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APO or ARES or BX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Apollo Global Management (APO) vs. Ares Management Corporation (ARES) vs. Blackstone Inc. (BX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Ares Management (ARES) leads year-to-date (YTD) performance at 25.37%, outpacing Blackstone (BX) at 17.08% and Apollo Global Management (APO) at 9.51%.
- ARES reported record Q1 fundraising of $30 billion despite an earnings miss, boosting shares recently.
- BX showcased strong Q1 results with revenue of $3.43 billion and new AI infrastructure initiatives.
- APO anticipates Q1 earnings on May 6 with shares rebounding amid investment activity like a $225 million pickleball deal.
- All three face private credit redemption pressures earlier in Q1 but demonstrate fundraising resilience.
- ARES trades at a high P/E ratio of 69.59, while APO and BX offer relatively lower valuations at 23.55 and 32.40, respectively.
Introduction
Apollo Global Management (APO), Ares Management Corporation (ARES), and Blackstone Inc. (BX) are leading alternative asset managers specializing in private credit, private equity, and real assets. This comparison analyzes their recent market performance, business drivers, and positioning amid evolving interest rates and private market dynamics. Investors seeking exposure to non-traditional assets or traders monitoring financial sector momentum will find value in understanding their relative strengths, such as assets under management (AUM) growth and fundraising trends, in the current environment.
APO Overview and Recent Performance
Apollo Global Management (APO) manages approximately $938 billion in AUM, focusing on credit, private equity, and retirement services through its Athene insurance arm. Shares recently closed at $130.46, up 1.35% in the session, with YTD gains of 9.51% and a 52-week range of $99.56 to $157.28. In recent weeks, the stock has rebounded amid anticipation for Q1 earnings on May 6, expected to show EPS of $1.98. Sentiment has been influenced by a $225 million investment in Pickleball Inc. and broader private credit resilience, despite earlier Q1 redemption gates on certain funds. Volatility reflects beta of 1.52, with a dividend yield of 1.56% supporting stability.
ARES Overview and Recent Performance
Ares Management Corporation (ARES) oversees around $623 billion in AUM, with a strong emphasis on direct lending and private credit. The stock ended at $119.00, gaining 1.36%, boasting top YTD returns of 25.37% and a 52-week range from $95.80 to $195.26. Recent market activity featured a Q1 earnings release showing record $30 billion in fundraising and year-over-year AUM growth, though EPS of $1.24 missed estimates. Shares rose post-earnings on positive fee-related momentum, countering earlier redemption limits in March. A high P/E of 69.59 and 4.54% dividend yield highlight growth expectations and income appeal, with beta matching peers at 1.52.
BX Overview and Recent Performance
Blackstone Inc. (BX), the largest alternative manager, handles over $1 trillion in AUM across private equity, real estate, and credit. Shares closed at $126.35, up 0.61%, with solid YTD performance of 17.08% and a 52-week range of $101.73 to $190.09. Recent weeks saw gains from strong Q1 results, including $3.43 billion in revenue, alongside AI joint ventures like a potential $1.5 billion Anthropic deal. Fee-earning AUM reached $938 billion by March end, up 9% year-over-year. Sentiment benefits from diversification, though regulatory scrutiny on stock sales lingers; beta of 1.63 and 3.93% yield underscore its profile.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
APO, ARES, and BX operate in alternative assets but differ in focus: BX's broad diversification across equity, real estate, and credit contrasts ARES's credit-heavy model and APO's insurance-linked credit tilt. Growth drivers shine in fundraising—ARES's $30 billion Q1 record vs. peers' steady inflows—while recent momentum favors ARES's 15.72% one-month gain over BX's 12.57%. Risk factors include shared private credit redemption pressures from March, with higher betas amplifying volatility. Valuation sensitivity shows ARES priciest on P/E amid growth bets, while APO and BX appear more attractive. Market sentiment tilts positive on BX's scale and AI catalysts, balanced by APO's pending earnings and ARES's fee momentum.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently favors ARES with higher probability due to superior YTD trend consistency, record fundraising catalysts, and relative outperformance in recent market activity. While BX offers stability through diversification and APO shows rebound potential pre-earnings, ARES's positioning in resilient private credit flows edges it ahead probabilistically in the near term.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
APO’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileARES’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and BX’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- APO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- ARES’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- BX’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
APO’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ARES’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and BX’s TA Score reflects 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- APO’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- ARES’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- BX’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
APO (@Investment Managers) experienced а +1.25% price change this week, while ARES (@Investment Managers) price change was +0.57% , and BX (@Investment Managers) price fluctuated +0.03% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Investment Managers industry was -1.03%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.25%, and the average quarterly price growth was +7.09%.
