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AMD or ASML or FN
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) vs. ASML Holding (ASML) vs. Fabrinet (FN) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AMD shares have experienced volatility in recent market activity, down approximately 10% year-to-date amid AI demand fluctuations, but maintain strong one-year gains over 90% driven by data center growth.
- ASML demonstrates robust performance with shares up over 25% year-to-date and nearly 100% over the past year, bolstered by EUV lithography demand for advanced chips.
- FN leads recent momentum, surging about 9% in the past three months and over 150% in the last year, fueled by record revenue in optical communications and high-performance computing.
- All three stocks benefit from semiconductor and AI tailwinds, but FN shows superior short-term relative performance while ASML offers stability in equipment leadership.
- Recent analyst upgrades and positive EPS revisions support ASML and FN, contrasting AMD's post-earnings pullback.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines AMD, ASML, and FN, key players in the semiconductor ecosystem amid surging AI and data center demand. AMD designs high-performance chips, ASML supplies critical lithography equipment, and FN provides precision manufacturing services. Traders seeking exposure to chip design, production tools, and optical components, as well as investors tracking relative performance in volatile markets, will find value in analyzing their business models, recent momentum, and sector positioning for informed portfolio decisions.
AMD Overview and Recent Performance
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is a leading semiconductor designer specializing in CPUs, GPUs, and AI accelerators for data centers, PCs, gaming, and embedded systems. In recent weeks, AMD shares have faced downward pressure, trading around $197 with year-to-date declines near 10% and monthly drops of about 3-11%, reflecting broader sector rotation post-earnings. Sentiment has been influenced by AI infrastructure expansion via partnerships like Flex and Celestica, favorable U.S. export changes, and strong one-year gains exceeding 90%, though Q1 guidance tempered enthusiasm. Data center growth remains a key driver, supporting long-term positioning despite short-term volatility.
ASML Overview and Recent Performance
ASML Holding (ASML) dominates the photolithography market, providing extreme ultraviolet (EUV) systems essential for advanced chip manufacturing by foundries like TSMC. Recent market activity shows ASML shares advancing, with year-to-date gains over 25% and 12-month returns near 90-95%, outperforming amid AI-driven demand. Positive sentiment stems from EUV technology leadership, analyst price targets up to $1,500-$1,886, and 2025 revenue growth of 15.6%, despite China exposure risks. Upward EPS revisions and strong systems sales have bolstered stability in recent weeks.
FN Overview and Recent Performance
Fabrinet (FN) delivers advanced optical packaging and precision manufacturing services for OEMs in optical communications, automotive, and high-performance computing. In recent market activity, FN shares have surged, up 9% over three months and over 20% monthly at times, with one-year gains exceeding 150% and trading near $518. Performance reflects Q2 fiscal 2026 record revenue of $1.13 billion (up 36% year-over-year), driven by optical and telecom growth, plus HPC scaling. Easing datacom constraints and strong guidance have shifted sentiment positively, though volatility persists.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AMD, ASML, and FN operate across the semiconductor value chain: AMD focuses on chip design and AI accelerators, ASML on lithography equipment monopolizing advanced nodes, and FN on contract manufacturing for optics and modules. Growth drivers contrast sharply—AMD leverages data center AI but faces competition; ASML benefits from irreplaceable EUV tech amid export curbs; FN rides optical interconnect boom. Recent momentum favors FN (150%+ one-year) over ASML (90%+) and AMD (90%+ but YTD negative). Risks include geopolitical tensions for all, cyclicality for AMD, and capacity constraints for FN. Valuation sensitivity is high across the board due to AI hype, with ASML trading at elevated multiples but stable sentiment.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors FN due to its superior recent trend consistency, record revenue growth in optics and HPC, and relative outperformance amid semiconductor volatility. While ASML offers equipment stability and AMD AI catalysts, FN’s momentum and positioning in datacenter interconnects suggest higher probabilistic near-term upside, though all carry sector risks.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AMD’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileASML’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and FN’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- AMD’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- ASML’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- FN’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AMD’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ASML’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s), and FN’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AMD’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- ASML’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- FN’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
AMD (@Semiconductors) experienced а +13.61% price change this week, while ASML (@Electronic Production Equipment) price change was -1.25% , and FN (@Electronic Components) price fluctuated +4.19% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +11.63%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +20.79%, and the average quarterly price growth was +24.53%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was +10.31%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +23.36%, and the average quarterly price growth was +116.53%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Components industry was +4.81%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +11.15%, and the average quarterly price growth was +27.53%.
Reported Earning Dates
AMD is expected to report earnings on May 05, 2026.
ASML is expected to report earnings on Jul 15, 2026.
FN is expected to report earnings on May 11, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+11.63% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
@Electronic Production Equipment (+10.31% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
@Electronic Components (+4.81% weekly)The Electronic Components industry produces electronic equipment for industries and consumer electronics products, such as mobile devices, televisions, and circuit boards. TE Connectivity Ltd, for example, is a company that designs and manufactures connectivity and sensor products for harsh environments in various industries, such as automotive, industrial equipment, aerospace, and oil & gas. Another major player, Corning Inc., makes advanced optics including end-to-end fiber and wireless solutions for communications networks along with various other technologies catering to industrial and scientific applications.
| AMD | ASML | FN | |
| Capitalization | 454B | 565B | 24.7B |
| EBITDA | 7.28B | 12.6B | 466M |
| Gain YTD | 29.992 | 36.810 | 51.531 |
| P/E Ratio | 106.66 | 47.81 | 66.14 |
| Revenue | 34.6B | 32.7B | 3.89B |
| Total Cash | 10.6B | 13.3B | 961M |
| Total Debt | 3.85B | 4.39B | 4.89M |
AMD | ASML | FN | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 48 | 21 | 46 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 78 Overvalued | 75 Overvalued | 73 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 35 | 27 | 4 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 79 | 19 | 46 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 3 | 39 | 35 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 14 | 6 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
FN's Valuation (73) in the Electronic Components industry is in the same range as ASML (75) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry, and is in the same range as AMD (78) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that FN's stock grew similarly to ASML’s and similarly to AMD’s over the last 12 months.
FN's Profit vs Risk Rating (4) in the Electronic Components industry is in the same range as ASML (27) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry, and is in the same range as AMD (35) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that FN's stock grew similarly to ASML’s and similarly to AMD’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's SMR Rating (19) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as FN (46) in the Electronic Components industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for AMD (79) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that ASML's stock grew similarly to FN’s and somewhat faster than AMD’s over the last 12 months.
AMD's Price Growth Rating (3) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as FN (35) in the Electronic Components industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for ASML (39) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that AMD's stock grew similarly to FN’s and somewhat faster than ASML’s over the last 12 months.
FN's P/E Growth Rating (6) in the Electronic Components industry is in the same range as ASML (14) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for AMD (40) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that FN's stock grew similarly to ASML’s and somewhat faster than AMD’s over the last 12 months.
| AMD | ASML | FN | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 76% | N/A | 3 days ago 71% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 79% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 78% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 77% | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 78% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 77% | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 79% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 77% | 6 days ago 72% | 7 days ago 80% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 21 days ago 76% | 4 days ago 67% | N/A |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 79% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 78% |
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