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ADI or MCHP or NVTS
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Analog Devices (ADI) vs. Microchip Technology (MCHP) vs. Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ADI demonstrates robust stability with Q1 fiscal 2026 revenue up 30% year-over-year to $3.16 billion, driven by AI data center and industrial demand, alongside a market cap exceeding $150 billion.
- MCHP shows recovery signs with Q3 fiscal 2026 revenue of $1.19 billion surpassing estimates and 15% year-over-year growth, supported by embedded control solutions amid inventory normalization.
- NVTS exhibits high volatility and growth potential, with recent surges tied to new 1200V SiC packages for AI data centers, though Q4 2025 revenue hit a trough at $7.3 million during its pivot to high-power markets.
- Year-to-date, NVTS leads with over 50% gains, followed by ADI at around 15%, while MCHP remains flat, reflecting differing risk-reward profiles in the semiconductor sector.
- All three benefit from AI and electrification trends, but ADI and MCHP offer profitability and scale, contrasting NVTS's speculative upside in GaN/SiC technologies.
- Relative performance highlights ADI's consistent momentum versus MCHP's cyclical recovery and NVTS's catalyst-driven spikes.
Introduction
Analog Devices (ADI), Microchip Technology (MCHP), and Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) represent diverse facets of the semiconductor landscape, from established analog and embedded leaders to emerging power innovators. This stock comparison evaluates their recent market positioning amid AI-driven demand, industrial recovery, and power efficiency shifts. Traders seeking momentum plays may eye NVTS's volatility, while long-term investors could favor ADI and MCHP's profitability and scale. Understanding relative performance, growth drivers, and risks aids in navigating sector rotations and valuation sensitivities in today's dynamic environment.
ADI Overview and Recent Performance
Analog Devices (ADI), a global leader in analog, mixed-signal, and digital signal processing integrated circuits, serves diverse markets including industrial automation, automotive, communications, and consumer electronics. In recent market activity, ADI shares have shown resilience, trading around $306 with a market cap over $150 billion and year-to-date gains near 15%, outperforming broader indices. Fiscal Q1 2026 results highlighted strength, with revenue surging 30% year-over-year to $3.16 billion, beating estimates on AI data center growth (up ~50%), industrial demand, and automatic test equipment. Adjusted EPS rose 51% to $2.46, margins expanded, and the company raised its dividend 11% to $1.10, signaling confidence. Sentiment has improved on execution amid sector volatility, though premium valuations (P/E ~55x) reflect high expectations for sustained analog demand in electrification and edge AI.
MCHP Overview and Recent Performance
Microchip Technology (MCHP) specializes in smart, connected, secure embedded control solutions, including microcontrollers, analog devices, and power management for automotive, industrial, IoT, and consumer applications. Recent weeks have seen MCHP shares around $62, with a $33 billion market cap and modest year-to-date performance amid recovery from inventory overhang. Q3 fiscal 2026 earnings topped expectations, with revenue at $1.19 billion (15.6% year-over-year growth) and non-GAAP EPS of $0.44, driven by expanding product portfolio despite high inventory levels (266 days). Bookings strengthened, and management highlighted a nine-point recovery plan, with channel normalization and FCF improvement as catalysts. Positive sentiment stems from profitability streak (141 quarters non-GAAP) and dividend aristocrat status, though cyclical risks persist in recent market activity.
