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JOBY vs LMT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Joby Aviation (JOBY) vs. Lockheed Martin (LMT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Joby Aviation (JOBY), an eVTOL developer, has shown volatility with shares down about 29% YTD amid manufacturing ramp-up and Dubai air taxi plans, contrasting Lockheed Martin (LMT)'s steady climb of nearly 40% YTD fueled by defense contracts.
- LMT, a defense giant, benefits from a massive $179 billion backlog and F-35 production surges, offering stability versus JOBY's pre-revenue growth profile.
- Recent JOBY catalysts include Uber partnerships for Dubai launches and doubled U.S. output, while LMT secured F-35 sustainment deals amid rising geopolitical demand.
- LMT trades at lower volatility (beta 0.20) with dividends, appealing for conservative portfolios; JOBY (beta 2.66) suits high-growth seekers despite ongoing losses.
- Both operate in aerospace but diverge: JOBY eyes urban mobility disruption; LMT dominates military systems with proven profitability.
Introduction
This stock comparison pits Joby Aviation (JOBY), a pioneer in electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft for urban air mobility, against Lockheed Martin (LMT), the established leader in aerospace and defense systems. Investors eyeing aerospace innovation versus defense reliability, or traders assessing growth potential amid market volatility, will find value here. Recent developments like eVTOL commercialization pushes and surging defense budgets highlight contrasts in business models, risk profiles, and market positioning, aiding decisions on relative performance in today's environment.
JOBY Overview and Recent Performance
Joby Aviation (JOBY) develops all-electric eVTOL aircraft for commercial air taxi services, targeting urban routes with partnerships like Uber. Headquartered in Santa Cruz, California, the company focuses on certification, manufacturing scale-up, and vertiport infrastructure. In recent market activity, shares traded around $9.55, down roughly 29% YTD and 10% over the past month, reflecting volatility from high cash burn and dilution concerns despite Q4 2025 revenue of $31 million beating estimates. Sentiment has been influenced by positive strides, including plans to double U.S. production capacity, a $1 billion raise boosting cash to $2.6 billion, Dubai air taxi exclusivity via Uber integration by year-end, and DoD autonomous flight demos logging thousands of miles. These catalysts signal commercialization progress in a projected trillion-dollar market, though execution risks temper near-term gains.
LMT Overview and Recent Performance
Lockheed Martin (LMT), based in Bethesda, Maryland, is a global security firm specializing in advanced aircraft, missiles, rotary systems, and space tech, with primary U.S. government revenue. Recent weeks saw shares near $672, up about 40% YTD and 6% monthly, driven by geopolitical tensions boosting defense demand. Key influences include F-35 sustainment contracts worth hundreds of millions, framework deals to quadruple THAAD production, and a record $179 billion backlog supporting stable cash flows. Production ramps for PAC-3 MSE and HIMARS, alongside 191 F-35 deliveries in 2025, underscore operational strength, with shares benefiting from low beta and dividend appeal amid bond yield shifts.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Joby Aviation (JOBY) and Lockheed Martin (LMT) both anchor aerospace but diverge sharply in models: JOBY’s speculative eVTOL urban mobility bets on regulatory wins and partnerships for explosive growth, while LMT leverages entrenched defense contracts for predictable revenues. Growth drivers contrast JOBY’s path to 2026 revenues of $105–$115 million against LMT’s $75 billion 2025 sales and rising backlog. Momentum favors LMT’s stability amid volatility; JOBY risks dilution and certification delays. Sector exposure pits JOBY’s nascent commercial aviation against LMT’s geopolitical tailwinds, with sentiment leaning toward LMT for lower risk but JOBY for upside trade-offs.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors Lockheed Martin (LMT) due to superior trend consistency, backlog-driven stability, and catalysts like F-35 ramps amid defense spending surges. While JOBY shows promise in eVTOL momentum, its higher volatility and pre-profit phase suggest greater uncertainty; LMT offers probabilistic edge for relative positioning in the near term.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is JOBY is a Hold and LMT is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
JOBY’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileLMT’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- JOBY’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- LMT’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
JOBY’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while LMT’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- JOBY’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- LMT’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
JOBY (@Air Freight/Couriers) experienced а +10.55% price change this week, while LMT (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was -3.51% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Air Freight/Couriers industry was +0.72%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.59%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.60%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +2.22%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +11.36%, and the average quarterly price growth was +30.07%.
Reported Earning Dates
JOBY is expected to report earnings on May 13, 2026.
LMT is expected to report earnings on Apr 23, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Air Freight/Couriers (+0.72% weekly)The Air Freight/Couriers industry operates air transportation and recurring delivery services. This includes companies offering same-day deliveries, scheduled delivery and logistical services. The proliferation of e-commerce/online retail with a growing emphasis on faster delivery has expanded opportunities for this industry, and induced more competition. United Parcel Service, Inc., FedEx Corporation and Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. are some of the major companies in this industry.
@Aerospace & Defense (+2.22% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
| JOBY | LMT | JOBY / LMT | |
| Capitalization | 8.95B | 134B | 7% |
| EBITDA | -679.43M | 8.73B | -8% |
| Gain YTD | -30.152 | 23.082 | -131% |
| P/E Ratio | N/A | 27.05 | - |
| Revenue | 53.4M | 75B | 0% |
| Total Cash | 1.41B | 4.12B | 34% |
| Total Debt | 36.8M | 21.7B | 0% |
LMT | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 13 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 35 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 14 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 52 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 33 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| JOBY | LMT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 85% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 82% | 4 days ago 45% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 79% | 4 days ago 52% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 82% | 4 days ago 38% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 78% | 4 days ago 49% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 84% | 4 days ago 54% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 78% | 15 days ago 54% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 22 days ago 82% | 4 days ago 47% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 87% | 4 days ago 55% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 88% | 4 days ago 52% |
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JOBY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, JOBY has been loosely correlated with SRTA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 36% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if JOBY jumps, then SRTA could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To JOBY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JOBY | 100% | N/A | ||
| SRTA - JOBY | 36% Loosely correlated | +1.56% | ||
| ASLE - JOBY | 27% Poorly correlated | +2.97% | ||
| OMAB - JOBY | 24% Poorly correlated | +1.68% | ||
| CAAP - JOBY | 23% Poorly correlated | +0.73% | ||
| SOAR - JOBY | 23% Poorly correlated | -5.83% | ||
More | ||||
LMT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LMT has been loosely correlated with GD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 49% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if LMT jumps, then GD could also see price increases.