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ADI or FN or MCHP
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Analog Devices (ADI) vs. Fabrinet (FN) vs. Microchip Technology (MCHP) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ADI leads with strong Q1 fiscal 2026 revenue growth of 30% year-over-year to $3.16B, driven by industrial and communications demand, shares up over 50% in the past year.
- FN shows explosive growth in optical manufacturing for AI and datacenters, with Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue up 36% to $1.13B and shares surging 125% annually amid telecom and HPC strength.
- MCHP signals recovery with Q3 revenue up 15.6% year-over-year to $1.19B, but faces profitability challenges with negative EPS, shares volatile around $62.
- ADI and FN exhibit superior momentum and analyst targets (~$380 and $574), while MCHP trades at lower multiples amid industrial/auto rebound.
- All three benefit from semiconductor tailwinds in AI, automotive, and edge computing, but FN's AI optics exposure provides highest relative performance.
- Market caps: ADI ~$149B, FN ~$18B (est.), MCHP ~$33B; focus on growth vs. value trade-offs in current environment.
Introduction
Analog Devices (ADI), Fabrinet (FN), and Microchip Technology (MCHP) operate in the analog and mixed-signal semiconductor space, critical for AI infrastructure, automotive electrification, industrial automation, and data centers. This comparison analyzes their recent market activity, financial results, and positioning amid semiconductor recovery. Traders seeking momentum in high-growth optics and edge computing, or investors eyeing value in embedded controls, will find insights into relative strengths, risks, and performance drivers in today's volatile environment.
ADI Overview and Recent Performance
Analog Devices (ADI), a global leader in analog, mixed-signal, and digital signal processing ICs, serves industrial, automotive, communications, and consumer markets. Headquartered in Wilmington, Massachusetts, it designs solutions bridging physical and digital worlds at the intelligent edge. In recent market activity, ADI shares have climbed around 14% over three months, outperforming the semiconductor analog industry, with YTD gains near 13%. Fiscal Q1 2026 revenue hit $3.16B, up 30% year-over-year, fueled by double-digit growth across all end markets, led by industrial and communications. Gross margins expanded to 64.7%, reflecting operational leverage. Analyst upgrades, including Goldman Sachs raising its target, underscore sentiment driven by AI edge processing and automotive catalysts, though shares pulled back slightly amid broader sector rotation.
FN Overview and Recent Performance
Fabrinet (FN), based in the Cayman Islands, specializes in advanced optical packaging, precision optical, electro-mechanical, and electronic manufacturing for OEMs in communications, data centers, and high-performance computing. Recent weeks saw FN shares rise 9% over three months and 25% in a recent month, reflecting AI-driven demand despite volatility. Fiscal Q2 2026 revenue reached a record $1.13B, up 36% year-over-year, with optical communications at $833M (up 29%), propelled by telecom surges of 59%. Non-GAAP EPS of $3.36 beat estimates, with Q3 guidance at $1.15-1.20B. Partnerships in HPC and easing datacom constraints bolster sentiment, positioning FN strongly in AI optics amid record highs.
MCHP Overview and Recent Performance
Microchip Technology (MCHP), headquartered in Chandler, Arizona, develops smart, connected embedded control solutions including microcontrollers, analog, and connectivity products for automotive, industrial, and computing. In recent market activity, MCHP shares have shown recovery signs, up 19% monthly at times but trading around $62 with YTD flat. Q3 revenue rose 15.6% year-over-year to $1.19B, beating estimates, with non-GAAP EPS of $0.44. Bookings strengthened amid inventory reduction and fab optimizations, guiding sequential growth. Focus on cybersecurity and AI edges aids sentiment, though negative EPS and high debt temper gains versus peers.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ADI, FN, and MCHP share analog/mixed-signal exposure but diverge in models: ADI and MCHP focus on IC design for broad embedded applications, while FN excels in contract manufacturing for optics. Growth drivers favor FN's AI/datacenter momentum (36% revenue growth) over ADI's steady 30% and MCHP's 16%. Recent momentum: FN leads with 125% annual gains, ADI at 52%, MCHP at 23%. Risks include FN's customer concentration and MCHP's debt/inventory. Valuations: ADI P/E ~56, FN ~50, MCHP negative but forward ~24. Sentiment tilts to ADI/FN on AI/edge catalysts versus MCHP's value recovery.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors FN due to its superior trend consistency in AI optics, explosive revenue momentum, and outperformance versus peers, with probabilistic edge from HPC scaling and strong guidance. ADI ranks closely on stability and broad catalysts, while MCHP lags on profitability but offers recovery potential.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ADI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileFN’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and MCHP’s FA Score reflects 3 green FA rating(s).
