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ACHR or AXON or JOBY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Archer Aviation (ACHR) vs. Axon Enterprise (AXON) vs. Joby Aviation (JOBY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ACHR and JOBY, both eVTOL developers, exhibit high volatility with recent share price declines amid certification progress and legal challenges, trading around $6 and $9.70 respectively.
- AXON demonstrates stronger momentum with a 14-28% gain over recent months in public safety tech, though facing valuation concerns at around $496.
- All three operate in aerospace/defense-related sectors, but AXON generates substantial revenue while ACHR and JOBY remain pre-revenue with cash reserves supporting development.
- Recent market activity shows ACHR down ~20% YTD, JOBY down ~27% YTD, and AXON mixed with YTD declines but positive monthly trends.
- Sentiment for eVTOL stocks like ACHR and JOBY hinges on FAA milestones, while AXON benefits from demand for TASER and AI software.
Introduction
This comparison examines ACHR, AXON, and JOBY amid evolving aerospace and defense landscapes. ACHR and JOBY pioneer electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft for urban air mobility, while AXON leads in public safety hardware and software. Traders eyeing high-growth tech with sector exposure, and investors assessing relative performance in volatile markets, will find value in their contrasts in revenue generation, regulatory progress, and momentum. Recent weeks highlight shifts in sentiment driven by certification updates, product demand, and broader market dynamics.
ACHR Overview and Recent Performance
Archer Aviation (ACHR) designs eVTOL aircraft like the Midnight for urban air taxi services and defense applications. The company holds significant cash reserves of about $2.3 billion, supporting FAA certification efforts and partnerships in Texas, Florida, and New York via the eVTOL Integration Pilot Program. Recent market activity has seen shares trade in a tight range around $6-$8, with a year-to-date decline of nearly 20% and underperformance versus the aerospace-defense industry. Influences include production delays, legal disputes, and minimal revenue of $0.3 million, tempering sentiment despite strategic advancements in commercialization.
AXON Overview and Recent Performance
Axon Enterprise (AXON) provides public safety solutions, including TASER devices, body cameras, and cloud-based software for evidence management. Operating in connected devices and software segments, it serves global law enforcement with growing adoption of TASER 10 and AI tools. Shares have gained 14.2% over the past month and up to 28.6% in recent periods, trading near $496, though YTD shows mixed results amid valuation debates with targets from $377 to $607. Strong demand for hardware and premium software has driven revenue growth, bolstering sentiment despite operational cost pressures.
JOBY Overview and Recent Performance
Joby Aviation (JOBY) develops all-electric eVTOL aircraft for air taxi services, targeting commercial launch in 2026 with vertiports and partnerships like Uber. It reports progress in FAA-conforming tests and multi-state pilots, backed by nearly $1 billion in cash. Shares around $9.70 reflect a 27% YTD drop and monthly declines, lagging despite a 54% one-year gain. Sentiment reflects certification risks, legal issues with rivals, and Q4 revenue beats, but ongoing losses and market volatility have pressured recent performance.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ACHR and JOBY share eVTOL business models focused on urban mobility, with growth tied to FAA certification and partnerships, but face higher risks from pre-revenue status, legal disputes, and production hurdles. AXON contrasts with established revenue from TASER and software, exposing it to stable public safety demand versus the speculative catalysts of rivals. Recent momentum favors AXON's gains amid eVTOL pullbacks. Valuation sensitivity is acute for all, with AXON at premium multiples due to growth, while ACHR and JOBY trade on future potential. Sector overlaps in aerospace amplify sentiment shifts, with AXON offering lower volatility trade-offs.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors AXON due to consistent trend strength, revenue stability, and positive recent momentum in a volatile sector. While ACHR and JOBY hold catalyst potential from eVTOL milestones, their higher drawdowns and pre-commercial risks lag AXON's relative positioning, suggesting greater probability of near-term outperformance.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ACHR’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileAXON’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and JOBY’s FA Score reflects 0 green FA rating(s).
