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AM or PAA or PAGP
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Antero Midstream Corporation (AM) vs. Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. (PAA) vs. Plains GP Holdings, L.P. (PAGP) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- PAA and PAGP lead with superior YTD returns of approximately 31%, outpacing AM's 26%, driven by strong crude oil logistics demand.
- All three stocks have delivered robust one-year gains, with PAA and PAGP at 47-48% versus AM's 32%, highlighting midstream resilience amid energy sector volatility.
- PAA offers the highest dividend yield at over 7%, followed by PAGP at 6.7% and AM at 4%, appealing to income-focused investors.
- PAA trades at the lowest P/E ratio around 20, suggesting better valuation relative to AM (25) and PAGP (31).
- Recent quarters show stable operations, with AM focusing on Appalachian gas assets and Plains entities on crude/NGL transport.
- Low betas (0.44-0.66) indicate lower volatility, positioning these as defensive plays in the energy midstream sector.
Introduction
This comparison examines AM, PAA, and PAGP, all key players in the oil and gas midstream sector. These companies provide essential infrastructure for gathering, processing, transporting, and storing hydrocarbons, benefiting from fee-based contracts that offer stability amid commodity price swings. Traders seeking momentum and high yields, or investors eyeing defensive energy exposure with dividends, will find value in analyzing their relative performance, valuations, and market positioning in the current environment of sustained U.S. production and export growth.
AM Overview and Recent Performance
Antero Midstream Corporation (AM) owns and operates midstream assets primarily in the Appalachian Basin, focusing on natural gas gathering, processing, and water handling services tied to Antero Resources' production. In recent market activity, AM has shown steady price behavior, with shares trading around $22 amid broader energy sector gains. Year-to-date returns stand at 26%, supported by consistent volumes from regional drilling. Sentiment has been bolstered by strategic acquisitions and Q1 results showing revenue growth, though earnings slightly missed estimates. Influences include stable demand for gas infrastructure and operational efficiencies in compression and water services, contributing to a beta of 0.66 and dividend yield over 4%.
PAA Overview and Recent Performance
Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. (PAA), a subsidiary of PAGP, engages in crude oil and NGL transportation, terminalling, and storage across the U.S. and Canada via pipelines, trucks, and rail. Recent weeks have seen robust momentum, with shares near $22.65 and YTD gains of 31%, outperforming peers on crude logistics strength. Key developments include quarterly distributions and progress on NGL business sales, alongside analyst initiations with buy ratings. Positive sentiment stems from Permian-focused expansions like Cactus III and high throughput volumes, reflected in a low beta of 0.48 and attractive 7%+ yield.
PAGP Overview and Recent Performance
Plains GP Holdings, L.P. (PAGP) serves as the general partner for PAA, providing indirect exposure to its vast midstream network for crude and NGLs. Shares have mirrored PAA's strength, trading around $24 with 31% YTD returns and 47% over one year. Recent activity features quarterly payouts and shelf registrations, with valuation discussions highlighting momentum. Performance drivers include aligned operations with PAA, regulatory approvals, and sector tailwinds, underpinned by a beta of 0.44 and 6.7% yield.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AM specializes in gas-focused midstream in Appalachia, contrasting PAA and PAGP's crude/NGL emphasis across broader basins. Growth drivers for AM include water handling expansions, while Plains benefits from Permian crude volumes and NGL fractionation. Recent momentum favors Plains duo with 31% YTD vs. AM's 26%, though all show low volatility (betas <0.7). Risks involve regional production shifts for AM and commodity throughput for Plains. Valuation-wise, PAA's P/E of 20 edges AM (25) and PAGP (31), with superior yields. Sentiment tilts positive on Plains' scale ($16B+ cap for PAA) versus AM's niche ($10B), trading at discounts to targets.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models currently favor PAA for its leading relative performance, highest yield, attractive valuation, and momentum in crude midstream trends. With consistent throughput, low beta stability, and analyst support, it shows stronger trend consistency and catalysts versus AM's regional focus or PAGP's GP structure. Probabilistic edge leans toward PAA in the near term, based on observable positioning.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AM’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whilePAA’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and PAGP’s FA Score reflects 3 green FA rating(s).
- AM’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- PAA’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- PAGP’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AM’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PAA’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and PAGP’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- PAA’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- PAGP’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
AM (@Oil & Gas Pipelines) experienced а +5.07% price change this week, while PAA (@Oil & Gas Pipelines) price change was +5.43% , and PAGP (@Oil & Gas Pipelines) price fluctuated +5.91% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Pipelines industry was +2.32%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +6.09%, and the average quarterly price growth was +29.42%.
