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ARM or COHR or ON
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Arm Holdings (ARM) vs. Coherent Corp. (COHR) vs. ON Semiconductor (ON) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- COHR leads with over 30% YTD gains, driven by AI optics demand and upcoming S&P 500 inclusion, outpacing peers in recent momentum.
- ARM shows resilience in AI chip design with YTD up ~5-10%, though recent 4% pullbacks highlight valuation pressures amid mixed analyst views.
- ON lags with recent 2-6% declines due to leadership shifts and inventory issues, but maintains positive earnings outlook in power solutions.
- All three benefit from semiconductor tailwinds, but COHR's explosive growth contrasts ON's cyclical challenges and ARM's high multiples.
- Recent volatility reflects broader market shifts, with AI exposure differentiating relative performance.
Introduction
Arm Holdings (ARM), Coherent Corp. (COHR), and ON Semiconductor (ON) operate in the semiconductor ecosystem, powering AI infrastructure, optics, and power management. This stock comparison evaluates their recent market positioning, performance, and growth drivers amid surging demand for data centers and high-performance computing. Traders seeking momentum plays may favor optics leaders, while long-term investors could eye IP licensors and discrete chipmakers for diversified exposure in this high-growth sector.
ARM Overview and Recent Performance
Arm Holdings plc (ARM) designs and licenses energy-efficient CPU architectures used in 99% of smartphones and expanding AI data centers. In recent market activity, shares traded around $115, reflecting a roughly 4% decline amid valuation concerns despite AI growth prospects. YTD performance hovers at 5-10%, with volatility from Nvidia's stake sale offset by partnerships and royalty revenue doubling. Sentiment remains mixed, with analysts citing overvaluation risks alongside key expansions in AI processors, influencing pullbacks in recent weeks.
COHR Overview and Recent Performance
Coherent Corp. (COHR) develops engineered materials, optoelectronics, and lasers for datacom, industrial, and AI applications. Shares recently hovered near $241 after a 4% dip, yet boast over 30% YTD and 250%+ one-year gains, fueled by AI transceiver demand and Nvidia investments. Recent highs near $300 reflected S&P 500 inclusion news and Q1 revenue growth of 17%, with margin expansions over 1,000 basis points. Optics adoption in 800G/1.6T modules drives positive sentiment, though high multiples signal pullback risks in volatile sessions.
ON Overview and Recent Performance
ON Semiconductor Corp. (ON) supplies intelligent power and sensing solutions for automotive, industrial, and data centers. Shares traded around $58 following a 2.6% decline, pressured by leadership changes and inventory gluts in recent weeks. YTD up modestly at ~7%, with prior Q4 misses offset by AI-driven beats and focus on high-margin areas. Sentiment reflects caution amid competitive pressures, though positive earnings revisions and cash flow support relative stability versus peers.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ARM’s IP licensing model offers high margins and scalability in AI CPUs, contrasting COHR’s hardware manufacturing in photonics for data center optics, which demands capex but taps explosive transceiver growth. ON focuses on discrete power semis for EVs and industrials, providing diversification but facing cyclical inventory risks absent in peers’ AI-centric drivers. Recent momentum favors COHR (30%+ YTD) over ARM’s steadier gains and ON’s laggard status. Valuation sensitivity is acute for ARM at elevated multiples, while COHR trades richly on optics catalysts and ON appears relatively cheaper amid execution hurdles. Sector exposure ties all to semis, but trade-offs pit COHR’s upside against ON’s stability risks.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors COHR due to superior trend consistency in AI optics, recent catalysts like S&P inclusion, and stronger relative positioning versus ARM’s valuation headwinds and ON’s softer momentum. Probabilistic edge stems from optics demand stability and momentum metrics.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ARM’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileCOHR’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and ON’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- ARM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- COHR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- ON’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ARM’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while COHR’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and ON’s TA Score reflects 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ARM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- COHR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- ON’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ARM (@Semiconductors) experienced а +11.95% price change this week, while COHR (@Electronic Equipment/Instruments) price change was +12.20% , and ON (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated +20.92% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +11.63%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +20.79%, and the average quarterly price growth was +24.53%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Equipment/Instruments industry was +2.72%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.56%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.99%.
Reported Earning Dates
ARM is expected to report earnings on May 06, 2026.
COHR is expected to report earnings on May 13, 2026.
ON is expected to report earnings on May 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+11.63% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
@Electronic Equipment/Instruments (+2.72% weekly)This industry manufactures electronic products used in various critical and sophisticated technologies, including laser-based systems, circuit and continuity testers, electro-optical measuring instruments and high-speed precision weighing and inspection equipment. Some major companies operating in this business are Canon Inc., Keysight Technologies Inc., and Fortive Corp.
| ARM | COHR | ON | |
| Capitalization | 177B | 64.7B | 32.7B |
| EBITDA | 1.11B | 1.08B | 888M |
| Gain YTD | 52.530 | 86.932 | 53.296 |
| P/E Ratio | 222.31 | 338.25 | 286.24 |
| Revenue | 4.67B | 6.29B | 6B |
| Total Cash | 3.54B | 864M | 2.55B |
| Total Debt | 461M | 3.55B | 3.01B |
COHR | ON | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 33 | 42 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 91 Overvalued | 89 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 8 | 67 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 87 | 88 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 34 | 3 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 15 | 1 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ON's Valuation (89) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as COHR (91) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry. This means that ON’s stock grew similarly to COHR’s over the last 12 months.
COHR's Profit vs Risk Rating (8) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ON (67) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that COHR’s stock grew somewhat faster than ON’s over the last 12 months.
COHR's SMR Rating (87) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry is in the same range as ON (88) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that COHR’s stock grew similarly to ON’s over the last 12 months.
ON's Price Growth Rating (3) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as COHR (34) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry. This means that ON’s stock grew similarly to COHR’s over the last 12 months.
ON's P/E Growth Rating (1) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as COHR (15) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry. This means that ON’s stock grew similarly to COHR’s over the last 12 months.
| ARM | COHR | ON | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 78% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 78% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 81% | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 84% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 86% | 3 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 72% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 87% | 3 days ago 82% | 3 days ago 75% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 88% | 3 days ago 85% | 3 days ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 86% | 3 days ago 82% | 3 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 81% | 25 days ago 78% | 21 days ago 77% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 80% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 77% |
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ARM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ARM has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ARM jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ARM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARM | 100% | +2.71% | ||
| LRCX - ARM | 74% Closely correlated | +2.54% | ||
| KLAC - ARM | 74% Closely correlated | +3.26% | ||
| AMAT - ARM | 73% Closely correlated | +1.81% | ||
| FORM - ARM | 73% Closely correlated | +7.46% | ||
| VECO - ARM | 66% Closely correlated | +0.19% | ||
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COHR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, COHR has been loosely correlated with MKSI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if COHR jumps, then MKSI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To COHR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COHR | 100% | +5.19% | ||
| MKSI - COHR | 65% Loosely correlated | +3.22% | ||
| KEYS - COHR | 51% Loosely correlated | +1.33% | ||
| ESE - COHR | 45% Loosely correlated | +5.04% | ||
| ITRI - COHR | 43% Loosely correlated | +1.47% | ||
| VNT - COHR | 42% Loosely correlated | +2.28% | ||
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