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ARM or AVGO or NVDA
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Arm Holdings (ARM) vs. Broadcom (AVGO) vs. NVIDIA (NVDA) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ARM has faced recent downward pressure, declining around 9% in the past month amid profitability concerns despite 26% YoY revenue growth from AI demand.
- AVGO shows resilience with strong AI semiconductor momentum, though YTD down about 7-9%, supported by custom AI accelerators and networking leadership.
- NVDA leads in AI dominance with data center revenue surging over 70% YoY, but recent weeks reflect modest volatility with YTD down roughly 3-5%.
- All three stocks have delivered robust 1-year gains—NVDA up ~56%, AVGO ~66-70%—fueled by AI infrastructure spending, contrasting short-term pullbacks.
- Market sentiment ties performance to AI catalysts, with NVDA and AVGO benefiting from hyperscaler demand while ARM navigates licensing scrutiny.
- Relative valuation sensitivity highlights trade-offs: ARM's high P/E amid cooling momentum versus AVGO and NVDA's forward multiples aligned with growth.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines ARM, AVGO, and NVDA, three pivotal players in the semiconductor ecosystem powering AI and data center expansion. These companies represent diverse approaches—IP licensing for ARM, custom chips and networking for AVGO, and GPU leadership for NVDA—amid surging demand for compute infrastructure. Traders seeking short-term momentum and investors eyeing long-term AI growth will find value in analyzing their recent price behavior, sector exposure, and relative positioning in a market where AI revenues have driven triple-digit gains over the past year, tempered by recent volatility.
ARM Overview and Recent Performance
ARM, or Arm Holdings, designs energy-efficient processor architectures licensed to chipmakers worldwide, dominating mobile and increasingly data center CPUs with over 325 billion chips shipped. Its royalty-based model benefits from AI-driven chip volumes without manufacturing costs. In recent market activity, ARM shares have declined about 9% over the past month and 12% over three months, trading around $116 after pulling back from 52-week highs near $183. Sentiment reflects mixed profitability—26% YoY revenue growth from AI and data centers offset by a 12% net income drop—plus scrutiny over a $250 million Malaysian deal investigation, contributing to valuation debates with shares seen as overvalued by some metrics.
AVGO Overview and Recent Performance
AVGO, or Broadcom, delivers semiconductors for networking, broadband, and custom AI accelerators (XPUs), alongside high-margin infrastructure software post-VMware acquisition. Its diversified model spans AI networking and enterprise tools, generating robust cash flows. Recent weeks saw AVGO dip around 7% monthly and 11% over six months, hovering near $325 amid broader sector rotation, with YTD down 7-9% from peaks over $414. Performance drivers include AI revenue acceleration—up over 100% YoY in recent quarters—bolstered by hyperscaler deals, though volatility ties to market-wide AI enthusiasm and oil price sensitivities impacting supply chains.
NVDA Overview and Recent Performance
NVDA, or NVIDIA, pioneered GPUs for accelerated computing, now dominating AI data centers with platforms like CUDA and full-stack systems. Its shift to AI factories has propelled data center revenue past 70% YoY growth. In recent market activity, NVDA shares fluctuated modestly, down 1-6% monthly and 3-5% YTD around $180, within a 52-week range of $87-$212. Influences include anticipation for GTC 2026 announcements on AI advances, competition in inference, and supply chain risks from rising oil prices, balanced by unmatched scale in AI accelerators.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ARM, AVGO, and NVDA anchor the AI supply chain: ARM's IP licensing offers asset-light scalability but exposes it to royalty fluctuations and geopolitical probes, contrasting AVGO's custom ASICs/networking and software stability, and NVDA's end-to-end GPU ecosystems with CUDA lock-in. Growth drivers diverge—ARM rides chip volumes, AVGO custom hyperscaler wins, NVDA data center dominance—yielding recent momentum edges to NVDA (stable amid GTC hype) over AVGO's diversification and ARM's pullback. Risks include competition (e.g., rivals to NVDA's GPUs) and valuation—ARM at elevated multiples versus peers' forward P/Es around 30-60x. Sector exposure favors all in AI, but AVGO balances with software (~40% revenue), tempering cyclicality.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors NVDA for its superior trend consistency in data center AI leadership, unmatched revenue scale (over 70% YoY growth), and positioning ahead of GTC catalysts, relative to ARM's profitability headwinds and AVGO's diversification benefits. Probabilistic edges stem from observable momentum stability and hyperscaler reliance, though all warrant monitoring amid sector volatility.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ARM’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileAVGO’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and NVDA’s FA Score reflects 3 green FA rating(s).
- ARM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- AVGO’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- NVDA’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ARM’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while AVGO’s TA Score has 7 bullish TA indicator(s), and NVDA’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ARM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- AVGO’s TA Score: 7 bullish, 4 bearish.
- NVDA’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
ARM (@Semiconductors) experienced а +11.95% price change this week, while AVGO (@Semiconductors) price change was +5.24% , and NVDA (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated +6.73% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +10.10%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +24.60%, and the average quarterly price growth was +26.97%.
Reported Earning Dates
ARM is expected to report earnings on May 06, 2026.
AVGO is expected to report earnings on Jun 04, 2026.
NVDA is expected to report earnings on May 20, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+10.10% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| ARM | AVGO | NVDA | |
| Capitalization | 186B | 1.89T | 4.91T |
| EBITDA | 1.11B | 37.3B | 145B |
| Gain YTD | 52.530 | 15.709 | 8.349 |
| P/E Ratio | 233.47 | 77.90 | 41.24 |
| Revenue | 4.67B | 68.3B | 216B |
| Total Cash | 3.54B | 14.2B | 62.6B |
| Total Debt | 461M | 66.1B | 11B |
AVGO | NVDA | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 75 Overvalued | 78 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 10 | 8 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 28 | 13 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 4 | 13 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 63 | 43 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AVGO's Valuation (75) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as NVDA (78). This means that AVGO’s stock grew similarly to NVDA’s over the last 12 months.
NVDA's Profit vs Risk Rating (8) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as AVGO (10). This means that NVDA’s stock grew similarly to AVGO’s over the last 12 months.
NVDA's SMR Rating (13) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as AVGO (28). This means that NVDA’s stock grew similarly to AVGO’s over the last 12 months.
AVGO's Price Growth Rating (4) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as NVDA (13). This means that AVGO’s stock grew similarly to NVDA’s over the last 12 months.
NVDA's P/E Growth Rating (43) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as AVGO (63). This means that NVDA’s stock grew similarly to AVGO’s over the last 12 months.
| ARM | AVGO | NVDA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 79% | 4 days ago 59% | 4 days ago 54% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 74% | 4 days ago 56% | 4 days ago 69% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 81% | 4 days ago 87% | 4 days ago 77% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 86% | 4 days ago 88% | 4 days ago 74% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 87% | 4 days ago 78% | 4 days ago 81% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 88% | 4 days ago 81% | 4 days ago 78% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 86% | 4 days ago 80% | 6 days ago 82% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 81% | 22 days ago 56% | 22 days ago 68% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 69% | 4 days ago 55% | 4 days ago 63% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | N/A | 6 days ago 85% | 4 days ago 68% |
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ARM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ARM has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ARM jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ARM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARM | 100% | +2.71% | ||
| LRCX - ARM | 74% Closely correlated | +2.54% | ||
| KLAC - ARM | 74% Closely correlated | +3.26% | ||
| AMAT - ARM | 73% Closely correlated | +1.81% | ||
| FORM - ARM | 73% Closely correlated | +7.46% | ||
| VECO - ARM | 66% Closely correlated | +0.19% | ||
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