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AMD or ARM or TXN
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) vs. Arm Holdings (ARM) vs. Texas Instruments (TXN) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AMD has shown strong long-term gains with nearly 90% one-year returns but faced recent pullbacks of around 16% post-earnings amid AI chip export concerns.
- ARM benefits from AI-driven royalty growth, posting 26% quarterly revenue increases, though shares have experienced volatility with YTD gains of about 8%.
- TXN offers stability with YTD returns near 11-14%, focusing on analog chips and planning reduced 2026 capex to boost free cash flow over $8 per share.
- All three operate in semiconductors but differ in focus: AMD on CPUs/GPUs, ARM on IP licensing, and TXN on analog/embedded processing.
- Recent market sentiment reflects AI hype for AMD and ARM, while TXN emphasizes steady dividends and acquisitions like Silicon Labs.
- Valuations vary: AMD at high P/E over 70x, ARM elevated, TXN more reasonable around 36x normalized.
Introduction
In the competitive semiconductor sector, AMD, ARM, and TXN represent diverse strategies amid AI-driven demand and supply chain shifts. AMD focuses on high-performance computing chips, ARM on energy-efficient IP licensing, and TXN on analog essentials. Traders seeking growth in data centers and investors prioritizing stability in industrial/automotive markets will find this stock comparison valuable for assessing relative performance, valuation sensitivity, and market positioning in recent market activity.
AMD Overview and Recent Performance
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) designs CPUs, GPUs, and accelerators powering PCs, servers, gaming, and AI data centers. Recent market activity has pressured shares, with a 16% drop since Q4 2025 earnings despite beats, trading around $192 amid reports of potential U.S. AI chip export curbs. YTD returns hover near 10-14%, contrasting strong one-year gains of about 90%. Sentiment reflects AI momentum from deals like Meta but tempered by regulatory risks and competition, with analysts eyeing 48% upside potential.
ARM Overview and Recent Performance
Arm Holdings (ARM) licenses IP for energy-efficient CPU architectures dominant in smartphones (99% share) and expanding in data centers. Shares have navigated volatility, with Q3 FY2026 revenue up 26% to $1.24 billion on royalty surges from Armv9 and CSS tech, though recent pullbacks reflect broader sector concerns. YTD performance shows about 8% gains, with one-year mixed; analysts highlight AI data center traction and partnerships, lifting price targets to $140.
TXN Overview and Recent Performance
Texas Instruments (TXN) leads in analog and embedded chips for industrial, automotive, and consumer electronics. Shares have pulled back about 10% recently amid inventory cycles but boast YTD returns of 11-14%, outperforming peers in stability. Key drivers include a $7.5 billion Silicon Labs acquisition for wireless expansion and slashed 2026 capex to $2-3 billion, targeting over $8 free cash flow per share. Sentiment favors its dividend yield and diverse end-markets.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AMD and ARM thrive on AI catalysts—data center GPUs/CPUs and IP royalties—driving higher growth but elevated volatility (beta ~2.0 for AMD) and premiums (P/E 70x+). TXN contrasts with analog stability, lower beta (~1.15), and reasonable valuation (~36x normalized P/E), bolstered by dividends and capex discipline. Growth drivers diverge: AMD/ARM bet on hyperscaler AI spend, TXN on industrial/auto recovery. Risks include export regs for AMD, smartphone cycles for ARM, and inventory for TXN; sentiment favors AI plays short-term but TXN for resilience.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI leans toward TXN in the current environment, given its trend consistency, free cash flow acceleration, and lower volatility amid AI sector uncertainties. Observable factors like reduced capex, acquisition synergies, and stable YTD positioning suggest probabilistic outperformance over high-beta peers like AMD and ARM, though AI catalysts could shift dynamics.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AMD’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileARM’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and TXN’s FA Score reflects 3 green FA rating(s).
- AMD’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- ARM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TXN’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AMD’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ARM’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and TXN’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AMD’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- ARM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- TXN’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
AMD (@Semiconductors) experienced а +8.80% price change this week, while ARM (@Semiconductors) price change was +0.46% , and TXN (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated +10.32% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +5.71%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.17%, and the average quarterly price growth was +16.74%.
Reported Earning Dates
AMD is expected to report earnings on May 05, 2026.
ARM is expected to report earnings on May 06, 2026.
TXN is expected to report earnings on Apr 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+5.71% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| AMD | ARM | TXN | |
| Capitalization | 386B | 159B | 196B |
| EBITDA | 7.28B | 1.11B | 8.25B |
| Gain YTD | 10.497 | 37.037 | 24.724 |
| P/E Ratio | 90.67 | 199.73 | 39.45 |
| Revenue | 34.6B | 4.67B | 17.7B |
| Total Cash | 10.6B | 3.54B | 4.88B |
| Total Debt | 3.85B | 461M | 14B |
AMD | TXN | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 27 | 20 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 76 Overvalued | 12 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 42 | 51 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 78 | 31 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 6 | 20 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 68 | 38 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TXN's Valuation (12) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AMD (76). This means that TXN’s stock grew somewhat faster than AMD’s over the last 12 months.
AMD's Profit vs Risk Rating (42) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as TXN (51). This means that AMD’s stock grew similarly to TXN’s over the last 12 months.
TXN's SMR Rating (31) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AMD (78). This means that TXN’s stock grew somewhat faster than AMD’s over the last 12 months.
AMD's Price Growth Rating (6) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as TXN (20). This means that AMD’s stock grew similarly to TXN’s over the last 12 months.
TXN's P/E Growth Rating (38) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as AMD (68). This means that TXN’s stock grew similarly to AMD’s over the last 12 months.
| AMD | ARM | TXN | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 89% | 1 day ago 69% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 60% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 61% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 65% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 57% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 52% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 86% | 1 day ago 54% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 81% | 11 days ago 56% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 62% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 59% |
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AMD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AMD has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AMD jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AMD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMD | 100% | +2.08% | ||
| LRCX - AMD | 75% Closely correlated | +4.98% | ||
| KLAC - AMD | 71% Closely correlated | +3.28% | ||
| FORM - AMD | 71% Closely correlated | +2.76% | ||
| ENTG - AMD | 71% Closely correlated | +2.34% | ||
| AMAT - AMD | 70% Closely correlated | +3.13% | ||
More | ||||
ARM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ARM has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ARM jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ARM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARM | 100% | +0.59% | ||
| LRCX - ARM | 74% Closely correlated | +4.98% | ||
| KLAC - ARM | 74% Closely correlated | +3.28% | ||
| AMAT - ARM | 73% Closely correlated | +3.13% | ||
| FORM - ARM | 73% Closely correlated | +2.76% | ||
| TSM - ARM | 66% Closely correlated | -0.11% | ||
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TXN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TXN has been closely correlated with MCHP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TXN jumps, then MCHP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TXN | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXN | 100% | +2.91% | ||
| MCHP - TXN | 82% Closely correlated | +0.69% | ||
| ADI - TXN | 81% Closely correlated | +1.49% | ||
| MCHPP - TXN | 80% Closely correlated | +0.89% | ||
| NXPI - TXN | 77% Closely correlated | +0.69% | ||
| ON - TXN | 70% Closely correlated | +0.16% | ||
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