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ACHR or FTAI or JOBY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Archer Aviation (ACHR) vs. FTAI Aviation (FTAI) vs. Joby Aviation (JOBY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- FTAI Aviation (FTAI) leads with strong revenue growth, recent dividend increases to $0.40 per share, and YTD gains of about 17%, far outpacing peers in the aviation sector.
- ACHR benefits from substantial liquidity of roughly $2 billion and FAA certification progress, though shares have declined around 23% YTD amid production challenges.
- JOBY shows revenue traction with $53 million in 2025 and key flight tests, but faces YTD losses of about 30% similar to ACHR.
- FTAI's established leasing and MRO model provides stability, contrasting the pre-revenue eVTOL focus of ACHR and JOBY.
- Over the past year, FTAI delivered over 117% returns, highlighting superior relative performance in recent market activity.
- All three stocks reflect aviation sector volatility, with eVTOL names sensitive to regulatory catalysts.
Introduction
This comparison examines ACHR, FTAI, and JOBY, three aviation stocks spanning eVTOL innovation and established asset management. ACHR and JOBY target urban air mobility through electric vertical takeoff and landing aircraft, while FTAI focuses on engine leasing and aerospace products. Traders eyeing high-growth disruptors and investors seeking aviation exposure with revenue stability will benefit from analyzing their relative performance, recent catalysts like FAA milestones and dividend hikes, and market positioning amid sector volatility.
ACHR Overview and Recent Performance
Archer Aviation (ACHR) develops electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft, such as the Midnight model, for urban air mobility and defense applications. The company operates in a pre-revenue phase but maintains a robust balance sheet with approximately $2 billion in liquidity. Recent market activity has pressured shares, down about 23% YTD and 30% over the past year, reflecting concerns over production targets and cash burn projected at $160-180 million for Q1 2026. Sentiment has been influenced by FAA certification advances, including full Means of Compliance progress, White House pilot program selection in states like Florida and New York, and partnerships such as Stellantis for manufacturing. Legal disputes with rival JOBY and UAE pilot preparations add to ongoing volatility, though strong cash reserves support de-risking efforts.
FTAI Overview and Recent Performance
FTAI Aviation (FTAI) owns, leases, and maintains commercial jet engines, primarily CFM56 and V2500 models, alongside aerospace products via its Aviation Leasing and Aerospace Products segments. The company generates stable cash flows through maintenance, repair, and exchange services, bolstered by a Strategic Capital Initiative for asset-light growth. Shares have shown resilience, up roughly 17% YTD and over 117% in the past year, despite recent pullbacks. Key influences include Q4 2025 results with $662 million in revenue, though below expectations, and a dividend hike to $0.40 per share—up 14%—targeting $1.625 billion in 2026 EBITDA. Launches like FTAI Power for data center turbines and strong aerospace margins above 40% have driven positive sentiment, positioning FTAI amid persistent engine supply constraints.
JOBY Overview and Recent Performance
Joby Aviation (JOBY) pioneers all-electric eVTOL aircraft for aerial ridesharing, emphasizing vertical integration from design to operations. With partnerships like Toyota and Uber, it targets app-based urban services. Shares mirror eVTOL peers, down around 30% YTD but up about 46% over the past year. Recent performance reflects Q4 2025 revenue of $53 million—exceeding forecasts—and narrowed losses, offset by a $500 million stock offering. Catalysts include piloted flights across San Francisco Bay, White House pilot involvement, FAA stage-four certification gains, and Dubai commercialization tests. Cash reserves near $933 million support manufacturing ramps, though regulatory timelines and capital raises temper enthusiasm in recent weeks.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ACHR, FTAI, and JOBY operate in aviation but diverge sharply: eVTOL pure-plays ACHR and JOBY chase disruptive urban mobility with pre-revenue models reliant on FAA certification, while FTAI's leasing/MRO delivers tangible earnings and dividends. Growth drivers favor FTAI's EBITDA trajectory amid engine shortages versus eVTOL regulatory bets. Recent momentum highlights FTAI's outperformance, with JOBY edging ACHR on revenue starts. Risks include dilution and delays for eVTOLs, execution for FTAI. Valuation sensitivity shows FTAI at lower multiples on earnings, eVTOLs trading on future potential. Market sentiment tilts to FTAI's stability amid sector hype.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors FTAI, based on trend consistency from revenue growth, dividend stability, and superior relative positioning with over 17% YTD gains versus losses for ACHR and JOBY. While eVTOL catalysts like FAA progress offer upside probability, FTAI's observable earnings and aerospace tailwinds suggest higher near-term outperformance potential.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ACHR’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileFTAI’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and JOBY’s FA Score reflects 0 green FA rating(s).
