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AMD or MPWR or TSM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) vs. Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) vs. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AMD has shown volatile recent performance amid AI chip competition, with shares fluctuating between $190 and $209 in recent weeks, reflecting broader sector pressures.
- MPWR delivered strong Q4 2025 results with 20.8% revenue growth to $751 million, driving shares near $1,100 despite pullbacks from $1,250 highs.
- TSM maintains foundry leadership with AI demand fueling 30% January-February revenue surge, shares trading around $340 amid capacity constraints.
- All three benefit from AI tailwinds, but TSM offers the lowest forward P/E at mid-20s, compared to AMD's 30+ and MPWR's 40+.
- Recent market volatility from geopolitical tensions impacted semis, with MPWR and TSM showing resilient YTD gains over 15%.
- TSM's scale ($1.8T market cap) provides stability versus AMD ($330B) and MPWR ($53B).
Introduction
This stock comparison examines AMD, MPWR, and TSM, key players in the semiconductor sector fueled by AI demand. AMD focuses on AI accelerators, MPWR on power management solutions for data centers, and TSM as the leading foundry. Traders seeking exposure to AI infrastructure and investors tracking relative performance in recent market activity will find value in analyzing their business models, momentum, and valuations. Amid sector volatility from geopolitical risks and supply constraints, understanding contrasts in growth drivers and risk profiles aids informed positioning.
AMD Overview and Recent Performance
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) designs high-performance CPUs, GPUs, and AI accelerators for data centers, gaming, and PCs. In recent weeks, shares have traded between $190 and $209, reflecting volatility from AI competition with Nvidia and capacity allocation at foundries like TSM. Sentiment has been influenced by partnerships, such as expanded deals with Meta for GPU deployments starting mid-2026, boosting data-center exposure. However, broader sector pullbacks amid Middle East tensions and energy concerns have pressured prices, with YTD performance lagging peers after a strong 77% gain in 2025. Forward P/E around 30 signals premium valuation tied to AI growth prospects.
MPWR Overview and Recent Performance
Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) specializes in high-efficiency power management semiconductors for AI servers, automotive, and consumer applications. Recent performance highlights Q4 2025 revenue of $751 million, up 20.8% year-over-year, with Q1 2026 guidance at $780 million exceeding estimates. Shares pulled back from 52-week highs near $1,250 to around $1,076 amid semiconductor sell-offs linked to geopolitical risks, but YTD gains exceed 17% with 69-75% one-year returns. Strong demand for AI data center power solutions drives sentiment, supported by robust margins around 55% and a $53 billion market cap. Forward P/E near 49 reflects growth expectations in enterprise data.
TSM Overview and Recent Performance
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) dominates the foundry market with over 60% share, producing advanced nodes for AMD, Nvidia, and others. Recent market activity saw shares dip to $325 before recovering to $343, influenced by AI-driven revenue growth—January-February up 30%—and full bookings for 3nm/2nm processes. Q4 2025 earnings beat with 25.5% revenue increase, but volatility from Taiwan Strait tensions and helium supply fears amid Middle East conflicts weighed on sentiment. With a $1.8 trillion market cap and forward P/E in the mid-20s, TSM benefits from diversified exposure across AI, smartphones, and autos, posting 87-90% one-year gains.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AMD (fabless designer) competes directly in AI chips against Nvidia, with growth tied to data-center share gains but higher execution risk versus TSM's foundry model serving multiple clients. MPWR differentiates via power ICs critical for AI servers, offering niche exposure with superior recent momentum (69% one-year) but elevated valuation sensitivity. TSM provides scale and stability, with 60% AI revenue CAGR but geopolitical risks from Taiwan location. Recent momentum favors MPWR and TSM (YTD 15-33%), while AMD lags amid volatility. Risk factors include supply constraints for all, with TSM least sensitive to design wins. Market sentiment leans toward diversified plays like TSM amid rotations.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI favors MPWR based on superior trend consistency in AI power management, explosive relative YTD positioning with 17-33% gains, and strong Q4 catalysts amid data center demand. While TSM offers stability through foundry dominance and lower valuation, and AMD shows AI upside potential, MPWR's observable outperformance positions it for higher probabilistic near-term momentum in current conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AMD’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileMPWR’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and TSM’s FA Score reflects 3 green FA rating(s).
