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ARM or ASML or TEL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Arm Holdings (ARM) vs. ASML Holding (ASML) vs. TE Connectivity (TEL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ASML leads with robust YTD gains around 26%, fueled by AI-driven demand for lithography equipment, outpacing ARM's flat performance and TEL's recent declines.
- ARM, a leader in CPU architecture licensing, trades at a premium P/E over 150x amid valuation concerns and recent share price pullbacks in recent weeks.
- TEL shows resilience with strong AI data center connectivity demand and a 10% dividend hike, though supply disruptions have pressured recent momentum.
- All three benefit from semiconductor and AI trends, but ASML exhibits stronger revenue growth at 31% quarterly, contrasting ARM's cooling near-term outlook.
- Market sentiment favors ASML's EUV monopoly, while ARM and TEL face higher volatility from geopolitical and supply risks.
- Relative performance highlights trade-offs: high-growth ASML vs. stable dividend play TEL vs. innovative but pricey ARM.
Introduction
Arm Holdings (ARM), ASML Holding (ASML), and TE Connectivity (TEL) represent key players in the semiconductor ecosystem, from chip design and manufacturing equipment to connectivity solutions. This stock comparison analyzes their business models, recent market activity, and relative performance amid AI-driven demand and supply chain pressures. Traders seeking growth in tech infrastructure or investors eyeing diversified exposure to electronics will find insights into momentum, valuation sensitivity, and sector positioning in the current environment.
ARM Overview and Recent Performance
Arm Holdings plc (ARM) is a UK-based semiconductor design company specializing in energy-efficient CPU architectures licensed to chipmakers worldwide, powering over 99% of smartphones and expanding into AI data centers. In recent market activity, ARM shares have experienced pullbacks, with declines of about 4-5% weekly and 8-12% over recent months, trading around $115-120. Sentiment has been influenced by elevated valuations—trading at over 150x P/E—amid concerns over profitability dips and a modest 2-3% one-year return, despite 26% revenue growth from AI demand. Broader ecosystem expansion supports long-term positioning, though near-term momentum has cooled.
ASML Overview and Recent Performance
ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) dominates the lithography equipment market, holding a near-monopoly on extreme ultraviolet (EUV) systems essential for advanced chip production by firms like TSMC and Intel. Recent weeks have seen mixed trading around $1,350, with YTD gains exceeding 25% and one-year returns near 85-95%, driven by AI boom demand. Analyst upgrades, including price targets up to $1,500-$1,886, reflect optimism despite a slight monthly dip of 4%. Geopolitical tensions, particularly export curbs to China, pose risks, but robust 31% quarterly revenue growth and 45% earnings expansion bolster positive sentiment.
TEL Overview and Recent Performance
TE Connectivity Ltd. (TEL) designs and manufactures connectivity and sensor solutions for industrial, automotive, and data center applications, with growing emphasis on AI infrastructure. Shares have faced pressure in recent weeks, declining around 15% over the past month amid Middle East supply disruptions, trading near $199-204 despite a 52-week high of $250. Positive catalysts include a 10% quarterly dividend increase to $0.78, record orders in AI connectivity, and beats on earnings. YTD performance lags peers at down 9-12%, but one-year gains near 40% highlight resilience in diversified end-markets.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ARM, ASML, and TEL operate complementarily in semiconductors: ARM's IP licensing model offers high margins but cyclical royalties; ASML's hardware monopoly drives capital-intensive growth; TEL provides stable components with industrial diversification. Growth drivers favor ASML's 31% revenue surge from AI lithography versus ARM's maturing mobile shift and TEL's data center tailwinds. Recent momentum: ASML +26% YTD vs. ARM flat and TEL -10%. Risks include ARM/ASML's China exposure and TEL's supply volatility. Valuations: ARM P/E 150x signals premium pricing; ASML 47x reflects growth; TEL offers value with dividends. Sentiment tilts to ASML's catalysts amid sector rotation.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors ASML due to consistent upward trend in recent market activity, superior YTD positioning at +26%, and strong catalysts from AI chip demand with analyst targets implying upside potential. While ARM offers innovative exposure and TEL stability, ASML's relative momentum and growth trajectory suggest higher probability of outperformance in the near term, based on observable patterns.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ARM’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileASML’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and TEL’s FA Score reflects 4 green FA rating(s).
