Advertisement
MDLZ vs MO
MDLZ vs MO Stock Comparison: Earnings Recap + Recent Results and Dividend Strength
Key Takeaways
- MDLZ reported Q4 2025 adjusted EPS of $0.72, beating estimates by 2.86%, with net revenues up 9.3% to $10.5 billion.
- MO posted Q4 2025 adjusted EPS of $1.30, slightly missing estimates, but full-year adjusted EPS grew 4.4% to $5.42.
- Both companies issued modest 2026 guidance: MDLZ expects flat to 2% organic revenue growth and flat to 5% adjusted EPS growth; MO targets 2.5% to 5.5% adjusted EPS growth.
- MO offers a higher dividend yield at 6.08% versus MDLZ's 3.33%, with strong shareholder returns of $8 billion in 2025.
- MDLZ showed robust international growth, particularly in Europe and AMEA, despite volume declines.
- MO faces cigarette volume declines but advances in smoke-free products like on! oral nicotine pouches.
Earnings Context and Why This Comparison Matters
Mondelez International (MDLZ), a global snacking leader with brands like Oreo and Cadbury, and Altria Group (MO), a tobacco giant behind Marlboro and expanding into smoke-free products, operate in defensive consumer sectors. Their recent Q4 2025 earnings, released on February 3, 2026, for MDLZ and January 29, 2026, for MO, highlight resilience amid input cost pressures and shifting consumer trends. This comparison matters as both deliver stable cash flows and dividends, appealing to income investors, while navigating growth challenges in mature markets.
Mondelez International Focus
Mondelez reported Q4 2025 adjusted EPS of $0.72, up 10.8% reported (4.6% constant currency), surpassing consensus estimates of $0.70. GAAP EPS was $0.51. Net revenues reached $10.5 billion, a 9.3% increase, driven by 5.1% organic growth from pricing, despite a 4.8 percentage point volume/mix decline due to affordability pressures. Full-year organic net revenue grew 4.3%, with adjusted EPS at $2.92.
Regionally, Europe led with Q4 organic growth of 8.3%, followed by AMEA at 7.5%. North America saw a 0.5% organic decline. For 2026, management guides organic net revenue flat to 2% and adjusted EPS flat to 5% constant currency, with free cash flow around $3 billion, citing cocoa cost stabilization and brand investments.
Altria Group Context
Altria's Q4 2025 adjusted EPS held flat at $1.30 year-over-year, narrowly missing estimates of $1.32, while revenues net of excise taxes were $5.08 billion, up slightly. Full-year adjusted EPS rose 4.4% to $5.42, supported by margin expansion in smokeable products to 63.4%.
Cigarette shipment volumes fell 7.9% in Q4 and 10% for the year, offset by growth in oral nicotine pouches like on!, with 44.2 million cans shipped in Q4 (up 0.7%). The company returned $8 billion to shareholders in 2025. 2026 adjusted EPS guidance is $5.56-$5.72, implying 2.5%-5.5% growth, weighted to the second half amid investments in smoke-free capabilities.
Head-to-Head Earnings and Market Comparison
MDLZ demonstrated stronger top-line momentum with 9.3% Q4 revenue growth versus MO's flat performance, fueled by international pricing power. However, MO boasts superior earnings stability and margins, with TTM EPS of $4.12 (PE 16.92) compared to MDLZ's $1.89 (PE 31.81). MO's market cap stands at $117 billion versus $77.6 billion for MDLZ.
Growth drivers differ: MDLZ relies on emerging markets and premium snacks amid volume headwinds, while MO counters cigarette declines with smoke-free transitions. Risks include commodity volatility for MDLZ and regulatory pressures for MO. Sentiment favors MO's dividend reliability.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron offers hundreds of AI trading bots covering thousands of tickers, but the curated Trending AI Robots section spotlights only the strongest performers under current market conditions. These bots employ diverse strategies—from momentum and mean reversion to arbitrage and machine learning pattern recognition—across various timeframes like intraday, swing, or long-term positions. Performance metrics highlight win rates, profit factors, and drawdowns, with top bots often showing annualized returns exceeding 20-50% on select symbols. Traders can backtest, deploy, and monitor bots in real-time, adapting to volatility in stocks like MDLZ and MO. Explore the Trending AI Robots page to identify tools matching your risk profile and market outlook.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron AI currently favors MO with 65% probability over the next 12 months, citing superior earnings stability, higher dividend yield, lower valuation, and stronger cash return track record, despite volume risks.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MDLZ is a Hold and MO is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MDLZ’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileMO’s FA Score has 5 green FA rating(s).