NVTS Overview and Recent Performance
Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) designs and markets next-generation power semiconductors like gallium nitride (GaN) and silicon carbide (SiC) ICs for mobile, data centers, EVs, and renewables. In recent market activity, NVTS has been highly volatile, surging over 20% on new 1200V SiC package announcements for AI data centers, with shares near $10, a $2.3 billion market cap, and YTD gains exceeding 50% amid 300%+ one-year returns. Q4 2025 revenue reached $7.3 million at the high end of guidance, marking a pivot ("Navitas 2.0") where high-power markets (AI data centers, grid) overtook mobile for majority share, though overall down year-over-year. Sampling of 650V GaN and high-voltage SiC modules, plus a GlobalFoundries partnership, bolster long-term prospects. Sentiment shifts positively on AI catalysts, but execution risks and losses temper enthusiasm in the near term.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ADI, MCHP, and NVTS operate in semiconductors but diverge sharply: ADI's broad analog/DSP portfolio (~$12B revenue) targets stable industrial/auto (47% mix), contrasting MCHP's microcontroller focus (~$1.2B quarterly) in embedded/IoT amid recovery, and NVTS's niche GaN/SiC power semis ($46M TTM, unprofitable) pivoting to high-growth. Growth drivers include AI/electrification for all—ADI via data centers, MCHP via design wins, NVTS via efficiency edges—but recent momentum favors NVTS (300% 1Y) over ADI (50%) and MCHP (15-20%). Risks: cyclicality for ADI/MCHP, execution/scaling for NVTS. Sector exposure blends analog/power, with ADI least volatile. Valuation sensitivity highest for NVTS (no P/E, high PS), ADI premium (55x), MCHP reasonable. Market sentiment leans bullish on ADI's beats, recovering for MCHP, speculative for NVTS, weighing trade-offs in stability versus upside.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors ADI for its trend consistency, profitability, and positioning in AI data centers alongside industrial stability, offering probabilistic outperformance over MCHP's recovery phase and NVTS's higher-risk pivot. Observable catalysts like earnings beats and dividend growth enhance relative appeal amid sector volatility.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ADI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileMCHP’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and NVTS’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- ADI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- MCHP’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- NVTS’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ADI’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MCHP’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and NVTS’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ADI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- MCHP’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- NVTS’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ADI (@Semiconductors) experienced а +9.99% price change this week, while MCHP (@Semiconductors) price change was +9.09% , and NVTS (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated +8.41% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +6.73%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.51%, and the average quarterly price growth was +18.06%.
Reported Earning Dates
ADI is expected to report earnings on May 27, 2026.
MCHP is expected to report earnings on May 11, 2026.
NVTS is expected to report earnings on May 07, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+6.73% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| ADI | MCHP | NVTS | |
| Capitalization | 171B | 38.7B | 2.2B |
| EBITDA | 5.53B | 877M | -67.33M |
| Gain YTD | 29.512 | 12.965 | 33.613 |
| P/E Ratio | 64.01 | 86.21 | N/A |
| Revenue | 11.8B | 4.37B | 45.9M |
| Total Cash | 4.05B | 251M | 237M |
| Total Debt | 8.68B | 5.41B | 6.47M |
ADI | MCHP | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 20 | 22 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 39 Fair valued | 13 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 14 | 93 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 76 | 90 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 7 | 44 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 6 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MCHP's Valuation (13) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as ADI (39). This means that MCHP’s stock grew similarly to ADI’s over the last 12 months.
ADI's Profit vs Risk Rating (14) in the Semiconductors industry is significantly better than the same rating for MCHP (93). This means that ADI’s stock grew significantly faster than MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
ADI's SMR Rating (76) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MCHP (90). This means that ADI’s stock grew similarly to MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
ADI's Price Growth Rating (7) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MCHP (44). This means that ADI’s stock grew somewhat faster than MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
MCHP's P/E Growth Rating (6) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ADI (47). This means that MCHP’s stock grew somewhat faster than ADI’s over the last 12 months.
| ADI | MCHP | NVTS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 71% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 87% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 71% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 75% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 76% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 65% | 6 days ago 80% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 57% | 13 days ago 73% | 13 days ago 86% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 85% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 74% |
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ADI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ADI has been closely correlated with NXPI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ADI jumps, then NXPI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ADI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADI | 100% | -0.35% | ||
| NXPI - ADI | 84% Closely correlated | -0.63% | ||
| MCHP - ADI | 84% Closely correlated | +0.48% | ||
| MCHPP - ADI | 83% Closely correlated | -0.06% | ||
| TXN - ADI | 80% Closely correlated | -0.12% | ||
| LRCX - ADI | 79% Closely correlated | +1.89% | ||
More | ||||
MCHP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MCHP has been closely correlated with MCHPP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 97% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MCHP jumps, then MCHPP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MCHP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCHP | 100% | +0.48% | ||
| MCHPP - MCHP | 97% Closely correlated | -0.06% | ||
| ADI - MCHP | 85% Closely correlated | -0.35% | ||
| NXPI - MCHP | 85% Closely correlated | -0.63% | ||
| TXN - MCHP | 82% Closely correlated | -0.12% | ||
| ON - MCHP | 81% Closely correlated | +0.23% | ||
More | ||||