- ARM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- ASML’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- TEL’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ARM’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ASML’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s), and TEL’s TA Score reflects 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ARM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- ASML’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- TEL’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ARM (@Semiconductors) experienced а +11.95% price change this week, while ASML (@Electronic Production Equipment) price change was -1.25% , and TEL (@Electronic Components) price fluctuated +7.12% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +11.63%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +20.79%, and the average quarterly price growth was +24.53%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was +10.31%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +23.36%, and the average quarterly price growth was +116.53%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Components industry was +4.81%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +11.15%, and the average quarterly price growth was +27.53%.
Reported Earning Dates
ARM is expected to report earnings on May 06, 2026.
ASML is expected to report earnings on Jul 15, 2026.
TEL is expected to report earnings on Apr 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+11.63% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
@Electronic Production Equipment (+10.31% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
@Electronic Components (+4.81% weekly)The Electronic Components industry produces electronic equipment for industries and consumer electronics products, such as mobile devices, televisions, and circuit boards. TE Connectivity Ltd, for example, is a company that designs and manufactures connectivity and sensor products for harsh environments in various industries, such as automotive, industrial equipment, aerospace, and oil & gas. Another major player, Corning Inc., makes advanced optics including end-to-end fiber and wireless solutions for communications networks along with various other technologies catering to industrial and scientific applications.
| ARM | ASML | TEL | |
| Capitalization | 177B | 565B | 72.2B |
| EBITDA | 1.11B | 12.6B | 4.47B |
| Gain YTD | 52.530 | 36.810 | 8.520 |
| P/E Ratio | 222.31 | 47.81 | 35.47 |
| Revenue | 4.67B | 32.7B | 18.1B |
| Total Cash | 3.54B | 13.3B | 1.25B |
| Total Debt | 461M | 4.39B | 5.71B |
ASML | TEL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 21 | 39 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 75 Overvalued | 26 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 27 | 18 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 19 | 51 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 39 | 10 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 14 | 16 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TEL's Valuation (26) in the Electronic Components industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ASML (75) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that TEL’s stock grew somewhat faster than ASML’s over the last 12 months.
TEL's Profit vs Risk Rating (18) in the Electronic Components industry is in the same range as ASML (27) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that TEL’s stock grew similarly to ASML’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's SMR Rating (19) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as TEL (51) in the Electronic Components industry. This means that ASML’s stock grew similarly to TEL’s over the last 12 months.
TEL's Price Growth Rating (10) in the Electronic Components industry is in the same range as ASML (39) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that TEL’s stock grew similarly to ASML’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's P/E Growth Rating (14) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as TEL (16) in the Electronic Components industry. This means that ASML’s stock grew similarly to TEL’s over the last 12 months.
| ARM | ASML | TEL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | N/A | 3 days ago 52% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 42% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 81% | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 59% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 86% | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 73% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 87% | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 56% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 88% | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 53% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 86% | 6 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 59% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 81% | 4 days ago 67% | 21 days ago 51% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 56% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 50% |
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ARM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ARM has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ARM jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ARM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARM | 100% | +2.71% | ||
| LRCX - ARM | 74% Closely correlated | +2.54% | ||
| KLAC - ARM | 74% Closely correlated | +3.26% | ||
| AMAT - ARM | 73% Closely correlated | +1.81% | ||
| FORM - ARM | 73% Closely correlated | +7.46% | ||
| VECO - ARM | 66% Closely correlated | +0.19% | ||
More | ||||
ASML and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ASML has been closely correlated with ASMLF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ASML jumps, then ASMLF could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ASML | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASML | 100% | +3.47% | ||
| ASMLF - ASML | 85% Closely correlated | +2.42% | ||
| ASMIY - ASML | 80% Closely correlated | +2.09% | ||
| LRCX - ASML | 80% Closely correlated | +2.54% | ||
| KLAC - ASML | 79% Closely correlated | +3.26% | ||
| AMAT - ASML | 77% Closely correlated | +1.81% | ||
More | ||||
TEL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TEL has been closely correlated with APH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 66% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TEL jumps, then APH could also see price increases.