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ADI or QCOM or TSM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Analog Devices (ADI) vs. Qualcomm (QCOM) vs. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ADI has shown resilience with recent earnings beats and AI data center traction, trading around $316 amid broader semiconductor volatility.
- QCOM faces headwinds from smartphone weakness and estimate cuts, down over 20% YTD at approximately $136, though AI and automotive offer diversification.
- TSM, the leading foundry, benefits from AI chip demand but experienced pullbacks to $339, with strong long-term growth projected at 23% revenue rise.
- Relative performance highlights TSM's superior 1-year gains near 90%, versus ADI's 40% and QCOM's decline.
- Valuations reflect sector pressures: ADI P/E ~58x, QCOM ~27x, TSM ~32x, with market caps of $166B, $145B, and $1.76T respectively.
- Semiconductor sentiment shifts on AI catalysts, but recent market activity introduces volatility across all three.
Introduction
This comparison examines ADI, QCOM, and TSM, key players in the semiconductor sector powering AI, communications, and computing. Analog Devices focuses on analog chips for industrial and automotive uses, Qualcomm on wireless and mobile processors, and TSMC as the dominant foundry. Traders seeking exposure to AI-driven growth and investors tracking relative performance in recent market activity will find value in analyzing their business models, momentum, and sector exposures amid evolving demand for advanced chips.
ADI Overview and Recent Performance
Analog Devices (ADI), a leader in analog, mixed-signal, and digital signal processing integrated circuits, serves industrial, automotive, communications, and consumer markets. The company bridges physical and digital worlds with solutions for automation, mobility, and data centers. In recent weeks, ADI stock has traded around $316, reflecting a year-to-date gain influenced by Q1 fiscal 2026 earnings that beat estimates with $3.16 billion in revenue, up 30% year-over-year, and EPS of $2.46. A dividend hike and AI data center product traction have bolstered sentiment, though broader sector volatility led to a 4% pullback in early March. Analyst upgrades highlight industrial recovery and ongoing buybacks supporting stability.
QCOM Overview and Recent Performance
Qualcomm (QCOM) specializes in wireless technologies, including 5G modems, processors for smartphones, automotive, and IoT, operating a fabless model with licensing revenue. Recent market activity saw shares around $136, down over 20% YTD amid smartphone demand softness and downward earnings revisions. Q1 FY2026 results showed record $11.7 billion revenue, up 18%, driven by automotive (+61%) and IoT (+36%), but cautious guidance and AI export concerns pressured sentiment. Expansion into robotics and data centers provides offsets, yet weekly declines of 5% reflect sector risks.
TSM Overview and Recent Performance
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM), the world's largest dedicated foundry with 70% market share, produces chips for high-performance computing, smartphones, and AI applications. Recent weeks brought shares to $339, with YTD gains around 13% despite a 4% March dip amid geopolitical tensions and raw material costs. Strong demand for advanced nodes fueled 52-week highs near $390, with Q4 beats and 23% revenue growth forecast. AI mega-fabs and U.S./Japan expansions underpin momentum, though valuation debates persist at elevated multiples.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ADI, QCOM, and TSM operate in semiconductors but differ in models: ADI's analog focus yields stable industrial exposure, QCOM's fabless design ties to mobile volatility, and TSM's foundry scales with AI hyperscalers. Growth drivers include AI for all, but TSM leads via Nvidia/Apple demand, while QCOM diversifies automotive. Recent momentum favors TSM (90% 1Y) over ADI (40%) and lagging QCOM. Risks: TSM geopolitics, QCOM handset cycles, ADI cyclical end-markets. Valuations show QCOM cheapest at 27x P/E, TSM 32x with scale ($1.76T cap), ADI priciest at 58x. Sentiment tilts to AI enablers like TSM.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors TSM due to consistent AI demand trends, foundry dominance, and relative positioning with 23% revenue growth outlook versus peers' softer estimates. While ADI shows earnings stability and QCOM valuation appeal, TSM's catalysts and sector-leading momentum suggest higher probability of outperformance in prevailing conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ADI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileQCOM’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and TSM’s FA Score reflects 3 green FA rating(s).