Reported Earning Dates
APO is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
ARES is expected to report earnings on Jul 31, 2026.
BX is expected to report earnings on Jul 16, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Investment Managers (-1.03% weekly)Investment Managers manage financial assets and other investments of clients. Management includes designing a short- or long-term strategy for buying/holding and selling of portfolio holdings. It can also include tax services and other aspects of financial planning as well. While it is perceived that the industry is faced with growing competition from robo-advisors/digital platforms and passive/ index-tracking funds, many investors still find value in actively managed in-person services that investment management companies often emphasize on. At the same time, many wealth managers are also incorporating digital initiatives/low cost options in addition to their in-person customized services. Their main sources of revenues are fees as a percentage of assets under management, in addition to a certain portion of clients’ gains from asset appreciation. BlackRock, Inc., Blackstone Group Inc and Brookfield Asset Management are some of the major investment management companies.
| APO | ARES | BX | |
| Capitalization | 76.1B | 27.9B | 150B |
| EBITDA | 7.72B | 2.3B | N/A |
| Gain YTD | -8.491 | -22.450 | -18.686 |
| P/E Ratio | 82.97 | 56.99 | 31.48 |
| Revenue | 31.5B | 5.6B | 12.6B |
| Total Cash | 253B | N/A | N/A |
| Total Debt | 14.2B | 12.7B | 14.2B |
APO | ARES | BX | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 82 | 26 | 76 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 78 Overvalued | 19 Undervalued | 21 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 44 | 56 | 63 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 91 | 96 | 35 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 53 | 59 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 4 | 90 | 81 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ARES's Valuation (19) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as BX (21) and is somewhat better than the same rating for APO (78). This means that ARES's stock grew similarly to BX’s and somewhat faster than APO’s over the last 12 months.
APO's Profit vs Risk Rating (44) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as ARES (56) and is in the same range as BX (63). This means that APO's stock grew similarly to ARES’s and similarly to BX’s over the last 12 months.
BX's SMR Rating (35) in the Investment Managers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for APO (91) and is somewhat better than the same rating for ARES (96). This means that BX's stock grew somewhat faster than APO’s and somewhat faster than ARES’s over the last 12 months.
APO's Price Growth Rating (46) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as ARES (53) and is in the same range as BX (59). This means that APO's stock grew similarly to ARES’s and similarly to BX’s over the last 12 months.
APO's P/E Growth Rating (4) in the Investment Managers industry is significantly better than the same rating for BX (81) and is significantly better than the same rating for ARES (90). This means that APO's stock grew significantly faster than BX’s and significantly faster than ARES’s over the last 12 months.
| APO | ARES | BX | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 52% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 85% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 78% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A | 1 day ago 61% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 73% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 71% | 8 days ago 78% | 13 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 70% | 1 day ago 65% | 9 days ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 64% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 60% |
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APO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, APO has been closely correlated with KKR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if APO jumps, then KKR could also see price increases.
ARES and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ARES has been closely correlated with KKR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ARES jumps, then KKR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ARES | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARES | 100% | -0.76% | ||
| KKR - ARES | 82% Closely correlated | +0.01% | ||
| OWL - ARES | 80% Closely correlated | -0.79% | ||
| TPG - ARES | 77% Closely correlated | +1.01% | ||
| BX - ARES | 77% Closely correlated | +1.12% | ||
| APO - ARES | 76% Closely correlated | +1.13% | ||
More | ||||
BX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BX has been closely correlated with KKR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BX jumps, then KKR could also see price increases.