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ARM or ASML or MRVL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Arm Holdings (ARM) vs. ASML Holding (ASML) vs. Marvell Technology (MRVL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ARM has faced recent share price pullbacks amid valuation concerns, despite strong AI growth prospects and partnerships driving sentiment.
- ASML benefits from robust demand for EUV lithography systems fueled by AI chip production, with a significant backlog supporting revenue growth.
- MRVL reported strong Q4 results with data center revenue surging, leading to post-earnings gains and optimistic AI infrastructure outlook.
- All three stocks operate in the AI-driven semiconductor sector, but MRVL shows the strongest recent momentum, while ARM trades at a premium valuation.
- Recent market activity highlights contrasts in relative performance: ASML up significantly over the past year, MRVL gaining post-earnings, and ARM experiencing volatility.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines ARM, ASML, and MRVL, three key players in the semiconductor industry powering AI and data center advancements. ARM designs IP cores, ASML supplies critical lithography equipment, and MRVL provides data infrastructure chips. Traders seeking exposure to AI growth and investors tracking relative performance in chip design, equipment, and networking will find this analysis relevant amid recent market shifts in sector sentiment and momentum.
ARM Overview and Recent Performance
Arm Holdings plc (ARM) is a leading designer of intellectual property for central processing units, licensing its energy-efficient architectures to chipmakers for mobile, data center, and AI applications. The company operates an asset-light model, generating revenue from upfront licensing fees and royalties on shipped chips, powering over 99% of smartphones and expanding into servers.
In recent market activity, ARM shares have declined around 4% in a single session and over recent weeks, reflecting valuation concerns despite AI-driven royalty growth. Sentiment has been influenced by analyst debates on overvaluation versus partnerships and data center expansion, with year-to-date gains tempered by pullbacks.
ASML Overview and Recent Performance
ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) dominates the lithography equipment market, holding a near-monopoly on extreme ultraviolet (EUV) systems essential for producing advanced semiconductors below 7nm. Its business model centers on selling high-value scanners to foundries like TSMC, supplemented by services and upgrades, enabling AI chip complexity.
Recent performance for ASML reflects robust EUV demand from AI semiconductor needs, with shares advancing amid a strong backlog and board shifts toward AI packaging. Over the past year, the stock has risen significantly, supported by revenue growth projections, though recent sessions show sector volatility.
MRVL Overview and Recent Performance
Marvell Technology, Inc. (MRVL) is a fabless semiconductor firm specializing in data infrastructure solutions, including custom XPUs, networking, and storage chips for AI data centers, cloud, and enterprise. Its model focuses on high-margin, application-specific integrated circuits, with data center sales now dominant.
MRVL has exhibited strong recent momentum, with shares surging post-Q4 earnings where revenue hit $2.22 billion, beating expectations on AI data center strength. Year-to-date and one-year gains outpace peers in spots, driven by design wins and product launches, though subject to sector swings.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ARM, ASML, and MRVL share AI semiconductor exposure but differ in business models: ARM's royalty-based IP licensing offers high margins and scalability without fabrication, contrasting ASML's capital-intensive equipment sales reliant on foundry capex cycles, and MRVL's fabless chip design emphasizing custom AI networking.
Growth drivers include ARM and MRVL's data center penetration versus ASML's EUV monopoly. Recent momentum favors MRVL post-earnings, while ARM lags on valuation sensitivity. Risks encompass export restrictions for ASML, competition in networking for MRVL, and royalty concentration for ARM. Market sentiment tilts toward AI infrastructure plays amid broader chip demand.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors MRVL due to consistent trend strength in data center AI revenue, recent earnings beats signaling catalysts, and relative stability versus peers' volatility. Observable factors like surging bookings and design wins position it probabilistically ahead in the near term, though all three benefit from sector tailwinds.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ARM’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileASML’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and MRVL’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- ARM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- ASML’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- MRVL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ARM’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ASML’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s), and MRVL’s TA Score reflects 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ARM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- ASML’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- MRVL’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ARM (@Semiconductors) experienced а +11.95% price change this week, while ASML (@Electronic Production Equipment) price change was -1.25% , and MRVL (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated +8.72% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +11.63%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +20.79%, and the average quarterly price growth was +24.53%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was +10.31%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +23.36%, and the average quarterly price growth was +116.53%.
Reported Earning Dates
ARM is expected to report earnings on May 06, 2026.
ASML is expected to report earnings on Jul 15, 2026.
MRVL is expected to report earnings on May 21, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+11.63% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
@Electronic Production Equipment (+10.31% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
| ARM | ASML | MRVL | |
| Capitalization | 177B | 565B | 122B |
| EBITDA | 1.11B | 12.6B | 4.54B |
| Gain YTD | 52.530 | 36.810 | 64.580 |
| P/E Ratio | 222.31 | 47.81 | 45.50 |
| Revenue | 4.67B | 32.7B | 8.2B |
| Total Cash | 3.54B | 13.3B | 2.64B |
| Total Debt | 461M | 4.39B | 4.79B |
ASML | MRVL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 21 | 47 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 75 Overvalued | 71 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 27 | 42 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 19 | 45 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 39 | 35 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 14 | 29 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MRVL's Valuation (71) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as ASML (75) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that MRVL’s stock grew similarly to ASML’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's Profit vs Risk Rating (27) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as MRVL (42) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that ASML’s stock grew similarly to MRVL’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's SMR Rating (19) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as MRVL (45) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that ASML’s stock grew similarly to MRVL’s over the last 12 months.
MRVL's Price Growth Rating (35) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as ASML (39) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that MRVL’s stock grew similarly to ASML’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's P/E Growth Rating (14) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as MRVL (29) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that ASML’s stock grew similarly to MRVL’s over the last 12 months.
| ARM | ASML | MRVL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | N/A | 3 days ago 67% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 78% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 81% | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 82% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 86% | 3 days ago 79% | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 87% | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 79% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 88% | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 82% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 86% | 6 days ago 72% | 5 days ago 76% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 81% | 4 days ago 67% | 21 days ago 73% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 74% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 85% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| IYW | 210.07 | 3.51 | +1.70% |
| iShares US Technology ETF | |||
| QLVE | 32.31 | 0.54 | +1.69% |
| FlexShares EMs Quality Lw Vol ETF | |||
| QQQT | 17.36 | 0.18 | +1.07% |
| Defiance Nasdaq 100 Income Target ETF | |||
| CDC | 72.60 | 0.40 | +0.55% |
| VictoryShares US EQ Inc Enh Vol Wtd ETF | |||
| TFPN | 29.98 | 0.14 | +0.48% |
| Blueprint Chesapeake Multi-Asst Trnd ETF | |||
ARM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ARM has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ARM jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ARM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARM | 100% | +2.71% | ||
| LRCX - ARM | 74% Closely correlated | +2.54% | ||
| KLAC - ARM | 74% Closely correlated | +3.26% | ||
| AMAT - ARM | 73% Closely correlated | +1.81% | ||
| FORM - ARM | 73% Closely correlated | +7.46% | ||
| VECO - ARM | 66% Closely correlated | +0.19% | ||
More | ||||
MRVL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MRVL has been loosely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MRVL jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MRVL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MRVL | 100% | +4.74% | ||
| LRCX - MRVL | 65% Loosely correlated | +2.54% | ||
| ENTG - MRVL | 64% Loosely correlated | +7.46% | ||
| TOELY - MRVL | 63% Loosely correlated | +0.15% | ||
| KLAC - MRVL | 61% Loosely correlated | +3.26% | ||
| KLIC - MRVL | 61% Loosely correlated | +2.79% | ||
More | ||||