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AAOI or NVTS or PENG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) vs. Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) vs. Penguin Solutions (PENG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AAOI leads with explosive YTD gains over 400%, driven by AI data center transceiver demand, but trades at a lofty price-to-sales (P/S) ratio above 30x amid ongoing losses.
- NVTS has surged 145% YTD on GaN/SiC pivot to AI power solutions, posting Q1 revenue beats despite profitability challenges and high short interest.
- PENG shows 86% YTD growth with AI memory and computing focus, achieving profitability and diversified revenue, though recent guidance tempered enthusiasm.
- All three benefit from AI infrastructure tailwinds in semiconductors and data centers, but AAOI exhibits the strongest momentum while PENG offers relative stability.
- Market caps range from $1.8B (PENG) to $14B (AAOI), highlighting scale differences in relative performance.
- Recent volatility underscores sector risks, with hyperscaler orders boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting boosting
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AAOI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileNVTS’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and PENG’s FA Score reflects 0 green FA rating(s).
- AAOI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- NVTS’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- PENG’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AAOI’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NVTS’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s), and PENG’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AAOI’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- NVTS’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- PENG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
AAOI (@Telecommunications Equipment) experienced а +6.89% price change this week, while NVTS (@Semiconductors) price change was +42.27% , and PENG (@Information Technology Services) price fluctuated +34.32% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Telecommunications Equipment industry was -0.38%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +14.35%, and the average quarterly price growth was +61.42%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +8.41%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +47.14%, and the average quarterly price growth was +78.48%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Information Technology Services industry was -0.18%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +13.22%, and the average quarterly price growth was +10.18%.
Reported Earning Dates
AAOI is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
NVTS is expected to report earnings on Aug 17, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Telecommunications Equipment (-0.38% weekly)The Telecommunications Equipment industry produces voice and data communications equipment, which includes fiber optic delivery products, digital signal processors, high-speed voice, data and video delivery. Additionally, satellite systems, global positioning systems, wireless data systems, personal communications equipment, telephone handsets and payload equipment for satellites also fall into this category. Apple Inc., QUALCOMM Incorporated and Nokia are major global players in this segment.
@Semiconductors (+8.41% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
@Information Technology Services (-0.18% weekly)The industry, whose total market cap runs into trillions, makes hardware/software that allows data to be stored, retrieved, transmitted, and manipulated on computers. With the ever-increasing relevance of data, the information technology (IT) industry has gained momentous growth over the years, and continues to thrive on innovation. Some of the behemoths in the industry are International Business Machines Corporation, Accenture, and VMware, Inc.
| AAOI | NVTS | PENG | |
| Capitalization | 12B | 5.29B | 2.21B |
| EBITDA | -16.14M | -70.64M | 135M |
| Gain YTD | 430.407 | 217.227 | 122.495 |
| P/E Ratio | N/A | N/A | 62.17 |
| Revenue | 507M | 40.5M | 1.35B |
| Total Cash | 440M | 221M | 489M |
| Total Debt | 280M | 6.34M | 504M |
AAOI | PENG | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 71 | 21 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 66 Overvalued | 75 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 6 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 92 | 77 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 34 | 35 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 6 | 75 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 90 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AAOI's Valuation (66) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is in the same range as PENG (75) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that AAOI’s stock grew similarly to PENG’s over the last 12 months.
AAOI's Profit vs Risk Rating (6) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is significantly better than the same rating for PENG (100) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that AAOI’s stock grew significantly faster than PENG’s over the last 12 months.
PENG's SMR Rating (77) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as AAOI (92) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry. This means that PENG’s stock grew similarly to AAOI’s over the last 12 months.
AAOI's Price Growth Rating (34) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is in the same range as PENG (35) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that AAOI’s stock grew similarly to PENG’s over the last 12 months.
AAOI's P/E Growth Rating (6) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is significantly better than the same rating for PENG (75) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that AAOI’s stock grew significantly faster than PENG’s over the last 12 months.
| AAOI | NVTS | PENG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 72% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 84% | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 72% | N/A |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 85% | 2 days ago 78% | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 84% | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 76% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 81% | 7 days ago 75% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 86% | 6 days ago 87% | 15 days ago 75% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 72% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 89% | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 79% |
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AAOI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AAOI has been loosely correlated with LITE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 55% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if AAOI jumps, then LITE could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AAOI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAOI | 100% | +24.14% | ||
| LITE - AAOI | 55% Loosely correlated | +16.52% | ||
| CIEN - AAOI | 54% Loosely correlated | +6.09% | ||
| LASR - AAOI | 47% Loosely correlated | +14.94% | ||
| NVDA - AAOI | 45% Loosely correlated | +1.97% | ||
| MPWR - AAOI | 44% Loosely correlated | +3.76% | ||
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NVTS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NVTS has been loosely correlated with IFNNY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 45% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if NVTS jumps, then IFNNY could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NVTS | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVTS | 100% | +24.45% | ||
| IFNNY - NVTS | 45% Loosely correlated | -1.09% | ||
| TOELY - NVTS | 44% Loosely correlated | -2.28% | ||
| PENG - NVTS | 43% Loosely correlated | -1.61% | ||
| AAOI - NVTS | 42% Loosely correlated | +24.14% | ||
| COHU - NVTS | 41% Loosely correlated | +3.57% | ||
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PENG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PENG has been loosely correlated with TER. These tickers have moved in lockstep 57% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if PENG jumps, then TER could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PENG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PENG | 100% | -1.61% | ||
| TER - PENG | 57% Loosely correlated | +1.91% | ||
| UCTT - PENG | 53% Loosely correlated | -1.92% | ||
| COHU - PENG | 52% Loosely correlated | +3.57% | ||
| QCOM - PENG | 52% Loosely correlated | +8.42% | ||
| ENTG - PENG | 51% Loosely correlated | +0.03% | ||
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