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MO vs WMT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Altria Group (MO) vs. Walmart (WMT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- MO offers a high dividend yield of 6.33%, appealing to income-focused investors, while WMT provides growth with a 0.80% yield.
- Year-to-date, MO has returned 18.18%, outperforming WMT's 11.16% amid market volatility.
- WMT boasts superior long-term gains, with 42.03% over one year versus MO's 23.36%.
- Recent momentum favors MO in defensive plays, driven by nicotine pouch expansions, while WMT faces e-commerce competition.
- MO's lower P/E ratio of 16.27 contrasts WMT's 45.27, suggesting better value for MO.
Introduction
Altria Group (MO) and Walmart (WMT) represent contrasting pillars in the consumer staples sector: tobacco and cigarettes for Altria, and retail essentials for Walmart. This stock comparison analyzes their recent market positioning, relative performance, and key drivers in a volatile environment marked by economic uncertainty and sector rotations. Income seekers may favor Altria's high dividends, while growth-oriented traders eye Walmart's scale and e-commerce momentum. Investors evaluating defensive plays versus expansion opportunities will find insights into momentum, valuation, and sentiment shifts.
MO Overview and Recent Performance
Altria Group (MO), a leading tobacco company, primarily generates revenue from cigarettes like Marlboro, alongside smokeless products and oral nicotine pouches. Trading around $67 with a market cap of $112 billion, it holds a 52-week range of $52.82 to $70.51. In recent market activity, MO has shown resilience, posting YTD gains of 18.18% and 23.36% over one year, outpacing the S&P 500. Sentiment has improved due to expansions in on! PLUS nicotine pouches following FDA pilot approval, nationwide distribution pushes, and its appeal as a high-yield Dividend King amid broader declines. Its P/E ratio of 16.27 and 6.33% dividend yield underscore value and income stability, though regulatory risks in tobacco persist.
WMT Overview and Recent Performance
Walmart (WMT), the world's largest retailer, operates hypermarkets, e-commerce, and wholesale clubs, emphasizing everyday low prices and omnichannel growth. Priced near $123 with a nearly $985 billion market cap, its 52-week range spans $79.81 to $134.69. Recent weeks reflect mixed momentum: YTD return of 11.16% and a robust 42.03% one-year gain, driven by digital expansions and partnerships like Vusion for connected stores in Mexico. However, facility closures, job cuts, and competition from Amazon have tempered gains, with a one-month dip amid economic slowdown signals. Trading at a P/E of 45.27 and 0.80% yield, WMT benefits from scale but faces valuation scrutiny in choppy markets.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Altria (MO) and Walmart (WMT) diverge in business models: MO's concentrated tobacco exposure offers predictable cash flows but regulatory headwinds, versus WMT's diversified retail empire fueled by e-commerce and international growth. Growth drivers highlight WMT's superior long-term momentum (160% three-year return vs. MO's 90%), while recent weeks favor MO's defensive surge amid market dips. Risk factors include MO's sin-stock stigma and declining cigarette volumes, contrasted by WMT's margin pressures from competition and labor issues. Both in consumer staples provide sector stability (low betas of 0.23 and 0.44), but MO edges on valuation and yield trade-offs.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI analysis leans toward MO in the current environment, citing its trend consistency, higher YTD outperformance, elevated dividend stability, and lower valuation amid volatility. Catalysts like nicotine pouch expansions bolster relative positioning over WMT's growth but pricier profile and recent pullbacks. This probabilistic edge favors defensive income plays short-term.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MO is a Hold and WMT is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MO’s FA Score shows that 4 FA rating(s) are green whileWMT’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- MO’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- WMT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MO’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while WMT’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MO’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- WMT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
MO (@Tobacco) experienced а -3.29% price change this week, while WMT (@Discount Stores) price change was +0.58% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Tobacco industry was -1.34%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.03%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8.81%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Discount Stores industry was +2.91%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.54%, and the average quarterly price growth was +9.51%.
