PHM
Price
$118.03
Change
+$2.05 (+1.77%)
Updated
Mar 27, 6:59 PM EST
26 days until earnings call
TOL
Price
$127.40
Change
+$1.45 (+1.15%)
Updated
Mar 27, 6:59 PM EST
54 days until earnings call
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Analysis and predictions PHM vs TOL

Header iconPHM vs TOL Comparison
Open Charts PHM vs TOLBanner chart's image
Pultegroup
Price$118.03
Change+$2.05 (+1.77%)
Volume$354.06K
CapitalizationN/A
Toll Brothers
Price$127.40
Change+$1.45 (+1.15%)
Volume$174.82K
CapitalizationN/A
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PHM vs TOL Comparison Chart

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PHMDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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TOLDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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VS
PHM vs. TOL commentary
Mar 28, 2024

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is PHM is a Hold and TOL is a Hold.

COMPARISON
Comparison
Mar 28, 2024
Stock price -- (PHM: $118.01 vs. TOL: $127.42)
Brand notoriety: PHM: Notable vs. TOL: Not notable
Both companies represent the Homebuilding industry
Current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average: PHM: 75% vs. TOL: 45%
Market capitalization -- PHM: $24.9B vs. TOL: $13.27B
PHM [@Homebuilding] is valued at $24.9B. TOL’s [@Homebuilding] market capitalization is $13.27B. The market cap for tickers in the [@Homebuilding] industry ranges from $53.77B to $0. The average market capitalization across the [@Homebuilding] industry is $6.9B.

Long-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).

PHM’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileTOL’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).

  • PHM’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
  • TOL’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
According to our system of comparison, PHM is a better buy in the long-term than TOL.

Short-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.

If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.

PHM’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TOL’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).

  • PHM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
  • TOL’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
According to our system of comparison, PHM is a better buy in the short-term than TOL.

Price Growth

PHM (@Homebuilding) experienced а +3.53% price change this week, while TOL (@Homebuilding) price change was +3.04% for the same time period.

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Homebuilding industry was +0.43%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.87%, and the average quarterly price growth was +26.23%.

Reported Earning Dates

PHM is expected to report earnings on Apr 23, 2024.

TOL is expected to report earnings on May 21, 2024.

Industries' Descriptions

@Homebuilding (+0.43% weekly)

Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.

SUMMARIES
A.I.dvisor published
a Summary for PHM with price predictions.
OPEN
A.I.dvisor published
a Summary for TOL with price predictions.
OPEN
FUNDAMENTALS
Fundamentals
PHM($24.9B) has a higher market cap than TOL($13.3B). PHM (10.07) and TOL (9.87) have similar P/E ratio . TOL YTD gains are higher at: 24.214 vs. PHM (14.529). PHM has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): 3.53B vs. TOL (1.89B). PHM has more cash in the bank: 2.32B vs. TOL (755M). PHM has less debt than TOL: PHM (2.55B) vs TOL (2.85B). PHM has higher revenues than TOL: PHM (16.1B) vs TOL (10.2B).
PHMTOLPHM / TOL
Capitalization24.9B13.3B187%
EBITDA3.53B1.89B187%
Gain YTD14.52924.21460%
P/E Ratio10.079.87102%
Revenue16.1B10.2B158%
Total Cash2.32B755M308%
Total Debt2.55B2.85B90%
FUNDAMENTALS RATINGS
PHM vs TOL: Fundamental Ratings
PHM
TOL
OUTLOOK RATING
1..100
2124
VALUATION
overvalued / fair valued / undervalued
1..100
47
Fair valued
65
Fair valued
PROFIT vs RISK RATING
1..100
46
SMR RATING
1..100
3845
PRICE GROWTH RATING
1..100
237
P/E GROWTH RATING
1..100
1516
SEASONALITY SCORE
1..100
n/an/a

Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.

PHM's Valuation (47) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as TOL (65). This means that PHM’s stock grew similarly to TOL’s over the last 12 months.

PHM's Profit vs Risk Rating (4) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as TOL (6). This means that PHM’s stock grew similarly to TOL’s over the last 12 months.

PHM's SMR Rating (38) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as TOL (45). This means that PHM’s stock grew similarly to TOL’s over the last 12 months.

PHM's Price Growth Rating (2) in the Homebuilding industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TOL (37). This means that PHM’s stock grew somewhat faster than TOL’s over the last 12 months.

PHM's P/E Growth Rating (15) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as TOL (16). This means that PHM’s stock grew similarly to TOL’s over the last 12 months.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
PHMTOL
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
33%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
39%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
58%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
55%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
73%
N/A
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
62%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
72%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
74%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
73%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
76%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
72%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
75%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
70%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 18 days ago
52%
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
56%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
52%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
54%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
78%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
79%
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PHMDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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TOLDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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PHM and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PHM has been closely correlated with TOL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PHM jumps, then TOL could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To PHM
1D Price
Change %
PHM100%
+1.74%
TOL - PHM
89%
Closely correlated
+1.22%
LEN - PHM
88%
Closely correlated
+1.78%
KBH - PHM
87%
Closely correlated
+2.02%
DHI - PHM
86%
Closely correlated
+1.75%
TMHC - PHM
84%
Closely correlated
+1.89%
More

TOL and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TOL has been closely correlated with PHM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TOL jumps, then PHM could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To TOL
1D Price
Change %
TOL100%
+1.22%
PHM - TOL
89%
Closely correlated
+1.74%
LEN - TOL
88%
Closely correlated
+1.78%
KBH - TOL
87%
Closely correlated
+2.02%
TMHC - TOL
87%
Closely correlated
+1.89%
DHI - TOL
85%
Closely correlated
+1.75%
More