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ROST vs SCVL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Ross Stores (ROST) vs. Shoe Carnival (SCVL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ROST operates a larger off-price retail model with broader apparel exposure, while SCVL focuses on specialty footwear and has a smaller market capitalization.
- Recent market activity shows ROST maintaining steadier momentum amid analyst optimism for upcoming earnings, whereas SCVL trades near recent lows ahead of its first-quarter 2026 results.
- ROST carries a consensus Buy rating with higher price targets relative to its scale, contrasting with SCVL’s more modest analyst targets and upcoming earnings catalyst.
- Sector exposure differs notably: ROST benefits from apparel retail trends, while SCVL remains tied to footwear demand and store rebanner initiatives.
- Relative performance in recent weeks highlights ROST’s stronger price growth rating compared with SCVL, reflecting differences in business stability and market positioning.
- Risk factors include macroeconomic pressures on consumer spending for both, yet ROST demonstrates more consistent operational discipline in the current environment.
Introduction
Retail investors and traders often compare ROST and SCVL because both companies operate in the consumer discretionary sector yet pursue distinct retail strategies. Ross Stores emphasizes off-price apparel and home goods, while Shoe Carnival specializes in family footwear across its store network. This comparison appeals to those evaluating relative performance, growth drivers, and market sentiment within specialty retail. Market participants seeking to understand how macroeconomic conditions and consumer trends affect these names may find the analysis useful for portfolio positioning or sector rotation decisions.
ROST Overview and Recent Performance
Ross Stores, Inc. (ROST) is a leading off-price retailer offering branded apparel, footwear, and home fashions at value prices. The company has expanded its store footprint steadily while maintaining disciplined inventory management. In recent weeks, ROST stock has shown resilience, supported by analyst expectations that the retailer may exceed earnings estimates in its next quarterly report. Broader market activity reflects continued interest in the company’s ability to navigate promotional retail dynamics amid shifting consumer spending patterns. Sentiment remains constructive, aided by a consensus Buy rating and average price targets near $212.
SCVL Overview and Recent Performance
Shoe Carnival, Inc. (SCVL) operates as a specialty footwear retailer serving families through its Shoe Carnival and Shoe Station banners. The company recently reported fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results that surpassed consensus estimates, with adjusted EPS of $1.90. In recent market activity, SCVL shares have traded around the $15–$16 range, reflecting investor caution ahead of first-quarter 2026 earnings scheduled for May 21. Guidance for fiscal 2026 incorporates planned store conversions and operational cost controls, with adjusted EPS projected between $1.40 and $1.60. Sentiment is tempered by valuation considerations and near-term comparable-store sales expectations.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ROST and SCVL differ markedly in scale and business focus. Ross Stores maintains a larger store base and diversified apparel offering, providing greater exposure to broad consumer discretionary trends, whereas Shoe Carnival’s narrower footwear emphasis creates higher sensitivity to seasonal demand and inventory cycles. Recent momentum favors ROST, which carries a stronger price growth rating within the apparel and footwear retail industry. Risk profiles also diverge: ROST benefits from proven margin resilience, while SCVL faces near-term earnings uncertainty and ongoing store rebanner costs. Market sentiment reflects these contrasts, with ROST enjoying broader analyst support and SCVL trading at a lower valuation multiple ahead of its earnings release.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency, earnings visibility, and relative positioning within the sector, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a higher probability of favorable performance to ROST. The stock’s steadier price growth rating and analyst consensus provide a more stable foundation compared with SCVL’s upcoming earnings event and narrower product focus. This assessment remains probabilistic and reflects prevailing data rather than a guarantee of future results.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Disclaimers and LimitationsTo compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ROST is a StrongBuy and SCVL is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ROST’s FA Score shows that 4 FA rating(s) are green whileSCVL’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- ROST’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- SCVL’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ROST’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SCVL’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ROST’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- SCVL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
ROST (@Apparel/Footwear Retail) experienced а -0.11% price change this week, while SCVL (@Apparel/Footwear Retail) price change was -2.29% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Apparel/Footwear Retail industry was +3.87%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +8.34%, and the average quarterly price growth was -0.30%.
Reported Earning Dates
ROST is expected to report earnings on Aug 13, 2026.
SCVL is expected to report earnings on Aug 20, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Apparel/Footwear Retail (+3.87% weekly)Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.
| ROST | SCVL | ROST / SCVL | |
| Capitalization | 74.4B | 452M | 16,460% |
| EBITDA | 3.6B | 87.7M | 4,103% |
| Gain YTD | 29.271 | 0.485 | 6,040% |
| P/E Ratio | 32.39 | 12.33 | 263% |
| Revenue | 23.8B | 1.13B | 2,110% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 129M | - |
| Total Debt | 5.21B | 361M | 1,444% |
ROST | SCVL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 80 | 14 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 94 Overvalued | 7 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 22 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 24 | 84 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 18 | 70 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 19 | 19 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 48 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SCVL's Valuation (7) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is significantly better than the same rating for ROST (94). This means that SCVL’s stock grew significantly faster than ROST’s over the last 12 months.
ROST's Profit vs Risk Rating (22) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is significantly better than the same rating for SCVL (100). This means that ROST’s stock grew significantly faster than SCVL’s over the last 12 months.
ROST's SMR Rating (24) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SCVL (84). This means that ROST’s stock grew somewhat faster than SCVL’s over the last 12 months.
ROST's Price Growth Rating (18) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SCVL (70). This means that ROST’s stock grew somewhat faster than SCVL’s over the last 12 months.
ROST's P/E Growth Rating (19) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as SCVL (19). This means that ROST’s stock grew similarly to SCVL’s over the last 12 months.
| ROST | SCVL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 83% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 46% | 1 day ago 70% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 74% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 76% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 77% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 3 days ago 75% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 53% | 9 days ago 77% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 47% | 1 day ago 85% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 76% |
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SCVL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SCVL has been loosely correlated with AEO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SCVL jumps, then AEO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SCVL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SCVL | 100% | -1.42% | ||
| AEO - SCVL | 65% Loosely correlated | -0.23% | ||
| DBI - SCVL | 63% Loosely correlated | -0.28% | ||
| CAL - SCVL | 59% Loosely correlated | -0.22% | ||
| BOOT - SCVL | 55% Loosely correlated | -3.29% | ||
| BKE - SCVL | 53% Loosely correlated | -0.07% | ||
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