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FSLR vs NVTS
Which Stock Would AI Choose? First Solar (FSLR) vs. Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- FSLR trades around $196 with a Moderate Buy rating, supported by strong 2025 earnings of $14.21 EPS but pressured by 10% recent pullback and mixed 2026 guidance.
- NVTS has surged over 280% in the past year to about $10, driven by AI data center innovations in GaN and SiC, despite ongoing losses and high volatility.
- FSLR offers stability in solar manufacturing with a $16.4B backlog, while NVTS provides high-growth exposure to power semis for AI and EVs.
- Recent sentiment favors NVTS on product launches like 1200V SiC for data centers, contrasting FSLR's policy and pricing headwinds.
- Year-to-date, FSLR up ~25%, NVTS significantly higher amid sector momentum.
- Both face sector risks, but NVTS shows stronger short-term momentum versus FSLR's established scale.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines FSLR (First Solar), a leader in thin-film photovoltaic modules, and NVTS (Navitas Semiconductor), a provider of next-generation GaN and SiC power semiconductors. Both operate in the renewable energy and power electronics ecosystem, benefiting from trends in solar deployment and AI data center efficiency. Traders seeking exposure to clean energy infrastructure or growth-oriented semis, and investors evaluating relative performance in recent market activity, will find this analysis relevant for understanding momentum, risks, and positioning.
FSLR Overview and Recent Performance
First Solar (FSLR), headquartered in Tempe, Arizona, is America's leading thin-film solar module manufacturer, producing cadmium telluride PV panels for utility-scale projects. The company reported 2025 net sales of $5.2 billion and diluted EPS of $14.21, with Q4 sales at $1.7 billion. A contracted backlog of 53.7 GW valued at $16.4 billion underpins long-term visibility. Recent market activity saw shares decline about 10% amid disappointing 2026 guidance ($4.9B–$5.2B sales), backlog concerns, and pricing pressures, contributing to a 26.6% three-month drop despite a Moderate Buy analyst consensus. Policy uncertainties and permitting delays have tempered sentiment, though YTD gains stand at nearly 25% and a 52-week high of $286 highlights prior strength.
NVTS Overview and Recent Performance
Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS), based in Torrance, California, designs GaNFast gallium nitride and GeneSiC silicon carbide power ICs for mobile, data centers, EVs, and solar applications. Q4 2025 revenue reached $7.3 million, with a strategic pivot to high-power markets like AI infrastructure. Shares have delivered over 280% past-year gains, trading near $10, fueled by launches such as 1200V SiC MOSFETs in QDPAK and TO-247-4L packages for enhanced thermal efficiency in AI data centers. Recent surges of 20-25% followed executive appointments and product announcements, though persistent operational losses and a Reduce rating reflect risks. High beta underscores volatility amid strong design wins.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
FSLR and NVTS contrast in scale and focus: FSLR's mature solar module business drives profitability via U.S.-centric manufacturing and a massive backlog, while NVTS' fabless power semi model targets growth in GaN/SiC for AI power delivery and EVs. Recent momentum favors NVTS with explosive gains from data center catalysts, versus FSLR's pullback on guidance and policy risks. Risks include FSLR's pricing/backlog erosion and NVTS' losses/volatility; sector exposure overlaps in renewables but NVTS gains from AI semis sentiment.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors NVTS for its superior recent momentum, AI data center catalysts, and alignment with high-growth power semi trends, despite elevated risk. FSLR offers relative stability and proven earnings, but softer guidance reduces near-term appeal. Observable factors like trend consistency point to higher probability upside for NVTS in prevailing conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FSLR is a Hold and NVTS is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FSLR’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileNVTS’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- FSLR’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- NVTS’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FSLR’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NVTS’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FSLR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- NVTS’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
FSLR (@Alternative Power Generation) experienced а -3.92% price change this week, while NVTS (@Semiconductors) price change was +34.42% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Alternative Power Generation industry was +4.15%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.04%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2.74%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +10.22%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +24.75%, and the average quarterly price growth was +27.22%.
Reported Earning Dates
FSLR is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
NVTS is expected to report earnings on May 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Alternative Power Generation (+4.15% weekly)The alternative power generation industry consists of companies that operate power facilities converting non-conventional forms of energy into electricity. These energy forms are alternatives to fossil fuels, and many of them are derived from natural resources. Alternative energy forms include solar, wind, hydro, and geothermal steam. A major purpose behind using alternative energy – also called ‘clean’ energy - is to address concerns related to the more conventional fossil fuels, such as the latter’s high carbon dioxide emissions which is often considered a factor in global warming. Alternative power generation has been gaining traction in recent years, and could grow further in the future. Large organizations like Google have invested substantially in wind and solar energy-powered electricity. Some of the prominent U.S. companies operating in the alternative power generation industry includes Ormat Technologies, Inc., TerraForm Power, Inc. and NextEra Energy Partners LP.
@Semiconductors (+10.22% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| FSLR | NVTS | FSLR / NVTS | |
| Capitalization | 20.7B | 3.05B | 680% |
| EBITDA | 2.15B | -67.33M | -3,199% |
| Gain YTD | -26.314 | 84.874 | -31% |
| P/E Ratio | 13.55 | N/A | - |
| Revenue | 5.22B | 45.9M | 11,370% |
| Total Cash | 2.86B | 237M | 1,205% |
| Total Debt | 655M | 6.47M | 10,121% |
FSLR | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 59 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 90 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 64 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 49 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 61 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 34 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| FSLR | NVTS | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 85% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 80% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 65% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 82% | 1 day ago 74% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 76% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 78% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 21 days ago 80% | 6 days ago 80% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 78% | 23 days ago 86% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 82% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 80% |
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NVTS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NVTS has been loosely correlated with IFNNY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 45% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if NVTS jumps, then IFNNY could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NVTS | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVTS | 100% | +7.14% | ||
| IFNNY - NVTS | 45% Loosely correlated | -0.70% | ||
| TOELY - NVTS | 44% Loosely correlated | -1.26% | ||
| PENG - NVTS | 43% Loosely correlated | +5.09% | ||
| AAOI - NVTS | 42% Loosely correlated | +2.54% | ||
| COHU - NVTS | 41% Loosely correlated | +7.30% | ||
More | ||||