Reported Earning Dates
AM is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
PAA is expected to report earnings on Jul 31, 2026.
PAGP is expected to report earnings on Jul 31, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Pipelines (+2.32% weekly)Oil & Gas Pipelines industry includes companies that transport natural gas and crude oil through pipelines. These companies also collect and market the fuels. The pipeline segment could be considered as a midstream operation – functioning as a link between the upstream and downstream operations in the oil and gas industry. Some of the largest U.S. pipeline players include Enterprise Products Partners L.P, TC Energy Corporation and Energy Transfer, L.P.
| AM | PAA | PAGP | |
| Capitalization | 10.4B | 16.2B | 4.86B |
| EBITDA | 970M | 2.91B | 2.82B |
| Gain YTD | 26.353 | 32.674 | 33.218 |
| P/E Ratio | 25.56 | 20.64 | 31.49 |
| Revenue | 1.29B | 44.3B | 44.3B |
| Total Cash | 0 | N/A | N/A |
| Total Debt | 3.71B | 11.5B | 11.5B |
AM | PAA | PAGP | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 27 | 83 | 94 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 22 Undervalued | 8 Undervalued | 10 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 3 | 6 | 5 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 45 | 64 | 46 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 42 | 42 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 32 | 35 | 26 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 48 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PAA's Valuation (8) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as PAGP (10) and is in the same range as AM (22). This means that PAA's stock grew similarly to PAGP’s and similarly to AM’s over the last 12 months.
AM's Profit vs Risk Rating (3) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as PAGP (5) and is in the same range as PAA (6). This means that AM's stock grew similarly to PAGP’s and similarly to PAA’s over the last 12 months.
AM's SMR Rating (45) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as PAGP (46) and is in the same range as PAA (64). This means that AM's stock grew similarly to PAGP’s and similarly to PAA’s over the last 12 months.
PAGP's Price Growth Rating (42) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as PAA (42) and is in the same range as AM (46). This means that PAGP's stock grew similarly to PAA’s and similarly to AM’s over the last 12 months.
PAGP's P/E Growth Rating (26) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as AM (32) and is in the same range as PAA (35). This means that PAGP's stock grew similarly to AM’s and similarly to PAA’s over the last 12 months.
| AM | PAA | PAGP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 88% | 3 days ago 56% | 3 days ago 63% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 49% | 3 days ago 54% | 3 days ago 50% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 58% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 59% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 62% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 62% | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 61% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 64% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 48% | 5 days ago 53% | 10 days ago 54% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 50% | 3 days ago 52% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 47% | 3 days ago 52% | 3 days ago 57% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| SNOY | 7.34 | 0.15 | +2.09% |
| YieldMax SNOW Option Income Strategy ETF | |||
| USDX | 25.70 | -0.07 | -0.26% |
| SGI Enhanced Core ETF | |||
| XPAY | 53.61 | -0.71 | -1.31% |
| Roundhill S&P 500 Target 20 Managed Distribution ETF | |||
| RPG | 57.00 | -1.04 | -1.79% |
| Invesco S&P 500® Pure Growth ETF | |||
| PAMC | 52.33 | -1.22 | -2.27% |
| Pacer Lunt MidCap Multi-Factor Alt ETF | |||
AM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AM has been loosely correlated with DTM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 63% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if AM jumps, then DTM could also see price increases.
PAA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PAA has been closely correlated with PAGP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 96% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PAA jumps, then PAGP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PAA | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAA | 100% | +1.87% | ||
| PAGP - PAA | 96% Closely correlated | +1.82% | ||
| AM - PAA | 77% Closely correlated | +1.10% | ||
| OKE - PAA | 57% Loosely correlated | +1.42% | ||
| EPD - PAA | 57% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
| TRGP - PAA | 53% Loosely correlated | +1.69% | ||
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PAGP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PAGP has been closely correlated with PAA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 96% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PAGP jumps, then PAA could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PAGP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAGP | 100% | +1.82% | ||
| PAA - PAGP | 96% Closely correlated | +1.87% | ||
| OKE - PAGP | 59% Loosely correlated | +1.42% | ||
| EPD - PAGP | 57% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
| TRGP - PAGP | 54% Loosely correlated | +1.69% | ||
| WES - PAGP | 53% Loosely correlated | +0.35% | ||
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