- MDLZ’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- MO’s FA Score: 5 green, 0 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MDLZ’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MO’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MDLZ’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- MO’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
MDLZ (@Food: Specialty/Candy) experienced а -0.55% price change this week, while MO (@Tobacco) price change was +4.88% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Specialty/Candy industry was +1.10%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -7.48%, and the average quarterly price growth was -0.93%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Tobacco industry was +2.07%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.01%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.06%.
Reported Earning Dates
MDLZ is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
MO is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Food: Specialty/Candy (+1.10% weekly)A specialty/candy manufacturer specializes in one or more of the following: chocolate, candies, pasta, condiments, seasonings, among other items. Hershey Company, McCormick & Company and J.M. Smucker Company are some of the major firms in this segment. Demand for this industry’s products comes from both institutions/restaurants as well as households.
@Tobacco (+2.07% weekly)The industry is engaged in the growth, preparation for sale, advertisement, and distribution of tobacco and tobacco-related products like cigarettes. In 2017, tobacco companies spent an estimated $9.36 billion marketing cigarettes and smokeless tobacco in the U.S. – an amount that translates to more than $25 million each day (according to a CDC report). Philip Morris International Inc., Altria Group Inc., and British American Tobacco plc are some major cigar makers. In recent times, vaping or the use of e-cigarette (does not burn tobacco) is gaining momentum – several established cigarette makers are trying to expand their footprint in this new market.
| MDLZ | MO | MDLZ / MO | |
| Capitalization | 78.3B | 121B | 65% |
| EBITDA | 5.23B | 12B | 44% |
| Gain YTD | 14.245 | 27.685 | 51% |
| P/E Ratio | 30.18 | 15.12 | 200% |
| Revenue | 39.3B | 20.4B | 193% |
| Total Cash | 1.52B | 3.53B | 43% |
| Total Debt | 21.6B | 24.6B | 88% |
MDLZ | MO | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 69 | 83 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 30 Undervalued | 12 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 72 | 8 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 69 | 9 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 22 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 26 | 16 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 55 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MO's Valuation (12) in the Tobacco industry is in the same range as MDLZ (30) in the Food Major Diversified industry. This means that MO’s stock grew similarly to MDLZ’s over the last 12 months.
MO's Profit vs Risk Rating (8) in the Tobacco industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MDLZ (72) in the Food Major Diversified industry. This means that MO’s stock grew somewhat faster than MDLZ’s over the last 12 months.
MO's SMR Rating (9) in the Tobacco industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MDLZ (69) in the Food Major Diversified industry. This means that MO’s stock grew somewhat faster than MDLZ’s over the last 12 months.
MO's Price Growth Rating (22) in the Tobacco industry is in the same range as MDLZ (50) in the Food Major Diversified industry. This means that MO’s stock grew similarly to MDLZ’s over the last 12 months.
MO's P/E Growth Rating (16) in the Tobacco industry is in the same range as MDLZ (26) in the Food Major Diversified industry. This means that MO’s stock grew similarly to MDLZ’s over the last 12 months.
| MDLZ | MO | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 55% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 52% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 43% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 61% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 51% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 48% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 16 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 54% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 8 days ago 37% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 49% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 28% | 2 days ago 38% |
Advertisement
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| PRXG | 39.90 | 0.47 | +1.18% |
| Praxis Impact Large Cap Growth ETF | |||
| AMZD | 8.55 | 0.09 | +1.06% |
| Direxion Daily AMZN Bear 1X ETF | |||
| USMV | 95.18 | 0.87 | +0.92% |
| iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF | |||
| SIXO | 35.54 | 0.08 | +0.21% |
| AllianzIM US Equity 6M Bfr10 Apr/Oct ETF | |||
| DLY | 14.06 | -0.01 | -0.07% |
| DoubleLine Yield Opportunities Fund | |||