earnings beat on strength in communications and storage. The company guided for continued growth, prompting analyst upgrades and targets averaging $1,797 (high $2,000). Performance reflects resilient demand despite volatility, with shares up over 40% in the past month. Positive sentiment stems from diversified exposure beyond pure AI plays, enhancing stability.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
FORM and MPWR both leverage AI/semiconductor growth but differ in business models: FORM's testing equipment targets niche AI memory validation, yielding higher recent momentum (39% in four weeks) but elevated beta (1.33), while MPWR's power ICs span broader applications like data centers and autos, offering scale ($78B vs. $11B market cap) and steadier trends. Growth drivers contrast: FORM rides HBM/DRAM surges, MPWR enterprise data. Risks include supply chain dependence for both, but MPWR shows lower relative volatility. Market sentiment favors MPWR's diversification, with higher price targets implying 13% upside vs. FORM's pullback potential post-earnings.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors MPWR due to its superior trend consistency, larger scale, diversified catalysts in enterprise data/comms, and upward analyst revisions post-Q1 beats. While FORM excels in AI testing momentum, MPWR's stability and broader positioning suggest higher probability of sustained outperformance in volatile markets.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FORM is a StrongBuy and MPWR is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FORM’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileMPWR’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- FORM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- MPWR’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FORM’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MPWR’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FORM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- MPWR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
FORM (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а -11.23% price change this week, while MPWR (@Semiconductors) price change was -8.22% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was -5.25%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +9.34%, and the average quarterly price growth was +129.85%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was -0.56%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +29.03%, and the average quarterly price growth was +88.34%.
Reported Earning Dates
FORM is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
MPWR is expected to report earnings on Aug 03, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (-5.25% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
@Semiconductors (-0.56% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| FORM | MPWR | FORM / MPWR | |
| Capitalization | 9.14B | 72.1B | 13% |
| EBITDA | 128M | 857M | 15% |
| Gain YTD | 110.111 | 62.302 | 177% |
| P/E Ratio | 134.71 | 105.09 | 128% |
| Revenue | 840M | 2.96B | 28% |
| Total Cash | 303M | 1.37B | 22% |
| Total Debt | 31.9M | 20M | 160% |
FORM | MPWR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 79 | 77 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 83 Overvalued | 84 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 28 | 19 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 80 | 46 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 36 | 13 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 5 | 2 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
FORM's Valuation (83) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as MPWR (84) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that FORM’s stock grew similarly to MPWR’s over the last 12 months.
MPWR's Profit vs Risk Rating (19) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as FORM (28) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that MPWR’s stock grew similarly to FORM’s over the last 12 months.
MPWR's SMR Rating (46) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FORM (80) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that MPWR’s stock grew somewhat faster than FORM’s over the last 12 months.
MPWR's Price Growth Rating (13) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as FORM (36) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that MPWR’s stock grew similarly to FORM’s over the last 12 months.
MPWR's P/E Growth Rating (2) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as FORM (5) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that MPWR’s stock grew similarly to FORM’s over the last 12 months.
| FORM | MPWR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 69% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 82% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 77% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 70% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 71% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 72% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 77% | 10 days ago 78% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 65% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 81% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 87% | 1 day ago 77% |
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FORM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FORM has been closely correlated with RMBS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FORM jumps, then RMBS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FORM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FORM | 100% | -0.19% | ||
| RMBS - FORM | 74% Closely correlated | -1.36% | ||
| SLAB - FORM | 73% Closely correlated | -0.03% | ||
| ADI - FORM | 72% Closely correlated | -1.02% | ||
| ARM - FORM | 72% Closely correlated | +3.73% | ||
| QCOM - FORM | 72% Closely correlated | -3.94% | ||
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MPWR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MPWR has been closely correlated with KLAC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MPWR jumps, then KLAC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MPWR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MPWR | 100% | -1.23% | ||
| KLAC - MPWR | 74% Closely correlated | -0.90% | ||
| LRCX - MPWR | 73% Closely correlated | -1.65% | ||
| NXPI - MPWR | 73% Closely correlated | +0.89% | ||
| AMAT - MPWR | 70% Closely correlated | -1.61% | ||
| KLIC - MPWR | 70% Closely correlated | -1.48% | ||
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