- AMD’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MPWR’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- TSM’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AMD’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MPWR’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s), and TSM’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AMD’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MPWR’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TSM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
AMD (@Semiconductors) experienced а +8.80% price change this week, while MPWR (@Semiconductors) price change was +19.29% , and TSM (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated +7.80% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +5.71%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.17%, and the average quarterly price growth was +16.74%.
Reported Earning Dates
AMD is expected to report earnings on May 05, 2026.
MPWR is expected to report earnings on Apr 30, 2026.
TSM is expected to report earnings on Apr 16, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+5.71% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| AMD | MPWR | TSM | |
| Capitalization | 386B | 65.5B | 1.59T |
| EBITDA | 7.28B | 781M | 2.74T |
| Gain YTD | 10.497 | 47.500 | 20.944 |
| P/E Ratio | 90.67 | 103.75 | 35.22 |
| Revenue | 34.6B | 2.79B | 3.81T |
| Total Cash | 10.6B | 581M | N/A |
| Total Debt | 3.85B | 15.1M | N/A |
AMD | MPWR | TSM | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 27 | 28 | 26 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 76 Overvalued | 83 Overvalued | 42 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 42 | 22 | 9 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 78 | 46 | 26 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 6 | 4 | 40 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 68 | 2 | 21 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TSM's Valuation (42) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AMD (76) and is somewhat better than the same rating for MPWR (83). This means that TSM's stock grew somewhat faster than AMD’s and somewhat faster than MPWR’s over the last 12 months.
TSM's Profit vs Risk Rating (9) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MPWR (22) and is somewhat better than the same rating for AMD (42). This means that TSM's stock grew similarly to MPWR’s and somewhat faster than AMD’s over the last 12 months.
TSM's SMR Rating (26) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MPWR (46) and is somewhat better than the same rating for AMD (78). This means that TSM's stock grew similarly to MPWR’s and somewhat faster than AMD’s over the last 12 months.
MPWR's Price Growth Rating (4) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as AMD (6) and is somewhat better than the same rating for TSM (40). This means that MPWR's stock grew similarly to AMD’s and somewhat faster than TSM’s over the last 12 months.
MPWR's P/E Growth Rating (2) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as TSM (21) and is significantly better than the same rating for AMD (68). This means that MPWR's stock grew similarly to TSM’s and significantly faster than AMD’s over the last 12 months.
| AMD | MPWR | TSM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 73% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 64% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 75% | 2 days ago 70% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 80% | 2 days ago 75% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 80% | 2 days ago 72% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 80% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 77% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 76% | 11 days ago 66% | 21 days ago 62% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 67% | 2 days ago 52% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 77% | 2 days ago 57% |
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AMD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AMD has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AMD jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AMD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMD | 100% | +2.08% | ||
| LRCX - AMD | 75% Closely correlated | +4.98% | ||
| KLAC - AMD | 71% Closely correlated | +3.28% | ||
| FORM - AMD | 71% Closely correlated | +2.76% | ||
| ENTG - AMD | 71% Closely correlated | +2.34% | ||
| AMAT - AMD | 70% Closely correlated | +3.13% | ||
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MPWR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MPWR has been closely correlated with ADI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MPWR jumps, then ADI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MPWR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MPWR | 100% | +1.62% | ||
| ADI - MPWR | 76% Closely correlated | +1.49% | ||
| KLAC - MPWR | 74% Closely correlated | +3.28% | ||
| SYNA - MPWR | 74% Closely correlated | -2.53% | ||
| LRCX - MPWR | 73% Closely correlated | +4.98% | ||
| TSM - MPWR | 73% Closely correlated | -0.11% | ||
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