ITA
Price
$231.94
Change
+$2.91 (+1.27%)
Updated
Apr 17 closing price
Net Assets
14B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
PAVE
Price
$55.06
Change
+$1.23 (+2.28%)
Updated
Apr 17 closing price
Net Assets
12.33B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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ITA vs PAVE

Header iconITA vs PAVE Comparison
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Which ETF would AI Choose? iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) vs. Global X U.S. Infrastructure Development ETF (PAVE)

Key Takeaways

  • ITA provides concentrated exposure to the U.S. aerospace and defense sector with 41 holdings and top 10 comprising over 75% of assets, while PAVE offers broader infrastructure development access across 100 holdings with top 10 at about 33%.
  • ITA's expense ratio of 0.38% is lower than PAVE's 0.47%, offering better cost efficiency for sector-specific investors.
  • ITA is nearly 100% allocated to aerospace and defense within industrials, contrasting PAVE's diversified mix of 72% industrials, 22.5% materials, and smaller utilities exposure.
  • Both ETFs exhibit higher volatility than broad markets due to cyclical industrials focus, but ITA shows greater concentration risk from dominant holdings like GE and RTX.
  • Recent market cycles highlight ITA's edge in defense-driven momentum amid geopolitical tensions, versus PAVE's sensitivity to infrastructure spending cycles.
  • Shared overlap in holdings like HWM (Howmet Aerospace) underscores industrials commonality, but distinct thematic positioning suits different risk appetites.

Introduction

In the current market environment, industrials sector ETFs like ITA and PAVE attract investors seeking targeted exposure to U.S. growth themes. ITA focuses on aerospace and defense, benefiting from sustained defense budgets and geopolitical stability demands, while PAVE captures broader infrastructure development, fueled by legislative acts such as the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act and CHIPS Act. Though both tilt toward industrials, they represent alternative strategies: ITA for concentrated, defense-oriented plays and PAVE for diversified construction, materials, and equipment exposure. This ETF comparison highlights structural differences, sector profiles, and relative positioning to aid sector rotation decisions.

iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) Overview

The iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is a passive fund tracking the Dow Jones U.S. Select Aerospace & Defense Index, comprising U.S. equities in aerospace and defense. Launched in 2006, it holds 41 stocks with top 10 accounting for approximately 75% of assets, including GE Aerospace (19.4%), RTX Corp (16.6%), BA (Boeing, 7.3%), LMT (Lockheed Martin, 5.3%), and NOC (Northrop Grumman, 5.1%). Sector allocation is 99.7% aerospace & defense. The expense ratio is 0.38%, with high liquidity reflected in average daily volume over 1.6 million shares. Non-diversified structure emphasizes pure-play sector exposure, ideal for investors targeting military and commercial aircraft manufacturers.

Global X U.S. Infrastructure Development ETF (PAVE) Overview

The Global X U.S. Infrastructure Development ETF (PAVE), launched in 2017, passively tracks the Indxx U.S. Infrastructure Development Index, targeting U.S.-listed firms in construction, engineering, materials, transportation, and equipment. It features 100 holdings, with top 10 at 33%, led by PWR (Quanta Services, 3.7%), CSX (3.4%), SRE (Sempra, 3.4%), HWM (3.4%), and DE (Deere, 3.4%). Sectors break down to 72% industrials, 22.5% materials, 3.4% utilities. Expense ratio stands at 0.47%, supported by strong liquidity. This thematic, unconstrained approach positions it for infrastructure spending tailwinds.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

The industrials sector, encompassing aerospace/defense and infrastructure, faces a dynamic environment shaped by geopolitical tensions, fiscal policies, and technological shifts. Aerospace and defense benefit from rising global defense budgets—U.S. FY2026 requests exceed $960 billion, prioritizing AI, autonomy, and missile defense amid ongoing conflicts. Infrastructure development gains from nearly $1 trillion in U.S. acts funding roads, energy, and semiconductors, though execution risks persist with supply chain constraints and labor shortages. Macro drivers like interest rate trajectories influence cyclical spending, while regulatory pushes for domestic content bolster both themes. Sector risks include commodity volatility for infrastructure and program delays for defense.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent weeks and months, ITA has demonstrated resilient positioning, with YTD returns around 8.4% and 1-year gains near 55%, driven by strong earnings from top holdings like GE and RTX amid defense budget expansions and geopolitical catalysts. PAVE trails slightly YTD at about 6% and 1-year at 33%, reflecting broader infrastructure rotation but sensitivity to materials costs and project timelines. Over 3-year cycles, ITA's annualized 28% edges PAVE's 24%, tying to sector momentum in defense versus infrastructure's ties to economic cycles. ITA exhibits lower relative volatility in risk-off environments due to stable government contracts, while PAVE amplifies industrials beta.

Trending AI Robots

Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots page features a curated selection of the platform's strongest performing AI trading bots from hundreds covering thousands of tickers. These bots employ diverse strategies—momentum, hedging, swing, and high-frequency—across timeframes like 5-minute to daily charts, targeting stocks, ETFs including ITA and infrastructure names, and crypto. Highlighted performers show annualized returns from +14% to over +200%, win rates of 60-80%, and profit factors exceeding 2.0 under varying conditions. Users can filter by metrics, view real-time signals, and subscribe for automated copy trading. Explore this page to identify AI tools aligned with current sector trends in industrials and defense.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Tickeron’s AI currently favors ITA over PAVE, with higher probability of outperformance in the near term. This assessment stems from ITA's superior cost efficiency, concentrated exposure to momentum-rich defense subsector, trend consistency amid elevated geopolitical risks, and stronger recent cycle returns. PAVE's broader diversification suits infrastructure bulls, but ITA's structural alignment with fiscal tailwinds positions it ahead probabilistically.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
ITA vs. PAVE commentary
Apr 18, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ITA is a Hold and PAVE is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
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FUNDAMENTALS
Fundamentals
ITA has more net assets: 14B vs. PAVE (12.3B). PAVE has a higher annual dividend yield than ITA: PAVE (15.212) vs ITA (8.105). ITA was incepted earlier than PAVE: ITA (20 years) vs PAVE (9 years). ITA (0.38) has a lower expense ratio than PAVE (0.47). ITA has a higher turnover PAVE (9.98) vs PAVE (9.98).
ITAPAVEITA / PAVE
Gain YTD8.10515.21253%
Net Assets14B12.3B114%
Total Expense Ratio0.380.4781%
Turnover42.009.98421%
Yield0.490.8657%
Fund Existence20 years9 years-
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
ITAPAVE
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
80%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
79%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
80%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
84%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
83%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
83%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
87%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
89%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
82%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
87%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 5 days ago
85%
Bullish Trend 6 days ago
89%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
82%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
79%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
81%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
86%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
78%
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ITA
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
PAVE
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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PAVE and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PAVE has been closely correlated with VMI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PAVE jumps, then VMI could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To PAVE
1D Price
Change %
PAVE100%
+2.28%
VMI - PAVE
82%
Closely correlated
+2.71%
EMR - PAVE
80%
Closely correlated
+4.26%
PH - PAVE
79%
Closely correlated
+3.32%
GGG - PAVE
78%
Closely correlated
+2.14%
WCC - PAVE
76%
Closely correlated
+3.63%
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