- ACHR’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- AXON’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- JOBY’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ACHR’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while AXON’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and JOBY’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ACHR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- AXON’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- JOBY’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ACHR (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а +13.15% price change this week, while AXON (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was +16.45% , and JOBY (@Air Freight/Couriers) price fluctuated +10.55% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +4.81%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +11.73%, and the average quarterly price growth was +29.52%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Air Freight/Couriers industry was +0.25%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.63%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.72%.
Reported Earning Dates
ACHR is expected to report earnings on May 07, 2026.
AXON is expected to report earnings on May 12, 2026.
JOBY is expected to report earnings on May 13, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (+4.81% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
@Air Freight/Couriers (+0.25% weekly)The Air Freight/Couriers industry operates air transportation and recurring delivery services. This includes companies offering same-day deliveries, scheduled delivery and logistical services. The proliferation of e-commerce/online retail with a growing emphasis on faster delivery has expanded opportunities for this industry, and induced more competition. United Parcel Service, Inc., FedEx Corporation and Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. are some of the major companies in this industry.
| ACHR | AXON | JOBY | |
| Capitalization | 4.58B | 32.5B | 9.03B |
| EBITDA | -601.6M | 196M | -679.43M |
| Gain YTD | -18.750 | -29.067 | -30.152 |
| P/E Ratio | N/A | 266.79 | N/A |
| Revenue | 0 | 2.78B | 53.4M |
| Total Cash | 1.64B | 1.73B | 1.41B |
| Total Debt | 88.6M | 1.91B | 36.8M |
AXON | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 10 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 88 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 70 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 85 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 65 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 10 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| ACHR | AXON | JOBY | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 87% | 3 days ago 90% | 3 days ago 85% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 88% | 3 days ago 83% | 3 days ago 82% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 80% | 7 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 79% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 86% | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 82% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 78% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 85% | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 84% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 81% | 5 days ago 74% | 4 days ago 78% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 21 days ago 86% | 10 days ago 69% | 21 days ago 82% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 90% | 3 days ago 84% | 3 days ago 87% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 81% | 3 days ago 56% | 3 days ago 88% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| XMPT | 21.99 | 0.06 | +0.27% |
| VanEck CEF Municipal Income ETF | |||
| BCLO | 49.13 | 0.12 | +0.24% |
| iShares BBB-B CLO Active ETF | |||
| SMMU | 50.54 | 0.05 | +0.10% |
| PIMCO Short Term Municipal Bond Actv ETF | |||
| XRLV | 57.25 | N/A | N/A |
| Invesco S&P 500 ex-Rate Sensitive Low Volatility ETF | |||
| ESK | 14.45 | N/A | N/A |
| REX-Osprey ETH + Staking ETF | |||
ACHR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ACHR has been loosely correlated with LUNR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 60% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ACHR jumps, then LUNR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ACHR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACHR | 100% | +0.49% | ||
| LUNR - ACHR | 60% Loosely correlated | +1.10% | ||
| RDW - ACHR | 57% Loosely correlated | -7.84% | ||
| RKLB - ACHR | 57% Loosely correlated | +2.25% | ||
| EVTL - ACHR | 56% Loosely correlated | -10.48% | ||
| EVEX - ACHR | 53% Loosely correlated | +6.91% | ||
More | ||||
AXON and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AXON has been loosely correlated with TECH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if AXON jumps, then TECH could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AXON | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AXON | 100% | +2.49% | ||
| TECH - AXON | 61% Loosely correlated | +3.26% | ||
| VCYT - AXON | 58% Loosely correlated | +2.33% | ||
| BEAM - AXON | 57% Loosely correlated | +3.49% | ||
| SEER - AXON | 56% Loosely correlated | -2.44% | ||
| ADPT - AXON | 56% Loosely correlated | +2.77% | ||
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