Analysis and predictions ARR vs NLY
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To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ARR is a Hold and NLY is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ARR’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileNLY’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- ARR’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- NLY’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ARR’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NLY’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ARR’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- NLY’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ARR (@Real Estate Investment Trusts) experienced а -11.10% price change this week, while NLY (@Real Estate Investment Trusts) price change was -8.90% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Real Estate Investment Trusts industry was -2.80%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.67%, and the average quarterly price growth was +7.93%.
Reported Earning Dates
ARR is expected to report earnings on Oct 25, 2023.
NLY is expected to report earnings on Apr 26, 2023.
Industries' Descriptions
@Real Estate Investment Trusts (-2.80% weekly)A real estate investment trust (REIT) is a company any that owns, and in most cases, operates, income-producing real estate – ranging from office and apartment buildings to warehouses, hospitals, shopping centers, hotels and timberlands. Some REITs are involved in financing real estate. Equity REITs invest in and own properties, while mortgage REITs own and invest in property mortgages. REITs are required by law to pay out at least 90% of their annual taxable income (excluding capital gains) to shareholders in the form of dividends. Some REITs could be more cyclical than others; for example, when an economy is undergoing a recession, hotel REITs could be more vulnerable, compared to say healthcare REIT given that healthcare needs are less likely to depend on economic cycles. American Tower Corporation, Prologis, Inc. and Crown Castle International Corp are some of the biggest REIT companies in the U.S.
| ARR | NLY | ARR / NLY | |
| Capitalization | 956M | 9.85B | 10% |
| EBITDA | N/A | N/A | - |
| Gain YTD | -6.708 | -5.455 | 123% |
| P/E Ratio | 147.06 | 5.03 | 2,922% |
| Revenue | -62.56M | -1.44B | 4% |
| Total Cash | 133M | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 12.1B | 13.2B | 92% |
ARR | NLY | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 64 | 65 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 59 Fair valued | 4 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 90 | 97 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 94 | 97 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 1 | 30 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NLY's Valuation (4) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ARR (59). This means that NLY’s stock grew somewhat faster than ARR’s over the last 12 months.
NLY's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as ARR (100). This means that NLY’s stock grew similarly to ARR’s over the last 12 months.
ARR's SMR Rating (90) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as NLY (97). This means that ARR’s stock grew similarly to NLY’s over the last 12 months.
ARR's Price Growth Rating (94) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as NLY (97). This means that ARR’s stock grew similarly to NLY’s over the last 12 months.
ARR's P/E Growth Rating (1) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as NLY (30). This means that ARR’s stock grew similarly to NLY’s over the last 12 months.
| ARR | NLY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 50% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 55% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 54% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 61% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 58% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 21 days ago 50% | 21 days ago 54% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 63% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 51% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 50% |
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| MFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| JCPRX | 19.56 | 0.02 | +0.10% |
| JPMorgan US Large Cap Core Plus R5 | |||
| CSEYX | 18.42 | -0.01 | -0.05% |
| Columbia Select Global Equity Inst3 | |||
| BTEFX | 40.76 | -0.13 | -0.32% |
| Boston Trust Equity | |||
| CMGIX | 39.25 | -0.14 | -0.36% |
| BlackRock Mid-Cap Growth Equity Instl | |||
| AIFRX | 21.72 | -0.26 | -1.18% |
| abrdn Global Infrastructure Instl | |||
NLY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NLY has been closely correlated with AGNC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 92% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NLY jumps, then AGNC could also see price increases.