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ADI or ARM or ASML
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Analog Devices (ADI) vs. Arm Holdings (ARM) vs. ASML Holding (ASML) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ADI delivered strong Q1 fiscal 2026 results with $3.16 billion in revenue and $2.46 EPS, beating estimates, though shares declined 10.1% post-earnings amid broader market activity; YTD up 14.45%.
- ARM shows AI-driven momentum in server CPUs and data centers, with recent analyst upgrades, but faces valuation pressures and a corruption probe; YTD up 21.08%.
- ASML benefits from robust EUV demand for advanced chips, with a massive order backlog, though recent share dips reflect valuation concerns; YTD up ~28%.
- All three stocks operate in the semiconductor ecosystem, with ADI focusing on analog/mixed-signal, ARM on IP licensing, and ASML on lithography equipment, exposing them to AI and chip demand trends.
- Recent market positioning favors stability in ADI (Zacks #2 Buy) over higher-volatility ARM and premium-valued ASML.
- Relative performance highlights ASML's long-term gains (85.3% over past year) versus peers' more modest momentum.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines ADI, ARM, and ASML, key players in the semiconductor supply chain critical to AI, automotive, and advanced computing growth. Analog Devices (ADI) specializes in analog and mixed-signal chips, Arm Holdings (ARM) in processor IP licensing, and ASML Holding (ASML) in photolithography equipment. Traders seeking exposure to chip demand cycles and investors eyeing sector relative performance will find value in understanding their business models, recent momentum, and market positioning amid evolving AI infrastructure needs.
ADI Overview and Recent Performance
Analog Devices, Inc. (ADI), headquartered in Wilmington, Massachusetts, designs and manufactures high-performance analog, mixed-signal, and digital signal processing integrated circuits for industrial, automotive, communications, and consumer markets. In recent market activity, ADI reported strong Q1 fiscal 2026 results, with revenue of $3.16 billion (up 30.4% year-over-year) and non-GAAP EPS of $2.46, surpassing consensus estimates. Despite this, shares have declined about 10.1% since the earnings release, influenced by sector rotation and valuation reassessments. YTD performance stands at +14.45%, outperforming the S&P 500, supported by a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) and analyst optimism for Q2 growth. Sentiment reflects resilience in end-markets like automotive and industrial automation, though broader semiconductor volatility has capped upside.
ARM Overview and Recent Performance
Arm Holdings plc (ARM), based in Cambridge, UK, architects and licenses central processing unit IP and related technologies for semiconductors, powering mobile, AI servers, and embedded systems. Recent weeks have seen ARM gain traction from AI CPU optimism and analyst upgrades, with shares up 21.08% YTD and 6.92% over the past month. However, performance includes pullbacks amid elevated valuations (trading at 23x sales) and external pressures like a Malaysian corruption probe. Q3 results showed 26% revenue growth to $1.24 billion, driven by data center royalties doubling, reinforcing long-term AI exposure. Market sentiment balances growth potential against profitability concerns in a competitive IP landscape.
ASML Overview and Recent Performance
ASML Holding N.V. (ASML), headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands, dominates extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography systems essential for advanced semiconductor nodes. In recent market activity, ASML experienced a 3.6% share dip amid valuation debates, despite a strong 85.3% gain over the past year and YTD ~28% advance. A surging order backlog of €38.8 billion supports 2026 revenue guidance of €34-39 billion, fueled by AI chip and memory demand. Sentiment is mixed, with analysts noting premium multiples (P/E ~45x) but irreplaceable EUV monopoly positioning it for sustained growth in logic and DRAM fabrication.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ADI, ARM, and ASML anchor distinct semiconductor niches: ADI's manufacturing of analog chips offers diversified exposure to autos/industrials with stable demand; ARM's asset-light IP licensing yields scalable royalties but heightens sensitivity to mobile/AI design wins; ASML's equipment monopoly drives EUV growth yet amplifies cyclical capex risks. Recent momentum favors ASML's backlog-driven upside over ARM's AI hype and ADI's post-earnings dip. Valuation contrasts show ASML at premium P/E (~45x), ARM at high sales multiples (23x), and ADI more reasonable amid buy ratings. Risks include geopolitics for ASML, competition for ARM, and end-market slowdowns for ADI; sentiment tilts toward AI enablers like ARM/ASML over broad-based ADI.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors ADI for its trend consistency post-earnings beats, Zacks #2 ranking, and relative stability versus ARM's volatility and ASML's stretched valuations. Observable catalysts like industrial recovery and 52% 1-year gains position ADI probabilistically stronger in the near term, though ASML leads on long-term AI infrastructure momentum.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ADI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileARM’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and ASML’s FA Score reflects 3 green FA rating(s).