Reported Earning Dates
MO is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
WMT is expected to report earnings on May 14, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Tobacco (-1.34% weekly)The industry is engaged in the growth, preparation for sale, advertisement, and distribution of tobacco and tobacco-related products like cigarettes. In 2017, tobacco companies spent an estimated $9.36 billion marketing cigarettes and smokeless tobacco in the U.S. – an amount that translates to more than $25 million each day (according to a CDC report). Philip Morris International Inc., Altria Group Inc., and British American Tobacco plc are some major cigar makers. In recent times, vaping or the use of e-cigarette (does not burn tobacco) is gaining momentum – several established cigarette makers are trying to expand their footprint in this new market.
@Discount Stores (+2.91% weekly)Companies in the discount stores industry specialize in offering substantial discounts on a vast array of retail products. Some companies in this industry also operate general merchandise warehouse clubs. Products sold at discount stores are typically similar to those of any department store, but the pricing of the goods is generally much lower (and hence the name “discount”). Think Dollar General Corporation, Dollar Tree, Inc. and Five Below, Inc. Many discount stores target low-income households and/or price-sensitive consumers as their potential market. Discount stores’ profitability could hinge on factors like competitive pricing, sufficient locations, healthy revenue per square foot, and effective advertisement. These store operators could have an edge over other retailers during financial crises or recessions, when many consumers could be looking for less expensive alternatives.
| MO | WMT | MO / WMT | |
| Capitalization | 108B | 1.02T | 11% |
| EBITDA | 10.8B | 46.5B | 23% |
| Gain YTD | 13.931 | 15.054 | 93% |
| P/E Ratio | 15.68 | 46.86 | 33% |
| Revenue | 20.1B | 713B | 3% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 10.7B | - |
| Total Debt | 25.7B | 67.1B | 38% |
MO | WMT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 56 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 8 Undervalued | 92 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 13 | 7 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 9 | 40 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 34 | 24 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 16 | 42 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MO's Valuation (8) in the Tobacco industry is significantly better than the same rating for WMT (92) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that MO’s stock grew significantly faster than WMT’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's Profit vs Risk Rating (7) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as MO (13) in the Tobacco industry. This means that WMT’s stock grew similarly to MO’s over the last 12 months.
MO's SMR Rating (9) in the Tobacco industry is in the same range as WMT (40) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that MO’s stock grew similarly to WMT’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's Price Growth Rating (24) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as MO (34) in the Tobacco industry. This means that WMT’s stock grew similarly to MO’s over the last 12 months.
MO's P/E Growth Rating (16) in the Tobacco industry is in the same range as WMT (42) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that MO’s stock grew similarly to WMT’s over the last 12 months.
| MO | WMT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 4 days ago 29% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 37% | 4 days ago 59% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 40% | 4 days ago 66% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 40% | 4 days ago 55% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 47% | 4 days ago 53% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 53% | 4 days ago 55% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 37% | 8 days ago 34% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 48% | 4 days ago 41% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 22% | 4 days ago 25% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| XHYI | 37.86 | N/A | N/A |
| BondBloxx US High Yield Indstrl Sctr ETF | |||
| DVUT | 27.69 | N/A | N/A |
| WEBs Utilities XLU Defined VolETF | |||
| IGIB | 53.70 | -0.01 | -0.02% |
| iShares 5-10 Year invmt Grd Corp Bd ETF | |||
| ERTH | 50.10 | -0.08 | -0.16% |
| Invesco MSCI Sustainable Future ETF | |||
| RSPH | 31.27 | -0.07 | -0.22% |
| Invesco S&P 500® Equal Wt Hlth Care ETF | |||
WMT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WMT has been loosely correlated with COST. These tickers have moved in lockstep 66% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if WMT jumps, then COST could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To WMT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMT | 100% | +0.33% | ||
| COST - WMT | 66% Loosely correlated | -0.21% | ||
| BJ - WMT | 38% Loosely correlated | +1.56% | ||
| PSMT - WMT | 36% Loosely correlated | -1.59% | ||
| TGT - WMT | 30% Poorly correlated | +1.83% | ||
| TBBB - WMT | 21% Poorly correlated | +2.15% | ||
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