- ADI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- FN’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- MCHP’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ADI’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while FN’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and MCHP’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ADI’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- FN’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- MCHP’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
ADI (@Semiconductors) experienced а +6.09% price change this week, while FN (@Electronic Components) price change was +4.19% , and MCHP (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated +10.06% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +11.63%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +20.79%, and the average quarterly price growth was +24.53%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Components industry was +4.81%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +11.15%, and the average quarterly price growth was +27.53%.
Reported Earning Dates
ADI is expected to report earnings on May 27, 2026.
FN is expected to report earnings on May 11, 2026.
MCHP is expected to report earnings on May 11, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+11.63% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
@Electronic Components (+4.81% weekly)The Electronic Components industry produces electronic equipment for industries and consumer electronics products, such as mobile devices, televisions, and circuit boards. TE Connectivity Ltd, for example, is a company that designs and manufactures connectivity and sensor products for harsh environments in various industries, such as automotive, industrial equipment, aerospace, and oil & gas. Another major player, Corning Inc., makes advanced optics including end-to-end fiber and wireless solutions for communications networks along with various other technologies catering to industrial and scientific applications.
| ADI | FN | MCHP | |
| Capitalization | 181B | 24.7B | 42.6B |
| EBITDA | 5.53B | 466M | 877M |
| Gain YTD | 37.394 | 51.531 | 24.331 |
| P/E Ratio | 67.91 | 66.14 | 86.21 |
| Revenue | 11.8B | 3.89B | 4.37B |
| Total Cash | 4.05B | 961M | 251M |
| Total Debt | 8.68B | 4.89M | 5.41B |
ADI | FN | MCHP | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 82 | 46 | 38 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 46 Fair valued | 73 Overvalued | 14 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 12 | 4 | 88 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 77 | 46 | 91 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 4 | 35 | 7 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | 6 | 6 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 50 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MCHP's Valuation (14) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as ADI (46) in the Semiconductors industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for FN (73) in the Electronic Components industry. This means that MCHP's stock grew similarly to ADI’s and somewhat faster than FN’s over the last 12 months.
FN's Profit vs Risk Rating (4) in the Electronic Components industry is in the same range as ADI (12) in the Semiconductors industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for MCHP (88) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that FN's stock grew similarly to ADI’s and significantly faster than MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
FN's SMR Rating (46) in the Electronic Components industry is in the same range as ADI (77) in the Semiconductors industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for MCHP (91) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that FN's stock grew similarly to ADI’s and somewhat faster than MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
ADI's Price Growth Rating (4) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MCHP (7) in the Semiconductors industry, and is in the same range as FN (35) in the Electronic Components industry. This means that ADI's stock grew similarly to MCHP’s and similarly to FN’s over the last 12 months.
MCHP's P/E Growth Rating (6) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as FN (6) in the Electronic Components industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for ADI (42) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that MCHP's stock grew similarly to FN’s and somewhat faster than ADI’s over the last 12 months.
| ADI | FN | MCHP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 65% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 56% | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 76% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 62% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 77% | 3 days ago 68% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 61% | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 66% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 64% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 60% | 7 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 65% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 56% | N/A | 21 days ago 73% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 50% | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 72% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 77% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| AFRU | 9.22 | 1.15 | +14.25% |
| T-REX 2X Long AFRM Daily Target ETF | |||
| XLV | 148.80 | 2.19 | +1.49% |
| State Street®HlthCrSelSectSPDR®ETF | |||
| UST | 43.58 | 0.40 | +0.93% |
| ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury | |||
| BBBS | 51.32 | 0.08 | +0.17% |
| BondBloxx BBB Rated 1-5 Yr Corp Bd ETF | |||
| RA | 13.05 | -0.03 | -0.23% |
| Brookfield Real Assets Income Fund | |||
ADI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ADI has been closely correlated with NXPI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 83% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ADI jumps, then NXPI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ADI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADI | 100% | +4.99% | ||
| NXPI - ADI | 83% Closely correlated | +1.08% | ||
| MCHP - ADI | 83% Closely correlated | +2.46% | ||
| LRCX - ADI | 79% Closely correlated | +2.54% | ||
| KLAC - ADI | 79% Closely correlated | +3.26% | ||
| ENTG - ADI | 78% Closely correlated | +7.46% | ||
More | ||||
FN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FN has been closely correlated with GLW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 68% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FN jumps, then GLW could also see price increases.