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ALSN or MOD or PLOW
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Allison Transmission Holdings (ALSN) vs. Modine Manufacturing (MOD) vs. Douglas Dynamics (PLOW) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ALSN delivers steady YTD gains of approximately 32%, supported by strong earnings beats and a reasonable trailing P/E (price-to-earnings) ratio of 17.6.
- MOD leads with explosive YTD performance exceeding 100%, driven by data center cooling demand, though its elevated trailing P/E near 150 signals premium valuation.
- PLOW shows robust YTD returns around 57%, boosted by recent Q1 earnings surpassing expectations, with a balanced trailing P/E of about 23.
- All three stocks operate in vehicle-related sectors but diverge in growth trajectories: MOD benefits from AI infrastructure tailwinds, while ALSN and PLOW focus on commercial and attachments markets.
- Recent market activity highlights volatility, with MOD and PLOW exhibiting higher betas (1.66 and 1.26) compared to ALSN's 1.01.
- Market caps range from PLOW at $1B to MOD at $14B, reflecting scale differences in relative performance.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines ALSN, MOD, and PLOW, all tied to vehicle components and attachments in the industrials and consumer cyclical sectors. These companies offer exposure to commercial vehicles, thermal management, and snow removal equipment, respectively, amid shifting demand from electrification, data centers, and seasonal factors. Traders seeking momentum plays may favor high-growth profiles like MOD, while long-term investors might prioritize stability in ALSN. Recent market activity underscores their relative performance in a volatile environment, aiding decisions on sector rotation and risk-adjusted positioning.
ALSN Overview and Recent Performance
Allison Transmission Holdings (ALSN), headquartered in Indianapolis, designs and manufactures automatic transmissions for medium- and heavy-duty commercial vehicles, buses, and defense applications worldwide. In recent market activity, the stock has climbed around 32% YTD, outperforming the S&P 500's 6% gain, with shares trading near $129. Key influences include Q1 2026 earnings that beat sales expectations, driven by robust demand in North American on-highway and off-highway segments. Sentiment has strengthened on electrification propulsion progress and steady aftermarket parts revenue, though shares pulled back modestly in recent weeks amid broader industrials rotation. Valuation remains attractive with a trailing P/E of 17.6 and forward P/E of 14.4, supported by a market cap over $10B and beta near 1.0.
MOD Overview and Recent Performance
Modine Manufacturing (MOD), based in Racine, Wisconsin, specializes in thermal management solutions for vehicles, data centers, and industrial applications across Climate Solutions and Performance Technologies segments. The stock has surged over 100% YTD, vastly outpacing benchmarks, with shares around $272 and a $14B market cap. Recent weeks saw volatility, including a 4-5% daily swing, fueled by data center cooling expansions and AI infrastructure demand. Earnings momentum and a planned Performance Technologies spin-off have boosted sentiment, though high beta (1.66) amplifies risks. Trailing P/E exceeds 140, reflecting growth premium, while forward P/E of 36 underscores expectations for continued revenue expansion in high-margin areas.
PLOW Overview and Recent Performance
Douglas Dynamics (PLOW), located in Milwaukee, manufactures commercial work truck attachments like snowplows and salt spreaders, operating in Work Truck Attachments and Solutions segments. Shares have advanced about 57% YTD, with recent trading near $51 and a $1B market cap. Q1 2026 earnings exceeded forecasts at $0.36 EPS versus $0.12 expected, sparking a sharp rally amid favorable shipping relief and seasonal demand upticks. Sentiment reflects cyclical recovery, tempered by weather dependency, with beta at 1.26. Trailing P/E around 23 and forward P/E of 19 position it reasonably amid peers, as recent market activity highlights resilience in attachments demand.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ALSN, MOD, and PLOW share industrials exposure but contrast sharply in business models: ALSN's transmissions emphasize defense and commercial stability, MOD's thermal solutions ride data center growth, and PLOW's attachments hinge on seasonal infrastructure spending. Growth drivers diverge—MOD leads with AI tailwinds versus ALSN's aftermarket reliability and PLOW's weather cyclicality. Recent momentum favors MOD (100%+ YTD) over PLOW (57%) and ALSN (32%), but risks escalate with MOD's beta (1.66) and stretched valuation (trailing P/E 140+). ALSN offers lowest P/E (17.6) and beta (1.0), appealing for value, while PLOW balances at P/E 23 amid smaller scale ($1B cap). Sector sentiment tilts toward thermal/tech over traditional autos, trading growth for stability.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI analysis leans toward MOD in the current environment, given its superior trend consistency, data center catalysts, and alignment with trending AI bots in AI infrastructure. Relative YTD outperformance and momentum position it favorably, though elevated valuation introduces volatility. ALSN trails closely for stability seekers, with consistent earnings and lower risk, while PLOW suits cyclical plays. Probabilistically, MOD holds edge for near-term upside in growth-oriented portfolios.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ALSN’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileMOD’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and PLOW’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- ALSN’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- MOD’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- PLOW’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ALSN’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MOD’s TA Score has 2 bullish TA indicator(s), and PLOW’s TA Score reflects 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ALSN’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- MOD’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 6 bearish.
- PLOW’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
ALSN (@Auto Parts: OEM) experienced а -7.58% price change this week, while MOD (@Auto Parts: OEM) price change was -13.23% , and PLOW (@Auto Parts: OEM) price fluctuated -3.32% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Auto Parts: OEM industry was -1.80%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.64%, and the average quarterly price growth was +12.97%.