- ADI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- QCOM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- TSM’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ADI’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while QCOM’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and TSM’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ADI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- QCOM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 2 bearish.
- TSM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
ADI (@Semiconductors) experienced а +10.37% price change this week, while QCOM (@Semiconductors) price change was +0.75% , and TSM (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated +7.80% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +5.71%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.17%, and the average quarterly price growth was +16.74%.
Reported Earning Dates
ADI is expected to report earnings on May 27, 2026.
QCOM is expected to report earnings on Apr 29, 2026.
TSM is expected to report earnings on Apr 16, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+5.71% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| ADI | QCOM | TSM | |
| Capitalization | 172B | 136B | 1.59T |
| EBITDA | 5.53B | 14.8B | 2.74T |
| Gain YTD | 29.963 | -24.835 | 20.944 |
| P/E Ratio | 64.23 | 25.76 | 35.22 |
| Revenue | 11.8B | 44.9B | 3.81T |
| Total Cash | 4.05B | 11.8B | N/A |
| Total Debt | 8.68B | 14.8B | N/A |
ADI | QCOM | TSM | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 21 | 53 | 23 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 38 Fair valued | 8 Undervalued | 49 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 13 | 89 | 9 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 76 | 42 | 26 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 7 | 63 | 38 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 57 | 16 | 20 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
QCOM's Valuation (8) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is in the same range as ADI (38) in the Semiconductors industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for TSM (49) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that QCOM's stock grew similarly to ADI’s and somewhat faster than TSM’s over the last 12 months.
TSM's Profit vs Risk Rating (9) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as ADI (13) in the Semiconductors industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for QCOM (89) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry. This means that TSM's stock grew similarly to ADI’s and significantly faster than QCOM’s over the last 12 months.
TSM's SMR Rating (26) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as QCOM (42) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for ADI (76) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that TSM's stock grew similarly to QCOM’s and somewhat faster than ADI’s over the last 12 months.
ADI's Price Growth Rating (7) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as TSM (38) in the Semiconductors industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for QCOM (63) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry. This means that ADI's stock grew similarly to TSM’s and somewhat faster than QCOM’s over the last 12 months.
QCOM's P/E Growth Rating (16) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is in the same range as TSM (20) in the Semiconductors industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for ADI (57) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that QCOM's stock grew similarly to TSM’s and somewhat faster than ADI’s over the last 12 months.
| ADI | QCOM | TSM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 75% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 71% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | N/A | 1 day ago 65% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 73% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 72% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 64% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 57% | 3 days ago 73% | 21 days ago 62% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 52% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 59% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| DIA | 481.90 | 2.74 | +0.57% |
| State Street®SPDR®DowJonesIndstrAvgETFTr | |||
| FTQI | 20.78 | 0.10 | +0.48% |
| First Trust Nasdaq BuyWrite Income ETF | |||
| EMP | 20.67 | -0.01 | -0.04% |
| Entergy Mississippi LLC | |||
| BERZ | 54.24 | -1.47 | -2.64% |
| MicroSectors™ St FANG&Inn 3X Inv Ld ETNs | |||
| VIXY | 29.40 | -1.11 | -3.64% |
| ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures | |||
ADI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ADI has been closely correlated with MCHP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ADI jumps, then MCHP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ADI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADI | 100% | +1.49% | ||
| MCHP - ADI | 85% Closely correlated | +0.69% | ||
| MCHPP - ADI | 84% Closely correlated | +0.89% | ||
| NXPI - ADI | 84% Closely correlated | +0.69% | ||
| TXN - ADI | 80% Closely correlated | +2.91% | ||
| LRCX - ADI | 79% Closely correlated | +4.98% | ||
More | ||||
TSM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TSM has been closely correlated with ASML. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TSM jumps, then ASML could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TSM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSM | 100% | -0.11% | ||
| ASML - TSM | 74% Closely correlated | +1.94% | ||
| ASX - TSM | 73% Closely correlated | +1.53% | ||
| LRCX - TSM | 73% Closely correlated | +4.98% | ||
| NVDA - TSM | 73% Closely correlated | +1.01% | ||
| MPWR - TSM | 72% Closely correlated | +1.62% | ||
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