- ADI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- ARM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- ASML’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ADI’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ARM’s TA Score has 2 bullish TA indicator(s), and ASML’s TA Score reflects 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ADI’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- ARM’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 4 bearish.
- ASML’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
ADI (@Semiconductors) experienced а +6.09% price change this week, while ARM (@Semiconductors) price change was +11.95% , and ASML (@Electronic Production Equipment) price fluctuated -1.25% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +11.63%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +20.79%, and the average quarterly price growth was +24.53%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was +10.31%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +23.36%, and the average quarterly price growth was +116.53%.
Reported Earning Dates
ADI is expected to report earnings on May 27, 2026.
ARM is expected to report earnings on May 06, 2026.
ASML is expected to report earnings on Jul 15, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+11.63% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
@Electronic Production Equipment (+10.31% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
| ADI | ARM | ASML | |
| Capitalization | 181B | 177B | 556B |
| EBITDA | 5.53B | 1.11B | 12.6B |
| Gain YTD | 37.394 | 52.530 | 36.810 |
| P/E Ratio | 67.91 | 222.31 | 47.81 |
| Revenue | 11.8B | 4.67B | 32.7B |
| Total Cash | 4.05B | 3.54B | 13.3B |
| Total Debt | 8.68B | 461M | 4.39B |
ADI | ASML | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 71 | 14 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 45 Fair valued | 75 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 12 | 27 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 77 | 19 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 7 | 40 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | 14 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ADI's Valuation (45) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as ASML (75) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that ADI’s stock grew similarly to ASML’s over the last 12 months.
ADI's Profit vs Risk Rating (12) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as ASML (27) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that ADI’s stock grew similarly to ASML’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's SMR Rating (19) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ADI (77) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that ASML’s stock grew somewhat faster than ADI’s over the last 12 months.
ADI's Price Growth Rating (7) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ASML (40) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that ADI’s stock grew somewhat faster than ASML’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's P/E Growth Rating (14) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as ADI (42) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that ASML’s stock grew similarly to ADI’s over the last 12 months.
| ADI | ARM | ASML | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 79% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 69% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | N/A | 2 days ago 79% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 87% | 2 days ago 69% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 86% | 5 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 56% | 12 days ago 81% | 3 days ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | N/A | 2 days ago 64% |
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ARM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ARM has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ARM jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ARM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARM | 100% | +2.71% | ||
| LRCX - ARM | 74% Closely correlated | +2.54% | ||
| KLAC - ARM | 74% Closely correlated | +3.26% | ||
| AMAT - ARM | 73% Closely correlated | +1.81% | ||
| FORM - ARM | 73% Closely correlated | +7.46% | ||
| VECO - ARM | 66% Closely correlated | +0.21% | ||
More | ||||
ASML and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ASML has been closely correlated with ASMLF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ASML jumps, then ASMLF could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ASML | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASML | 100% | +3.47% | ||
| ASMLF - ASML | 85% Closely correlated | +2.42% | ||
| ASMIY - ASML | 80% Closely correlated | +2.09% | ||
| LRCX - ASML | 80% Closely correlated | +2.54% | ||
| KLAC - ASML | 79% Closely correlated | +3.26% | ||
| AMAT - ASML | 77% Closely correlated | +1.81% | ||
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