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JPM vs KEY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? JPMorgan Chase (JPM) vs. KeyCorp (KEY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- JPM, the largest U.S. bank by market cap at around $792 billion, offers diversified revenue from investment banking, consumer, and asset management, contrasting with KEY's $22 billion cap and regional focus on retail and commercial banking.
- Recent market activity shows both stocks under pressure, with JPM down about 8-10% YTD and KEY roughly flat to up slightly at +3% YTD amid broader banking sector volatility.
- KEY provides a higher dividend yield of approximately 4% versus JPM's 2%, appealing to income-focused investors, while both maintain P/E ratios around 14.
- In recent weeks, JPM has shown stronger long-term momentum with 20% one-year returns compared to KEY's 25-32%, but regional banks like KEY benefit from analyst upgrades on profitability outlook.
- Both face interest rate sensitivity, but JPM's global scale provides stability amid geopolitical tensions and debt deals, while KEY gains from local market recognitions.
Introduction
This stock comparison between JPM and KEY examines two banks at different scales within the U.S. financial sector: a global powerhouse versus a regional player. Both operate in banking amid shifting interest rates, economic growth concerns, and sector volatility in recent market activity. Investors seeking diversified stability may lean toward JPM, while those eyeing higher yields and potential regional recovery might consider KEY. Traders focused on relative performance, momentum, and risk-reward trade-offs will find insights into their positioning for current conditions.
JPM Overview and Recent Performance
JPMorgan Chase & Co. stands as the largest U.S. bank by assets exceeding $4 trillion, delivering services in consumer banking, investment banking, commercial banking, and asset management across global markets. Its diversified model buffers against sector-specific pressures. In recent market activity, JPM shares traded around $289-$293, reflecting a YTD decline of about 8-10% from early 2026 highs near $337, amid broader banking pullbacks and interest rate expectations. Sentiment has been influenced by preparations for large debt sales, Middle East operational adjustments due to tensions, and positive asset management hires, alongside projections for net interest income growth to $95 billion in 2026. One-year returns stand at roughly 20%, outperforming the S&P 500 slightly, with a P/E of 14.5 and 2% dividend yield supporting long-term positioning.
KEY Overview and Recent Performance
KeyCorp, through its KeyBank subsidiary, focuses on retail and commercial banking across 15 U.S. states, emphasizing consumer, small business, and commercial services with a market cap of about $22 billion. This regional footprint ties performance closely to Midwest and Northeast economies. Recently, KEY shares hovered near $20.50, showing relative resilience with YTD gains around 3% versus broader declines, though down 4-8% over the past month amid regional bank sentiment shifts. Key drivers include analyst upgrades on profitability, East Ohio market awards, new branch developments, and quarterly dividends, with one-year returns of 25-32%. Trading at a P/E of 13 and 4% yield, performance reflects higher interest income beats but sensitivity to deposit costs and loan growth in recent quarters.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
JPM’s global business model contrasts KEY’s regional emphasis, with JPM deriving strength from investment banking fees and asset management amid M&A upticks, while KEY prioritizes net interest income from loans and deposits. Growth drivers differ: JPM benefits from scale and tech investments projecting NII expansion, versus KEY’s focus on local expansions and cost discipline. Recent momentum favors KEY’s one-year outperformance but JPM leads in stability, with lower beta exposure. Risk factors include rate cuts pressuring margins more acutely for regionals like KEY, versus JPM’s diversification mitigating credit and geopolitical risks. Sector-wise, both navigate banking headwinds, but JPM’s pristine credit quality bolsters sentiment over KEY’s regional vulnerabilities.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors JPM for its superior trend consistency, lower relative volatility, and stronger catalysts like projected NII growth and global positioning. While KEY offers attractive yield and recent upgrades, JPM’s scale and diversification provide higher probability of outperformance in volatile conditions, based on observable momentum and stability metrics.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is JPM is a Hold and KEY is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
JPM’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileKEY’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- JPM’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- KEY’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
JPM’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KEY’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- JPM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- KEY’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
JPM (@Major Banks) experienced а +5.72% price change this week, while KEY (@Regional Banks) price change was +4.84% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Major Banks industry was +4.00%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.14%, and the average quarterly price growth was +20.50%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Regional Banks industry was +2.59%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.81%, and the average quarterly price growth was +18.99%.
Reported Earning Dates
JPM is expected to report earnings on Apr 14, 2026.
KEY is expected to report earnings on Apr 16, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Major Banks (+4.00% weekly)Major banks are among the biggest companies in the world, often times with global reach and market capitalizations in the multi-billions. Large banks often have multiple arms spanning different disciplines, from deposits, to investment banking, to wealth management and insurance. The biggest banks often have key competitive advantages over smaller players in the industry in terms of brand recognition, cost of capital, and efficiency. Think J.P. Morgan, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup.
@Regional Banks (+2.59% weekly)Regional banks have a smaller reach than major banks, and cater mostly to one region of a country, such as a state or within a group of states. They offer services often similar – albeit with some limitations/smaller scale – compared to major banks. Taking deposits, making loans, mortgages, leases, credit cards , fund management, insurance and investment banking. SunTrust Banks, State Street Corp., M&T Bank Corp. are some examples of U.S. regional banks.
| JPM | KEY | JPM / KEY | |
| Capitalization | 831B | 23B | 3,613% |
| EBITDA | N/A | N/A | - |
| Gain YTD | -2.905 | 5.002 | -58% |
| P/E Ratio | 15.48 | 14.12 | 110% |
| Revenue | 182B | 7.29B | 2,498% |
| Total Cash | 21.7B | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 500B | 11B | 4,545% |
JPM | KEY | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 24 | 21 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 84 Overvalued | 80 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 15 | 75 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 1 | 8 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 49 | 18 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 30 | 89 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
KEY's Valuation (80) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as JPM (84). This means that KEY’s stock grew similarly to JPM’s over the last 12 months.
JPM's Profit vs Risk Rating (15) in the Major Banks industry is somewhat better than the same rating for KEY (75). This means that JPM’s stock grew somewhat faster than KEY’s over the last 12 months.
JPM's SMR Rating (1) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as KEY (8). This means that JPM’s stock grew similarly to KEY’s over the last 12 months.
KEY's Price Growth Rating (18) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as JPM (49). This means that KEY’s stock grew similarly to JPM’s over the last 12 months.
JPM's P/E Growth Rating (30) in the Major Banks industry is somewhat better than the same rating for KEY (89). This means that JPM’s stock grew somewhat faster than KEY’s over the last 12 months.
| JPM | KEY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 61% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 67% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 68% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 63% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 65% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 59% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 61% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 16 days ago 59% | 13 days ago 70% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 42% | 1 day ago 74% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 66% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| MMLG | 32.84 | 0.09 | +0.27% |
| First Trust Multi-Manager Large Gr ETF | |||
| BCD | 35.74 | 0.08 | +0.22% |
| abrdn Blmb AllCmdLDSK1Fr ETF | |||
| PXF | 73.09 | -0.02 | -0.03% |
| Invesco RAFI Developed Markets ex-US ETF | |||
| SMAX | 27.10 | -0.01 | -0.03% |
| iShares Large Cap Max Buffer Sep ETF | |||
| PSQA | 20.47 | -0.05 | -0.22% |
| Palmer Square CLO Senior Debt ETF | |||
JPM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, JPM has been closely correlated with BAC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if JPM jumps, then BAC could also see price increases.
KEY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KEY has been closely correlated with CFG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 93% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if KEY jumps, then CFG could also see price increases.