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KO vs MDLZ
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Coca-Cola (KO) vs. Mondelez (MDLZ) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- KO has delivered stronger year-to-date gains of approximately 16.7%, outpacing MDLZ's 14.4% rise amid recent market activity.
- Recent dividend increases bolster KO's appeal as a stable income play, with its 64th consecutive annual hike to $0.53 quarterly.
- MDLZ faces headwinds from cocoa cost inflation but beat Q4 earnings estimates, supporting a higher dividend yield around 3.25%.
- Valuation metrics show KO trading at a lower P/E ratio of 26.8 versus MDLZ's 32.6, highlighting relative affordability.
- Both stocks exhibit defensive qualities in consumer staples, with KO showing greater momentum in recent weeks.
- Analyst price targets suggest modest upside for both, averaging $82.63 for KO and $66.88 for MDLZ.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines KO (Coca-Cola Company) and MDLZ (Mondelez International) within the consumer staples sector, both emblematic of defensive investing. KO dominates non-alcoholic beverages, while MDLZ leads in snacks and confectionery. Traders seeking relative performance insights and investors prioritizing stability, dividends, and resilience amid economic uncertainty will find this analysis relevant. Recent market activity underscores their roles as havens, with contrasts in growth drivers, pricing power, and input cost sensitivities shaping current positioning.
KO Overview and Recent Performance
The Coca-Cola Company (KO), a global leader in beverages, operates through a franchised bottling model emphasizing iconic brands like Coke and expanding into functional drinks. In recent market activity, shares reached 52-week highs near $82, reflecting approximately 11% monthly gains and 16.7% year-to-date appreciation. Q4 2025 earnings topped EPS estimates at $0.58, despite a revenue shortfall, driven by 5% organic growth from pricing and volume. Sentiment has strengthened with the 64th consecutive dividend increase to $0.53 quarterly (yield ~2.5%), international expansions like Powerade in India, and upward analyst revisions post-CAGNY conference. Low beta (0.36) underscores stability, though value scores dipped amid the rally.
MDLZ Overview and Recent Performance
Mondelez International (MDLZ) specializes in snacking brands including Oreo, Cadbury, and Milka, with a portfolio skewed toward emerging markets and chocolate. Recent weeks saw shares recover with 4-5% monthly advances to around $61.50, alongside 14.4% year-to-date returns, though trailing one-year performance lags at 0.7%. Q4 2025 results exceeded expectations with $10.5 billion revenue (up 9.3%) and $0.72 adjusted EPS, fueled by pricing amid cocoa inflation. Elevated input costs prompted a muted 2026 outlook, pressuring volumes, yet long-term targets of 3-5% organic growth persist. Dividend yield stands higher at ~3.25%, with beta of 0.40 signaling defensive traits.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
KO and MDLZ both anchor consumer staples, offering recession resistance via essential products, but diverge in models: KO's asset-light concentrate sales yield higher margins versus MDLZ's direct snacking exposure to commodity swings like cocoa. Growth drivers contrast with KO leveraging pricing discipline and emerging-market volume, while MDLZ eyes snacking trends amid cost pressures. Recent momentum favors KO with superior YTD and one-year returns (18.5% vs. 0.7%). Risk factors include regulatory scrutiny on sugar for KO and input inflation for MDLZ. KO's lower P/E (26.8 vs. 32.6) and storied dividend aristocrat status enhance sentiment, though MDLZ offers higher yield. Market positioning tilts toward KO for stability trade-offs.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors KO based on superior trend consistency, recent momentum, dividend reliability, and relative valuation in the consumer staples landscape. Factors like stronger YTD performance, lower P/E multiple, and positive catalysts including product expansions position it probabilistically ahead for near-term relative outperformance versus MDLZ, which grapples with cost volatility.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is KO is a Hold and MDLZ is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
KO’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileMDLZ’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- KO’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- MDLZ’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
KO’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MDLZ’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- KO’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MDLZ’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
KO (@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic) experienced а +2.58% price change this week, while MDLZ (@Food: Specialty/Candy) price change was -0.55% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Beverages: Non-Alcoholic industry was -2.37%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.14%, and the average quarterly price growth was +117461.88%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Specialty/Candy industry was +1.10%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -7.48%, and the average quarterly price growth was -0.93%.
