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ALAB or ASML or QCOM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Astera Labs (ALAB) vs. ASML Holding (ASML) vs. QUALCOMM (QCOM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ALAB delivered strong revenue growth of 115% in FY2025 driven by AI connectivity demand but trades at a premium P/E over 100 amid post-earnings volatility.
- ASML benefits from a record €38.8B backlog and surging AI chip orders, with YTD gains around 30%, supported by EUV monopoly.
- QCOM faces headwinds from potential Apple modem losses and smartphone weakness, down over 20% YTD, though diversification into AI PCs offers some offset.
- All three expose investors to semiconductor and AI trends, but ASML's equipment leadership provides stability versus ALAB's high-growth volatility and QCOM's client risks.
- Recent market activity shows ALAB rebounding with 7% gains on analyst upgrades, while QCOM slides on downgrades.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines ALAB, ASML, and QCOM, three key players in the semiconductor ecosystem powering AI infrastructure. ALAB focuses on connectivity solutions, ASML on lithography equipment, and QCOM on wireless chips. Traders seeking exposure to AI-driven growth and investors assessing relative performance in recent market activity will find value in understanding their business models, momentum, and risks amid sector volatility and supply chain dynamics.
ALAB Overview and Recent Performance
Astera Labs, Inc. (ALAB) designs semiconductor connectivity solutions for cloud and AI infrastructure, targeting hyperscalers with products like PCIe, CXL, and Ethernet retimers. In recent quarters, the company reported record FY2025 revenue of $852.5 million, up 115% year-over-year, fueled by AI rack-scale demand. Stock behavior has been volatile, with shares down about 25% YTD after a post-earnings pullback on margin concerns despite Q4 beats, but rebounding over 7% recently on analyst buy ratings and partnerships like Amazon. Sentiment reflects optimism for AI connectivity growth tempered by high valuations and competition risks.
ASML Overview and Recent Performance
ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) dominates extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography, essential for advanced chip production by foundries like TSMC. Recent market activity highlights record Q4 bookings of €13.2 billion and a €38.8 billion backlog, driven by sustainable AI demand, lifting 2026 sales guidance to €34-39 billion. Shares have gained around 30% YTD with low single-digit volatility in recent weeks, supported by EUV monopoly and robust hyperscaler orders. Performance sentiment remains positive despite geopolitical tensions, as AI logic and memory needs bolster visibility.
QCOM Overview and Recent Performance
QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM) develops wireless technologies, including Snapdragon chips for mobile, automotive, and IoT. Recent quarters showed Q4 revenue of $12.25 billion, up 5%, but guidance disappointed amid smartphone weakness. Shares are down over 20% YTD and 3% in recent weeks, pressured by Apple modem transition risks—potentially $7 billion revenue hit—and analyst downgrades citing modest growth. Diversification into AI PCs and autos provides some uplift, but client concentration weighs on sentiment.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ALAB ($20B market cap, P/E >100) emphasizes high-growth AI connectivity with niche focus but higher beta (1.75) and valuation sensitivity versus ASML ($540B cap, P/E 48), whose equipment moat yields stable backlog-driven revenue and lower cyclicality. QCOM ($143B cap, P/E 27) offers diversified wireless exposure including autos/IoT but trails on recent momentum due to smartphone risks, contrasting ALAB's pure AI play and ASML's upstream positioning. Growth drivers favor AI infrastructure for all, yet QCOM faces client erosion while ALAB risks competition; sentiment tilts toward ASML's resilience.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors ASML based on superior trend consistency from record backlogs, AI catalyst stability, and relative market positioning versus ALAB's volatility and QCOM's headwinds. Observable factors suggest higher probability of sustained outperformance amid semiconductor upcycle.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ALAB’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileASML’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and QCOM’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- ALAB’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- ASML’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- QCOM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ALAB’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ASML’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and QCOM’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ALAB’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- ASML’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- QCOM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 2 bearish.
Price Growth
ALAB (@Semiconductors) experienced а +10.52% price change this week, while ASML (@Electronic Production Equipment) price change was +9.98% , and QCOM (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated +0.75% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +5.71%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.17%, and the average quarterly price growth was +16.74%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was +10.01%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +10.62%, and the average quarterly price growth was +83.74%.
Reported Earning Dates
ALAB is expected to report earnings on May 05, 2026.
ASML is expected to report earnings on Apr 15, 2026.
QCOM is expected to report earnings on Apr 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+5.71% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
@Electronic Production Equipment (+10.01% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
| ALAB | ASML | QCOM | |
| Capitalization | 22B | 546B | 136B |
| EBITDA | 180M | 12.6B | 14.8B |
| Gain YTD | -22.181 | 35.765 | -24.835 |
| P/E Ratio | 106.11 | 50.17 | 25.76 |
| Revenue | 853M | 32.7B | 44.9B |
| Total Cash | 1.19B | 13.3B | 11.8B |
| Total Debt | 4.15M | 4.39B | 14.8B |
ASML | QCOM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 67 | 53 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 78 Overvalued | 8 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 26 | 89 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 19 | 42 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 38 | 63 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 20 | 16 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
QCOM's Valuation (8) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is significantly better than the same rating for ASML (78) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that QCOM’s stock grew significantly faster than ASML’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's Profit vs Risk Rating (26) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is somewhat better than the same rating for QCOM (89) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry. This means that ASML’s stock grew somewhat faster than QCOM’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's SMR Rating (19) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as QCOM (42) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry. This means that ASML’s stock grew similarly to QCOM’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's Price Growth Rating (38) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as QCOM (63) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry. This means that ASML’s stock grew similarly to QCOM’s over the last 12 months.
QCOM's P/E Growth Rating (16) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is in the same range as ASML (20) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that QCOM’s stock grew similarly to ASML’s over the last 12 months.
| ALAB | ASML | QCOM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | N/A | 1 day ago 75% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 64% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 72% | N/A |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 60% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 67% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 64% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 82% | 4 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 73% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 69% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| OVS | 38.34 | 0.28 | +0.74% |
| Overlay Shares Small Cap Equity ETF | |||
| LEMB | 41.97 | 0.10 | +0.24% |
| iShares JP Morgan EM Local Ccy Bd ETF | |||
| LDSF | 19.01 | N/A | +0.02% |
| First Trust Low Dur Strat Foc ETF | |||
| EFV | 77.55 | -0.17 | -0.22% |
| iShares MSCI EAFE Value ETF | |||
| FIVY | 23.81 | -0.30 | -1.22% |
| YieldMax Dorsey Wright Hybrid 5 Inc ETF | |||
ALAB and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ALAB has been loosely correlated with CRDO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ALAB jumps, then CRDO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ALAB | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALAB | 100% | +3.19% | ||
| CRDO - ALAB | 65% Loosely correlated | -2.07% | ||
| VECO - ALAB | 55% Loosely correlated | +2.26% | ||
| AVGO - ALAB | 55% Loosely correlated | +1.22% | ||
| AMBA - ALAB | 54% Loosely correlated | +0.56% | ||
| LRCX - ALAB | 53% Loosely correlated | +4.98% | ||
More | ||||
ASML and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ASML has been closely correlated with ASMLF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ASML jumps, then ASMLF could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ASML | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASML | 100% | +1.94% | ||
| ASMLF - ASML | 85% Closely correlated | +4.35% | ||
| LRCX - ASML | 83% Closely correlated | +4.98% | ||
| AMAT - ASML | 81% Closely correlated | +3.13% | ||
| ASMIY - ASML | 80% Closely correlated | +1.22% | ||
| KLAC - ASML | 79% Closely correlated | +3.28% | ||
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