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LVMHF vs TPR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton (LVMHF) vs. Tapestry (TPR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- TPR has delivered robust year-to-date gains of around 12%, contrasting with LVMHF's decline of nearly 30%, highlighting divergent momentum in the luxury sector.
- LVMHF reported modest 1% organic revenue growth in Q1 2026 amid Middle East tensions and currency headwinds, while fashion and leather goods dipped 2%.
- TPR achieved record Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue up 14% to $2.5 billion, driven by 25% Coach brand growth, prompting raised full-year guidance.
- Both stocks operate in luxury goods, but LVMHF offers ultra-premium diversification while TPR focuses on accessible accessories with stronger U.S. consumer traction.
- Recent luxury market trends show high-end slowdown for LVMHF, while TPR benefits from handbag demand and efficiency gains.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines LVMHF, the OTC ticker for LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, and TPR, Tapestry Inc., two players in the luxury goods sector. LVMH represents ultra-luxury with brands like Louis Vuitton and Dior, while Tapestry focuses on accessible premium accessories via Coach and Kate Spade. Traders and investors tracking consumer cyclical stocks may find value in their relative performance amid shifting luxury demand, geopolitical influences, and regional consumer trends. Recent divergent trajectories—marked by LVMH's stabilization efforts and Tapestry's acceleration—offer insights into sector positioning and potential trade-offs in growth versus stability. (102 words)
LVMHF Overview and Recent Performance
LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton operates as a global leader in high-end luxury goods, spanning fashion, leather goods, wines, spirits, perfumes, watches, and jewelry. In recent market activity, the stock has faced headwinds, declining nearly 30% year-to-date and 5% over the past year. Q1 2026 revenue reached €19.1 billion with 1% organic growth, tempered by a 6% reported drop due to currency effects and Middle East conflict impacts shaving about 1% off growth. Fashion and leather goods, accounting for nearly half of revenue, fell 2% organically, reflecting softer tourist spending in Europe and Japan despite Asia ex-Japan strength. Shares trade around $530, influenced by broader luxury slowdown sentiment and geopolitical risks, though diversification provides resilience.
TPR Overview and Recent Performance
Tapestry Inc. is a multinational fashion holding company owning Coach and Kate Spade, emphasizing leather goods, handbags, and accessories targeted at aspirational consumers. Recent performance has been strong, with shares up about 12% year-to-date and over 100% in the past year. Fiscal Q2 2026 revenue hit a record $2.5 billion, up 14% year-over-year (18% pro forma excluding divested Stuart Weitzman), propelled by Coach's 25% surge to $2.14 billion amid handbag demand and 3.7 million new customers, including Gen Z. Kate Spade declined 14%, but overall margins expanded, leading to raised FY2026 guidance above $7.75 billion in revenue. Trading near $142-145, sentiment benefits from U.S. consumer resilience and operational efficiencies despite promotional pressures.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
LVMH's business model emphasizes ultra-luxury diversification across 75+ brands and regions, contrasting Tapestry's focused portfolio on two U.S.-centric accessible luxury brands. Growth drivers differ: LVMH relies on high-margin aspirational spending in Asia and the U.S., but recent weeks show fashion weakness; Tapestry leverages Coach's innovation and Gen Z appeal for accelerating revenue. Momentum favors TPR with 100%+ one-year gains versus LVMHF's declines, amid luxury sector contrasts. Risk factors include LVMH's exposure to geopolitical tensions (e.g., Middle East) and currency volatility, while TPR faces U.S. consumer slowdowns and Kate Spade repositioning. Both share sector vulnerabilities to economic cycles, but LVMH offers stability via scale ($300B+ market cap) against TPR's agility ($29B cap). Market sentiment tilts toward TPR's execution amid high-end luxury caution.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models currently lean toward TPR over LVMHF, based on superior trend consistency, earnings momentum, and relative strength in recent quarters. TPR's raised guidance and Coach-driven growth signal higher probability of outperformance in consumer cyclicals, while LVMH's modest recovery faces elevated risks from regional disruptions. This positioning suggests TPR for momentum-oriented strategies, though both warrant monitoring for luxury sector shifts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is LVMHF is a Hold and TPR is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
LVMHF’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileTPR’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- LVMHF’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TPR’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
LVMHF’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TPR’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- LVMHF’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 2 bearish.