Reported Earning Dates
ALSN is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
MOD is expected to report earnings on May 26, 2026.
PLOW is expected to report earnings on Aug 03, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Auto Parts: OEM (-1.80% weekly)OEM or Original Equipment Manufacturer of auto parts refers to the original producer of a vehicles components, and so OEM car parts are usually identical to the parts used in producing the vehicle in the first place. OEM parts tend to fit the specifications of a particular model, and their compatibility is often guaranteed by the automaker itself. OEM parts could be more expensive to buy (compared to other vendors’ products) when a consumer goes for replacement. However, increased competition from aftermarket parts/third-party vendors could, in some cases, keep EOM prices in check. The industry might progress further in adopting newer technologies like 3D printing to boost supply chain performance and quality. Aptiv PLC, Magna International Inc. and BorgWarner Inc. are major OEMs for autos.
| ALSN | MOD | PLOW | |
| Capitalization | 8.96B | 12.9B | 993M |
| EBITDA | 1.01B | 264M | 96.1M |
| Gain YTD | 10.876 | 83.125 | 32.460 |
| P/E Ratio | 16.80 | 133.60 | 19.34 |
| Revenue | 3.65B | 2.87B | 679M |
| Total Cash | 145M | 98.7M | 5.19M |
| Total Debt | 2.89B | 616M | 235M |
ALSN | MOD | PLOW | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 60 | 13 | 68 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 45 Fair valued | 93 Overvalued | 27 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 27 | 11 | 77 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 32 | 70 | 46 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 49 | 37 | 43 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 18 | 3 | 11 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 75 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PLOW's Valuation (27) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as ALSN (45) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for MOD (93) in the Auto Parts OEM industry. This means that PLOW's stock grew similarly to ALSN’s and significantly faster than MOD’s over the last 12 months.
MOD's Profit vs Risk Rating (11) in the Auto Parts OEM industry is in the same range as ALSN (27) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for PLOW (77) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry. This means that MOD's stock grew similarly to ALSN’s and significantly faster than PLOW’s over the last 12 months.
ALSN's SMR Rating (32) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as PLOW (46) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for MOD (70) in the Auto Parts OEM industry. This means that ALSN's stock grew similarly to PLOW’s and somewhat faster than MOD’s over the last 12 months.
MOD's Price Growth Rating (37) in the Auto Parts OEM industry is in the same range as PLOW (43) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry, and is in the same range as ALSN (49) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry. This means that MOD's stock grew similarly to PLOW’s and similarly to ALSN’s over the last 12 months.
MOD's P/E Growth Rating (3) in the Auto Parts OEM industry is in the same range as PLOW (11) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry, and is in the same range as ALSN (18) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry. This means that MOD's stock grew similarly to PLOW’s and similarly to ALSN’s over the last 12 months.
| ALSN | MOD | PLOW | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 70% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 65% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 69% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 27 days ago 62% | 6 days ago 82% | 9 days ago 63% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 74% | 7 days ago 66% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 85% | 2 days ago 50% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| KJD | 23.15 | 1.12 | +5.07% |
| KraneShares 2x Long JD Daily ETF | |||
| KBDU | 29.55 | 0.02 | +0.06% |
| KraneShares 2x Long BIDU Daily ETF | |||
| FAUG | 55.53 | -0.15 | -0.26% |
| FT Vest US Equity Buffer ETF Aug | |||
| UFIV | 48.08 | -0.13 | -0.28% |
| F/m US Treasury 5 Year Note ETF | |||
| HSCZ | 42.27 | -0.28 | -0.66% |
| iShares Currency Hdgd MSCI EAFE SmCp ETF | |||
ALSN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ALSN has been loosely correlated with ALV. These tickers have moved in lockstep 55% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ALSN jumps, then ALV could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ALSN | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALSN | 100% | -5.30% | ||
| ALV - ALSN | 55% Loosely correlated | -0.23% | ||
| PLOW - ALSN | 54% Loosely correlated | -2.96% | ||
| ATMU - ALSN | 53% Loosely correlated | -3.93% | ||
| PHIN - ALSN | 52% Loosely correlated | -4.78% | ||
| DAN - ALSN | 52% Loosely correlated | -3.42% | ||
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MOD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MOD has been loosely correlated with ALSN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 45% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MOD jumps, then ALSN could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MOD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOD | 100% | -1.07% | ||
| ALSN - MOD | 45% Loosely correlated | -5.30% | ||
| DNZOY - MOD | 42% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
| BRDCY - MOD | 39% Loosely correlated | +0.38% | ||
| PLOW - MOD | 39% Loosely correlated | -2.96% | ||
| PHIN - MOD | 38% Loosely correlated | -4.78% | ||
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PLOW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PLOW has been loosely correlated with MLR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 54% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if PLOW jumps, then MLR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PLOW | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PLOW | 100% | -2.96% | ||
| MLR - PLOW | 54% Loosely correlated | -0.81% | ||
| ALSN - PLOW | 53% Loosely correlated | -5.30% | ||
| SMP - PLOW | 51% Loosely correlated | -2.27% | ||
| XPEL - PLOW | 51% Loosely correlated | +3.35% | ||
| DAN - PLOW | 49% Loosely correlated | -3.42% | ||
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