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AMAT or MPWR or NXPI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Applied Materials (AMAT) vs. Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) vs. NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AMAT leads with over 50% YTD gains, fueled by AI-driven semiconductor equipment demand and recent acquisitions like NEXX for advanced chip packaging.
- MPWR shows explosive 70%+ YTD growth, with Q1 revenue up 26% to $804M from enterprise data and AI servers, raising analyst targets significantly.
- NXPI surged ~35% YTD post-Q1 beat ($3.18B revenue, +12% YoY), driven by automotive and industrial recovery, with Q2 guidance topping estimates.
- All three benefit from semiconductor tailwinds, but AMAT and MPWR exhibit stronger AI exposure versus NXPI's auto/IoT focus.
- Recent momentum favors MPWR (150%+ 1Y return), though valuations stretch with high P/E ratios amid positive sentiment.
- Analyst upgrades across the board signal bullish outlook, with relative performance highlighting trade-offs in growth versus stability.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines AMAT, MPWR, and NXPI, key players in the semiconductor ecosystem amid surging AI and automotive demand. AMAT provides wafer fabrication equipment, MPWR specializes in power management solutions, and NXPI focuses on secure connectivity chips. Traders seeking exposure to semi-capex cycles, power efficiency for data centers, or EV/industrial growth will find value in analyzing their relative performance, recent earnings beats, and market positioning in today's volatile environment.
AMAT Overview and Recent Performance
Applied Materials (AMAT), a leader in semiconductor manufacturing equipment, provides deposition, etching, and inspection tools essential for advanced chip production. Its business model centers on high-margin capital equipment sales (73% of revenue) complemented by recurring services (23%). Growth drivers include AI infrastructure investments and node shrinks, with recent market activity showing over 50% YTD gains and 160%+ one-year returns. In recent weeks, shares surged on 20% growth guidance, new chipmaking systems for the Angstrom era, and the NEXX acquisition from ASMPT to bolster AI packaging capabilities. Analyst upgrades, like UBS to $480 and BofA to $465, reflect positive sentiment from robust demand, though China exposure adds cyclical risk.
MPWR Overview and Recent Performance
Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) designs analog and mixed-signal semiconductors for power management, operating a fabless model with proprietary BCD process technology. Revenue stems from high-efficiency ICs and modules for enterprise data, automotive, and industrial applications. Recent performance dazzles with 70%+ YTD and 150% one-year gains, propelled by Q1 results: $804M revenue (+26% YoY, beat estimates), $5.10 adjusted EPS, and enterprise data up sharply from AI servers. Q2 guidance at $900M midpoint exceeded forecasts, prompting upgrades (e.g., KeyBanc to $2,000). Sentiment remains bullish on AI power density needs, despite premium valuations, balanced by margin expansion to 55%.
NXPI Overview and Recent Performance
NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) delivers secure mixed-signal solutions for automotive (over 50% sales), industrial/IoT, and mobile, emphasizing software-defined vehicles and physical AI. Its hybrid model includes in-house fabs and foundry partnerships. Shares posted 35% YTD gains after Q1: $3.18B revenue (+12% YoY, beat by 2%), $3.05 non-GAAP EPS (+16%), with automotive up 6% and industrial/IoT +24%. Q2 guidance ($3.35-3.55B) topped expectations, driving a post-earnings surge. Recent weeks highlight design wins in EVs and edge computing, with channel inventory at target levels signaling demand recovery, though mobile softness lingers.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AMAT’s equipment model ties to fab expansions (AI capex), contrasting MPWR and NXPI’s fabless chip design for steadier royalties. Growth drivers diverge: AMAT and MPWR ride AI (data centers, power), while NXPI leverages auto electrification and IoT. Recent momentum peaks for MPWR (70% YTD), followed by AMAT (50%) and NXPI (35%), post-earnings beats. Risks include geopolitics/China for all, but AMAT faces capex cycles, MPWR competition, and NXPI inventory swings. NXPI offers value (P/E ~28), versus AMAT (~40) and stretched MPWR (~110); sentiment favors AI pure-plays over diversified exposure.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors MPWR among AMAT, MPWR, and NXPI, based on superior trend consistency (70%+ YTD, 150% 1Y), AI data center catalysts, and accelerating enterprise revenue. While AMAT shows strong equipment momentum and NXPI stability, MPWR’s relative positioning offers higher probabilistic upside in prevailing semi-AI dynamics.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AMAT’s FA Score shows that 4 FA rating(s) are green whileMPWR’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and NXPI’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- AMAT’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- MPWR’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- NXPI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AMAT’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MPWR’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s), and NXPI’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AMAT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MPWR’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- NXPI’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
AMAT (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а +0.27% price change this week, while MPWR (@Semiconductors) price change was -3.17% , and NXPI (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated -1.10% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was -0.97%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +20.42%, and the average quarterly price growth was +140.48%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +4.47%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +39.39%, and the average quarterly price growth was +81.10%.
Reported Earning Dates
AMAT is expected to report earnings on Aug 13, 2026.
MPWR is expected to report earnings on Aug 03, 2026.
NXPI is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (-0.97% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
@Semiconductors (+4.47% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| AMAT | MPWR | NXPI | |
| Capitalization | 347B | 76.2B | 73.6B |
| EBITDA | 10.2B | 857M | 4.72B |
| Gain YTD | 70.110 | 71.358 | 34.992 |
| P/E Ratio | 41.07 | 110.95 | 27.87 |
| Revenue | 28.2B | 2.96B | 12.6B |
| Total Cash | 8.51B | 1.37B | 3.38B |
| Total Debt | 7.19B | 20M | 11.7B |
AMAT | MPWR | NXPI | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 34 | 91 | 38 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 72 Overvalued | 85 Overvalued | 35 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 17 | 17 | 53 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 24 | 46 | 36 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 6 | 7 | 11 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 12 | 2 | 28 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NXPI's Valuation (35) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AMAT (72) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for MPWR (85) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that NXPI's stock grew somewhat faster than AMAT’s and somewhat faster than MPWR’s over the last 12 months.
AMAT's Profit vs Risk Rating (17) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as MPWR (17) in the Semiconductors industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for NXPI (53) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that AMAT's stock grew similarly to MPWR’s and somewhat faster than NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
AMAT's SMR Rating (24) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as NXPI (36) in the Semiconductors industry, and is in the same range as MPWR (46) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that AMAT's stock grew similarly to NXPI’s and similarly to MPWR’s over the last 12 months.
AMAT's Price Growth Rating (6) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as MPWR (7) in the Semiconductors industry, and is in the same range as NXPI (11) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that AMAT's stock grew similarly to MPWR’s and similarly to NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
MPWR's P/E Growth Rating (2) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as AMAT (12) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry, and is in the same range as NXPI (28) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that MPWR's stock grew similarly to AMAT’s and similarly to NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
| AMAT | MPWR | NXPI | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 66% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 68% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 82% | 3 days ago 72% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 79% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 70% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 81% | 3 days ago 68% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 75% | 7 days ago 78% | 7 days ago 64% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 20 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 65% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | N/A | 3 days ago 73% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 77% | 3 days ago 66% |
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AMAT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AMAT has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 86% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AMAT jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AMAT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMAT | 100% | -0.89% | ||
| LRCX - AMAT | 86% Closely correlated | -4.82% | ||
| KLAC - AMAT | 83% Closely correlated | -4.68% | ||
| ASML - AMAT | 75% Closely correlated | -5.22% | ||
| QCOM - AMAT | 75% Closely correlated | +0.70% | ||
| RMBS - AMAT | 75% Closely correlated | -2.61% | ||
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