- TPR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
LVMHF (@Catalog/Specialty Distribution) experienced а +1.00% price change this week, while TPR (@Catalog/Specialty Distribution) price change was -6.83% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Catalog/Specialty Distribution industry was +1.62%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.33%, and the average quarterly price growth was -7.00%.
Reported Earning Dates
TPR is expected to report earnings on Aug 13, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Catalog/Specialty Distribution (+1.62% weekly)The catalog and specialty distribution industry includes companies that offer retail through mail-order houses, media, online social platforms, mobile apps and other channels outside of brick-and-mortar stores. Several companies in this business partner with retail companies to assist them with marketing, digital solutions, warehousing, and/or other distribution capabilities. In essence, the industry acts as a potential catalyst for retailers/brands to widen their reach among customers. Pinduoduo Inc., Qurate Retail, Inc. and Baozun are some of the major players in this business.
| LVMHF | TPR | LVMHF / TPR | |
| Capitalization | 263B | 26.6B | 989% |
| EBITDA | 25.8B | 1.12B | 2,312% |
| Gain YTD | -29.445 | 3.376 | -872% |
| P/E Ratio | 20.69 | 40.16 | 52% |
| Revenue | 80.8B | 7.85B | 1,029% |
| Total Cash | 13.5B | 1.07B | 1,263% |
| Total Debt | 36.7B | 3.92B | 936% |
LVMHF | TPR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 57 | 59 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 30 Undervalued | 52 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 11 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 99 | 18 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 63 | 49 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | 11 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
LVMHF's Valuation (30) in the null industry is in the same range as TPR (52) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry. This means that LVMHF’s stock grew similarly to TPR’s over the last 12 months.
TPR's Profit vs Risk Rating (11) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is significantly better than the same rating for LVMHF (100) in the null industry. This means that TPR’s stock grew significantly faster than LVMHF’s over the last 12 months.
TPR's SMR Rating (18) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is significantly better than the same rating for LVMHF (99) in the null industry. This means that TPR’s stock grew significantly faster than LVMHF’s over the last 12 months.
TPR's Price Growth Rating (49) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as LVMHF (63) in the null industry. This means that TPR’s stock grew similarly to LVMHF’s over the last 12 months.
TPR's P/E Growth Rating (11) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is somewhat better than the same rating for LVMHF (51) in the null industry. This means that TPR’s stock grew somewhat faster than LVMHF’s over the last 12 months.
| LVMHF | TPR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 82% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 72% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 56% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 69% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 57% | 7 days ago 71% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 9 days ago 68% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 71% |
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LVMHF and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LVMHF has been closely correlated with LVMUY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 98% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if LVMHF jumps, then LVMUY could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To LVMHF | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVMHF | 100% | -0.19% | ||
| LVMUY - LVMHF | 98% Closely correlated | -0.37% | ||
| HESAY - LVMHF | 81% Closely correlated | -1.70% | ||
| CFRUY - LVMHF | 77% Closely correlated | +0.23% | ||
| HESAF - LVMHF | 72% Closely correlated | -3.28% | ||
| PPRUY - LVMHF | 68% Closely correlated | +0.11% | ||
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TPR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TPR has been loosely correlated with CPRI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 49% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TPR jumps, then CPRI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TPR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TPR | 100% | -1.21% | ||
| CPRI - TPR | 49% Loosely correlated | -1.70% | ||
| SIG - TPR | 42% Loosely correlated | -3.34% | ||
| MOV - TPR | 41% Loosely correlated | -4.06% | ||
| LVMHF - TPR | 41% Loosely correlated | -0.19% | ||
| LVMUY - TPR | 40% Loosely correlated | -0.37% | ||
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