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AGI or IAG or RGLD
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI) vs. IAMGOLD Corporation (IAG) vs. Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AGI delivered strong Q1 2026 earnings with $596.7 million in revenue and EPS of $0.55 meeting estimates, supporting recent momentum.
- IAG trades at an attractive forward P/E ratio (price-to-earnings ratio) of 7.20, positioning it as a value play ahead of Q1 earnings.
- RGLD leads with the largest market capitalization (market capitalization) at $19.56 billion and a stable royalty business model.
- All three stocks have benefited from elevated gold prices over the past year, with 1-year returns ranging from solid gains amid sector strength.
- Analyst price targets indicate significant upside: AGI at $60.50, IAG at $26.30, and RGLD at $335.33.
- Recent market activity shows pullbacks but underlying catalysts like production outlooks and gold trends persist across the group.
Introduction
In today's elevated gold market, investors often compare pure-play gold producers like Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI) and IAMGOLD Corporation (IAG) against royalty and streaming firms such as Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD). This analysis highlights their relative performance, valuations, and sector exposure amid recent gold price strength and quarterly updates. Traders seeking momentum and growth may favor producers, while those prioritizing lower operational risk might lean toward royalties. Understanding these dynamics aids in portfolio positioning for precious metals exposure in volatile conditions.
AGI Overview and Recent Performance
Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI) is a mid-tier gold producer with operations in Canada and Mexico, focusing on developing and operating gold deposits. In recent market activity, AGI shares have shown resilience, trading around $39.42 with a market cap of $16.55 billion, trailing P/E (price-to-earnings ratio) of 15.71, and EPS (earnings per share) of $2.51. Sentiment has improved following robust Q1 2026 results, including $596.7 million in revenue and EPS of $0.55 aligning with estimates, coupled with a positive production outlook. Analysts maintain buy ratings, with an average price target of $60.50, reflecting confidence in operational execution amid higher gold prices.
IAG Overview and Recent Performance
IAMGOLD Corporation (IAG) operates as a gold producer and developer, with key assets including the Côté Gold project in Canada and mines in Burkina Faso. Recently, shares hover near $16.59, with a $9.66 billion market cap, trailing P/E of 14.55, forward P/E of 7.20, and EPS of $1.14. Performance has tracked gold sector trends, with anticipation building for Q1 earnings and the release of its 2025 ESG (environmental, social, and governance) report. Scotiabank recently raised its price target to $25 while maintaining a sector perform rating, underscoring value amid strong cash flows and production ramp-ups.
RGLD Overview and Recent Performance
Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD) acquires and manages precious metal streams and royalties across global projects, offering diversified exposure without direct mining costs. Shares trade around $230.59, boasting the highest market cap at $19.56 billion, trailing P/E of 34.47, forward P/E of 17.83, EPS of $6.69, and a 0.82% dividend yield. Recent weeks feature upcoming Q1 results on May 6, 2026, and UBS initiating buy coverage with a $325 target. Positive analyst sentiment highlights portfolio growth, including 2025 acquisitions totaling $5.4 billion, driving steady cash flows in a strong gold environment.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AGI and IAG operate as hands-on producers, exposing them to operational risks like cost inflation but offering direct leverage to gold prices and production growth. In contrast, RGLD’s royalty/streaming model provides stable, high-margin cash flows with lower volatility and broader metal exposure. Recent momentum favors AGI post-earnings, while IAG stands out on valuation with the lowest forward P/E. Risk factors include geopolitical issues for IAG and acquisition integration for RGLD. Market sentiment remains bullish across all, driven by gold trends, though RGLD’s larger scale offers relative stability.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable trend consistency, recent earnings strength, and relative momentum, Tickeron’s AI would currently favor AGI with higher probability for near-term outperformance. Its Q1 results and production catalysts position it ahead of peers amid gold sector dynamics, though RGLD’s stability remains a close contender for longer horizons.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AGI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileIAG’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and RGLD’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- AGI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- IAG’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- RGLD’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AGI’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while IAG’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and RGLD’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AGI’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- IAG’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- RGLD’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
AGI (@Precious Metals) experienced а -7.26% price change this week, while IAG (@Precious Metals) price change was -9.20% , and RGLD (@Precious Metals) price fluctuated -4.43% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was -0.28%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.24%, and the average quarterly price growth was +64.48%.
Reported Earning Dates
AGI is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
IAG is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
RGLD is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (-0.28% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| AGI | IAG | RGLD | |
| Capitalization | 17B | 9.84B | 19.4B |
| EBITDA | 1.55B | 1.96B | 1.03B |
| Gain YTD | 4.361 | 2.971 | 3.118 |
| P/E Ratio | 16.03 | 9.93 | 27.61 |
| Revenue | 2.07B | 3.41B | 1.31B |
| Total Cash | 704M | 551M | 234M |
| Total Debt | 220M | 651M | 596M |
AGI | IAG | RGLD | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 68 | 64 | 58 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 21 Undervalued | 71 Overvalued | 18 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 26 | 32 | 39 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 37 | 36 | 64 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 41 | 53 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 97 | 8 | 50 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 46 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
RGLD's Valuation (18) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AGI (21) and is somewhat better than the same rating for IAG (71). This means that RGLD's stock grew similarly to AGI’s and somewhat faster than IAG’s over the last 12 months.
AGI's Profit vs Risk Rating (26) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as IAG (32) and is in the same range as RGLD (39). This means that AGI's stock grew similarly to IAG’s and similarly to RGLD’s over the last 12 months.
IAG's SMR Rating (36) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AGI (37) and is in the same range as RGLD (64). This means that IAG's stock grew similarly to AGI’s and similarly to RGLD’s over the last 12 months.
IAG's Price Growth Rating (41) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AGI (46) and is in the same range as RGLD (53). This means that IAG's stock grew similarly to AGI’s and similarly to RGLD’s over the last 12 months.
IAG's P/E Growth Rating (8) in the Precious Metals industry is somewhat better than the same rating for RGLD (50) and is significantly better than the same rating for AGI (97). This means that IAG's stock grew somewhat faster than RGLD’s and significantly faster than AGI’s over the last 12 months.
| AGI | IAG | RGLD | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 84% | N/A | 2 days ago 76% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 84% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 57% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 60% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 62% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 78% | 5 days ago 83% | 5 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 61% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 68% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 59% |
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AGI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AGI has been closely correlated with AEM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 86% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AGI jumps, then AEM could also see price increases.
IAG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, IAG has been closely correlated with CGAU. These tickers have moved in lockstep 86% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if IAG jumps, then CGAU could also see price increases.