- ACHR’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- FTAI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- JOBY’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ACHR’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while FTAI’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and JOBY’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ACHR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- FTAI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- JOBY’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ACHR (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а +13.15% price change this week, while FTAI (@Finance/Rental/Leasing) price change was +3.07% , and JOBY (@Air Freight/Couriers) price fluctuated +10.55% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +4.81%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +11.73%, and the average quarterly price growth was +29.52%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Finance/Rental/Leasing industry was +6.15%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +24.17%, and the average quarterly price growth was +24.41%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Air Freight/Couriers industry was +0.25%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.63%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.72%.
Reported Earning Dates
ACHR is expected to report earnings on May 07, 2026.
FTAI is expected to report earnings on Apr 29, 2026.
JOBY is expected to report earnings on May 13, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (+4.81% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
@Finance/Rental/Leasing (+6.15% weekly)A leasing company (e.g. United Rentals, Inc. ) is typically the legal owner of the asset for the duration of the lease, while the lessee has operating control over the asset while also having some share of the economic risks and returns from the change in the valuation of the underlying asset. Per capita disposable income and corporate earnings or cash flow could be some of the critical metrics for this business – the higher the values of these metrics, the potentially greater ability of consumers/businesses to afford apartments/office spaces for rent. Other finance companies include credit/debit card payment processing companies (e.g. Visa Inc. and Mastercard), private label credit cards providers (e.g. Synchrony Financial) and automobile finance companies (e.g. Credit Acceptance Corporation).
@Air Freight/Couriers (+0.25% weekly)The Air Freight/Couriers industry operates air transportation and recurring delivery services. This includes companies offering same-day deliveries, scheduled delivery and logistical services. The proliferation of e-commerce/online retail with a growing emphasis on faster delivery has expanded opportunities for this industry, and induced more competition. United Parcel Service, Inc., FedEx Corporation and Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. are some of the major companies in this industry.
| ACHR | FTAI | JOBY | |
| Capitalization | 4.58B | 26.6B | 9.03B |
| EBITDA | -601.6M | 1.12B | -679.43M |
| Gain YTD | -18.750 | 31.861 | -30.152 |
| P/E Ratio | N/A | 56.33 | N/A |
| Revenue | 0 | 2.51B | 53.4M |
| Total Cash | 1.64B | N/A | 1.41B |
| Total Debt | 88.6M | 3.45B | 36.8M |
FTAI | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 18 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 84 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 15 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 10 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 38 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 99 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| ACHR | FTAI | JOBY | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 87% | 4 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 85% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 88% | 3 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 82% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 89% | 3 days ago 79% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 86% | 3 days ago 81% | 3 days ago 82% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 86% | 3 days ago 78% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 85% | 3 days ago 85% | 3 days ago 84% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 81% | 5 days ago 88% | 4 days ago 78% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 21 days ago 86% | 10 days ago 61% | 21 days ago 82% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 90% | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 87% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 81% | N/A | 3 days ago 88% |
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ACHR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ACHR has been loosely correlated with LUNR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 60% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ACHR jumps, then LUNR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ACHR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACHR | 100% | +0.49% | ||
| LUNR - ACHR | 60% Loosely correlated | +1.10% | ||
| RDW - ACHR | 57% Loosely correlated | -7.84% | ||
| RKLB - ACHR | 57% Loosely correlated | +2.25% | ||
| EVTL - ACHR | 56% Loosely correlated | -10.48% | ||
| EVEX - ACHR | 53% Loosely correlated | +6.91% | ||
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FTAI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FTAI has been loosely correlated with AL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 47% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if FTAI jumps, then AL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FTAI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FTAI | 100% | +2.05% | ||
| AL - FTAI | 47% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
| BBDC - FTAI | 46% Loosely correlated | +2.05% | ||
| AER - FTAI | 40% Loosely correlated | +3.50% | ||
| UPBD - FTAI | 37% Loosely correlated | +5.46% | ||
| COF - FTAI | 36% Loosely correlated | +2.87% | ||
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