Reported Earning Dates
KO is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
MDLZ is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Beverages: Non-Alcoholic (-2.37% weekly)Non-alcoholic drinks include traces of alcohol or low alcohol content or without alcohol or alcohol removed. Functional Beverages, Carbonated Soft Drinks (CSDs), Sports Drinks, Fruit Beverages, and Bottled Water are some common types of non-alcoholic beverages. The largest segment in this market is soft drinks (think Pepsi and Coke). Many established companies in this space have also been stepping up production of low to zero-calorie varieties in recent years, to cater to a rising number of health-conscious consumers. Coca-Cola Company, Pepsico Inc, Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. and Monster Beverage Corporation are some major non-alcoholic beverage makers.
@Food: Specialty/Candy (+1.10% weekly)A specialty/candy manufacturer specializes in one or more of the following: chocolate, candies, pasta, condiments, seasonings, among other items. Hershey Company, McCormick & Company and J.M. Smucker Company are some of the major firms in this segment. Demand for this industry’s products comes from both institutions/restaurants as well as households.
| KO | MDLZ | KO / MDLZ | |
| Capitalization | 346B | 78.3B | 442% |
| EBITDA | 19.2B | 5.23B | 367% |
| Gain YTD | 15.868 | 14.245 | 111% |
| P/E Ratio | 25.30 | 30.18 | 84% |
| Revenue | 49.3B | 39.3B | 125% |
| Total Cash | 13.8B | 1.52B | 906% |
| Total Debt | 43.9B | 21.6B | 203% |
KO | MDLZ | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 11 | 69 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 46 Fair valued | 30 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 11 | 72 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 21 | 69 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 31 | 50 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 61 | 26 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MDLZ's Valuation (30) in the Food Major Diversified industry is in the same range as KO (46) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that MDLZ’s stock grew similarly to KO’s over the last 12 months.
KO's Profit vs Risk Rating (11) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MDLZ (72) in the Food Major Diversified industry. This means that KO’s stock grew somewhat faster than MDLZ’s over the last 12 months.
KO's SMR Rating (21) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MDLZ (69) in the Food Major Diversified industry. This means that KO’s stock grew somewhat faster than MDLZ’s over the last 12 months.
KO's Price Growth Rating (31) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry is in the same range as MDLZ (50) in the Food Major Diversified industry. This means that KO’s stock grew similarly to MDLZ’s over the last 12 months.
MDLZ's P/E Growth Rating (26) in the Food Major Diversified industry is somewhat better than the same rating for KO (61) in the Beverages Non Alcoholic industry. This means that MDLZ’s stock grew somewhat faster than KO’s over the last 12 months.
| KO | MDLZ | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 31% | 2 days ago 49% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 25% | 2 days ago 52% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 46% | 2 days ago 51% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 45% | 2 days ago 55% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 38% | 2 days ago 56% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 37% | 2 days ago 50% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 40% | 16 days ago 53% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 30% | 2 days ago 50% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 30% | 2 days ago 51% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 29% | 2 days ago 28% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| IWML | 30.46 | 0.32 | +1.08% |
| ETRACS 2x Leveraged US Size Fctr TR ETN | |||
| VYM | 157.24 | 1.60 | +1.03% |
| Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF | |||
| IVSI | 28.10 | N/A | N/A |
| Applied Finance IVS International Large ETF | |||
| FLGB | 35.64 | -0.14 | -0.38% |
| Franklin FTSE United Kingdom ETF | |||
| IDRV | 44.97 | -0.31 | -0.68% |
| iShares Self-Driving EV and Tech ETF | |||
KO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KO has been loosely correlated with PEP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 55% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if KO jumps, then PEP could also see price increases.