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MTSI vs TXN
Which Stock Would AI Choose? MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings (MTSI) vs. Texas Instruments (TXN) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- MTSI has shown superior momentum with over 22% YTD returns and 112% one-year gains, outpacing the S&P 500, driven by strong demand in data centers and defense.
- TXN offers stability with nearly 10% YTD returns and a robust dividend yield around 3%, appealing to income-focused investors amid broader analog recovery.
- Recent earnings highlight MTSI's 25% revenue growth in Q1 FY2026 versus TXN's steady 10% in Q4 2025, reflecting niche high-growth versus diversified scale.
- Analyst consensus favors MTSI with "Moderate Buy" ratings and targets around $260, implying significant upside, while TXN holds "Hold" with $215 targets.
- Both stocks benefit from analog semiconductor tailwinds in 5G, AI infrastructure, and defense, but MTSI exhibits higher volatility tied to specialized RF/microwave exposure.
- Relative performance positions MTSI as the growth leader in recent market activity, contrasting TXN's mature, cash-generative profile.
Introduction
Both MTSI (MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc.) and TXN (Texas Instruments Incorporated) are key players in the analog semiconductor space, providing essential components for wireless infrastructure, data centers, defense, and industrial applications. This stock comparison is particularly relevant for traders eyeing semiconductor sector rotation and investors seeking exposure to high-growth niches versus established leaders. Amid recovering demand for RF solutions and embedded processing, recent market activity underscores contrasts in momentum, valuation, and end-market drivers, aiding decisions on relative performance and market positioning in the evolving tech landscape.
MTSI Overview and Recent Performance
MTSI, headquartered in Lowell, Massachusetts, specializes in analog semiconductors for RF, microwave, millimeter-wave, and optical applications, serving telecom, defense, data centers, and industrial sectors. The company reported Q1 FY2026 revenue of $271.6 million, up 24.5% year-over-year, beating estimates with adjusted EPS of $1.02 versus $0.99 expected. This growth stemmed from robust bookings in data centers and telecom, alongside a book-to-bill ratio of 1.3:1. Recent weeks saw shares consolidate after hitting 52-week highs near $259, influenced by broader chip sector volatility and profit-taking post-earnings. Sentiment remains positive due to innovations like 448G PAM4 drivers and PCIe equalizers for next-gen connectivity, bolstering positioning in 5G/6G and satellite markets. Year-to-date, MTSI gained 22%, significantly outperforming benchmarks amid defense and AI infrastructure tailwinds.
TXN Overview and Recent Performance
TXN, based in Dallas, Texas, is the world's largest analog chipmaker, focusing on power management, embedded processors, and signal chain products for automotive, industrial, and consumer electronics. Q4 2025 revenue reached $4.42 billion, up 10% year-over-year, with EPS of $1.27 amid strong cash flow of $2.9 billion for the year. Performance reflected gains in analog segments, offset by softer personal electronics. In recent market activity, shares pulled back from peaks near $231, trading around $186, pressured by sector rotation and anticipation of Q1 2026 earnings. Positive factors include 22 consecutive years of dividend increases (yield ~3%) and disciplined capex, supporting free cash flow per share growth. YTD returns of about 10% lag high-flyers but exceed broader indices, driven by resilient demand in autos and industrials despite cyclical headwinds.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
MTSI and TXN both thrive in analog semis but diverge in scale and focus: MTSI's niche RF/microwave expertise targets high-margin defense (e.g., radar, SATCOM) and data center optics, while TXN's broad portfolio emphasizes volume-driven analog for autos and industrials. Growth drivers favor MTSI with 25%+ recent revenue surges versus TXN's 10%, tied to AI/5G catalysts over mature cycles. Momentum tilts to MTSI (112% 1-year return) amid recent pullbacks for both. Risks include MTSI's volatility (beta ~1.5) and premium valuation (~100x P/E) versus TXN's stability (~35x P/E, strong FCF). Sector exposure overlaps in semis but MTSI leans defense/data, TXN autos. Sentiment favors MTSI's upside potential in recovery trade-offs.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors MTSI over TXN, based on stronger trend consistency in recent quarters, superior relative momentum (22% YTD vs. 10%), and catalysts in data center/defense growth amid analog upcycle. While TXN provides stability and dividends, MTSI's positioning suggests higher probability of outperformance in the near term, though with elevated volatility.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MTSI is a Buy and TXN is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MTSI’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileTXN’s FA Score has 4 green FA rating(s).
- MTSI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TXN’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MTSI’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TXN’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MTSI’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TXN’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
MTSI (@Semiconductors) experienced а +6.62% price change this week, while TXN (@Semiconductors) price change was +7.84% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +10.28%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +26.86%, and the average quarterly price growth was +26.23%.
Reported Earning Dates
MTSI is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
TXN is expected to report earnings on Apr 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+10.28% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| MTSI | TXN | MTSI / TXN | |
| Capitalization | 21.1B | 213B | 10% |
| EBITDA | 259M | 8.25B | 3% |
| Gain YTD | 64.106 | 35.584 | 180% |
| P/E Ratio | 127.19 | 42.88 | 297% |
| Revenue | 1.02B | 17.7B | 6% |
| Total Cash | 768M | 4.88B | 16% |
| Total Debt | 531M | 14B | 4% |
MTSI | TXN | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 29 | 25 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 83 Overvalued | 14 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 7 | 45 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 59 | 32 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 36 | 8 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 45 | 24 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TXN's Valuation (14) in the Semiconductors industry is significantly better than the same rating for MTSI (83). This means that TXN’s stock grew significantly faster than MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
MTSI's Profit vs Risk Rating (7) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TXN (45). This means that MTSI’s stock grew somewhat faster than TXN’s over the last 12 months.
TXN's SMR Rating (32) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MTSI (59). This means that TXN’s stock grew similarly to MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
TXN's Price Growth Rating (8) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MTSI (36). This means that TXN’s stock grew similarly to MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
TXN's P/E Growth Rating (24) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MTSI (45). This means that TXN’s stock grew similarly to MTSI’s over the last 12 months.
| MTSI | TXN | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 69% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 71% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 52% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 61% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 57% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 52% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 55% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 23 days ago 70% | 23 days ago 56% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 71% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 45% |
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