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AGI or GFI or IAG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI) vs. Gold Fields Limited (GFI) vs. IAMGOLD Corporation (IAG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- All three stocks—AGI, GFI, and IAG—operate as mid-tier gold producers, benefiting from elevated gold prices near record highs in recent market activity.
- GFI leads in market capitalization at $37.6 billion and offers the lowest P/E ratio of 10.68, signaling potential value amid analyst upgrades.
- IAG shows the strongest one-year return at 144%, driven by project advancements like Côté Gold, though it awaits Q1 2026 results.
- AGI reported record Q1 2026 revenue of $597 million, up 79% year-over-year, with a dividend hike, supporting steady YTD performance around 1%.
- Year-to-date returns are closely matched near 1% across the trio, reflecting sector-wide gold price volatility in recent weeks.
- Risks vary: GFI faces South Africa exposure, while IAG navigates Burkina Faso geopolitics.
Introduction
In the gold mining sector, AGI, GFI, and IAG stand out as key players amid soaring gold prices and shifting market dynamics. This comparison analyzes their recent performance, operational strengths, and positioning, aiding traders seeking momentum plays and long-term investors eyeing value in precious metals exposure. With gold trading near all-time highs, these stocks offer insights into sector relative performance and sensitivity to commodity trends, relevant for portfolios balancing growth and stability.
AGI Overview and Recent Performance
Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI) is a Canadian gold producer focused on operations in Canada and Mexico. In recent market activity, its shares traded around $39.42, with a market cap of $16.6 billion and P/E ratio of 15.71. Q1 2026 results highlighted record revenue of $596.7 million, up 79% year-over-year, alongside expanded margins and a 60% dividend increase to $0.04 per share quarterly. Sentiment has been bolstered by strong production outlook and analyst price target hikes to C$80, despite an EPS miss, amid broader gold price support. Year-to-date gains hover near 1%, reflecting resilience in volatile conditions.
GFI Overview and Recent Performance
Gold Fields Limited (GFI), headquartered in South Africa, is a globally diversified gold producer with assets across Africa, Australia, and the Americas. Shares recently closed at $42.08, boasting a $37.6 billion market cap—the largest among peers—and a trailing P/E of 10.68. Recent weeks saw upgrades, including Canaccord to Buy with a $57.25 target and Morgan Stanley to Equal Weight, driven by robust TTM revenue of $8.75 billion and high returns on equity near 52%. YTD performance aligns at about 1%, with one-year gains exceeding 100%, fueled by operational leverage to gold prices.
IAG Overview and Recent Performance
IAMGOLD Corporation (IAG) develops and produces gold primarily in Canada and Burkina Faso, with the flagship Côté Gold project advancing. Trading near $16.59, it holds a $9.7 billion market cap and P/E of 14.55. Recent momentum stems from a 144% one-year return, outpacing peers, supported by TTM revenue of $2.85 billion. Q1 2026 results are due May 5, with analysts eyeing potential EPS beats amid project ramp-ups. YTD returns match the group at roughly 1%, influenced by gold's recent pullback but underpinned by growth catalysts.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AGI, GFI, and IAG share mid-tier gold producer models but diverge in scale and geography. GFI’s global footprint offers diversification, contrasting AGI’s North America focus and IAG’s emerging market exposure. Growth drivers include IAG’s Côté ramp-up versus GFI’s mature assets. Recent momentum favors IAG on one-year basis, while AGI shines in quarterly execution. Risks encompass geopolitical tensions for GFI and IAG, versus AGI’s stability. Valuation sensitivity is highest for GFI at lowest P/E; sentiment tilts positive across all amid gold strength, with upgrades bolstering GFI.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward GFI for its superior scale, attractive valuation, recent analyst upgrades, and leverage to gold trends, positioning it favorably for sustained upside probability over peers in the near term.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AGI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileGFI’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and IAG’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- AGI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- GFI’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- IAG’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AGI’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while GFI’s TA Score has 2 bullish TA indicator(s), and IAG’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AGI’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- GFI’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 5 bearish.
- IAG’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
AGI (@Precious Metals) experienced а -7.26% price change this week, while GFI (@Precious Metals) price change was -10.23% , and IAG (@Precious Metals) price fluctuated -9.20% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was -0.28%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.24%, and the average quarterly price growth was +64.48%.
Reported Earning Dates
AGI is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
GFI is expected to report earnings on Aug 21, 2026.
IAG is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (-0.28% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| AGI | GFI | IAG | |
| Capitalization | 17B | 39.7B | 9.84B |
| EBITDA | 1.55B | 6.34B | 1.96B |
| Gain YTD | 4.361 | -5.078 | 2.971 |
| P/E Ratio | 16.03 | 10.22 | 9.93 |
| Revenue | 2.07B | 8.75B | 3.41B |
| Total Cash | 704M | 1.78B | 551M |
| Total Debt | 220M | 3.22B | 651M |
AGI | GFI | IAG | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 74 | 54 | 67 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 21 Undervalued | 4 Undervalued | 71 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 26 | 33 | 32 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 37 | 21 | 36 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 53 | 55 | 44 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 97 | 81 | 8 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 85 | 46 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
GFI's Valuation (4) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AGI (21) and is significantly better than the same rating for IAG (71). This means that GFI's stock grew similarly to AGI’s and significantly faster than IAG’s over the last 12 months.
AGI's Profit vs Risk Rating (26) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as IAG (32) and is in the same range as GFI (33). This means that AGI's stock grew similarly to IAG’s and similarly to GFI’s over the last 12 months.
GFI's SMR Rating (21) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as IAG (36) and is in the same range as AGI (37). This means that GFI's stock grew similarly to IAG’s and similarly to AGI’s over the last 12 months.
IAG's Price Growth Rating (44) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AGI (53) and is in the same range as GFI (55). This means that IAG's stock grew similarly to AGI’s and similarly to GFI’s over the last 12 months.
IAG's P/E Growth Rating (8) in the Precious Metals industry is significantly better than the same rating for GFI (81) and is significantly better than the same rating for AGI (97). This means that IAG's stock grew significantly faster than GFI’s and significantly faster than AGI’s over the last 12 months.
| AGI | GFI | IAG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 84% | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 84% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 81% | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 78% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 74% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 75% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 61% | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 74% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 78% | N/A | 6 days ago 83% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 62% | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 78% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 90% | 3 days ago 90% | 3 days ago 79% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 86% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| CAIQ | 26.89 | -0.22 | -0.81% |
| Calamos Nasdaq Autocallable Income ETF | |||
| EVT | 26.02 | -0.50 | -1.87% |
| Eaton Vance Tax-Advantaged Dividend Income Fund | |||
| KTEC | 13.72 | -0.51 | -3.58% |
| KraneShares Hang Seng TECH ETF | |||
| JSML | 82.86 | -3.26 | -3.78% |
| Janus Henderson Small Cap Gr Alpha ETF | |||
| AVL | 59.88 | -4.18 | -6.53% |
| Direxion Daily AVGO Bull 2X Shares | |||
AGI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AGI has been closely correlated with AEM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 86% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AGI jumps, then AEM could also see price increases.
GFI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GFI has been closely correlated with AU. These tickers have moved in lockstep 90% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GFI jumps, then AU could also see price increases.
IAG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, IAG has been closely correlated with CGAU. These tickers have moved in lockstep 86% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if IAG jumps, then CGAU could also see price increases.